Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 1–1 Dundee United

Saturday 26 September 2020, 15:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 9 · Half-time 0–1

Hamilton Academical Odoffin 75'

Dundee United Shankland 4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
Goals11
xG1.221.81
Expected Points0.911.82

Hamilton Academical 21%Draw 28%Dundee United 51%

Most likely score 1–2, 14%. Final score 1–1, 14%.

Dundee United goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+2%7%8%4%1%4%7%2%2%8%9%4%1%2%3%1%14%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTOgboe on for Winter and Callachan on for Mimnaugh, 46'Hamilton on for Hodson, 62'Smith on for Owolabi, 82'Collar on for Munro, 85'Connolly on for Sporle, 54'Pawlett on for Chalmers, 67'Powers on for Butcher, 74'Odoffin 75'Shankland 4'Dundee United 1.81Hamilton Academical 1.2200.511.520153045607590HTOgboe on for Winter and Callachan on for Mimnaugh, 46'Hamilton on for Hodson, 62'Smith on for Owolabi, 82'Collar on for Munro, 85'Connolly on for Sporle, 54'Pawlett on for Chalmers, 67'Powers on for Butcher, 74'Odoffin 75'Shankland 4'1.811.22Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

1.22 +0.29xG1.81 +0.69
0.94 +0.04xG on target1.67 +0.77
12 +2.3Shots12 −0.4
1 −2.1Shots on target2 −0.9
1 +0.3Big chances3 +1.6
20Touches in the opposition box16
48% +8Possession52% +2
251 −41Passes267 −124
56% −5Pass accuracy64% −9
43% +9Field tilt57% +13
31 +3Final-third entries31 −6
9 +0.6Box entries10 +0.4
6.9 −9Passes per defensive action10.5 −3
7 +1.3Corners5 −1.4
20 +2Tackles14 −3
14 +2.6Interceptions21 +11.6
24 +1Clearances25 +2
1 −4.1Saves0 −4.0
18 +7Fouls18 +4
5 +3.6Offsides3 +1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hamilton Academical

Owolabi 21', 0.11 xGCallachan 57', 0.10 xGMunro 8', 0.09 xGOwolabi 21', 0.09 xGTempleton 45', 0.07 xGWinter 37', 0.06 xGCallachan 46', 0.05 xGOwolabi 42', 0.04 xGOgboe 52', 0.04 xGTempleton 21', 0.03 xGMartin 82', 0.03 xGOdoffin 75', 0.51 xG, goal50%0.61 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.61 xG, 1 goal31%0.38 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.38 xG, 0 goals11%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals8%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Clark 60', 0.39 xGChalmers 16', 0.26 xGClark 88', 0.14 xGShankland 86', 0.06 xGReynolds 24', 0.05 xGChalmers 27', 0.05 xGHarkes 90+1', 0.05 xGHarkes 90+3', 0.05 xGHarkes 70', 0.04 xGClark 70', 0.04 xGSporle 6', 0.02 xGShankland 4', 0.66 xG, goal36%0.66 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.66 xG, 1 goal41%0.74 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.74 xG, 0 goals14%0.26 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.26 xG, 0 goals7%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

0.27 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.71 10 shots, 1 goal
0.95 8 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.09 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
22 min (24%) · Hamilton Academical 0.03, Dundee United 0.95 xG
Dundee United ahead
71 min (76%) · Hamilton Academical 1.19, Dundee United 0.86 xG

Line-ups

2312232781821103619FultonWantOdoffinMcMannHodsonMartinMimnaughMunroTempletonOwolabiWinterGoalYellow cardYellow card62'46'85'82'46'Hamilton Academical 3-4-1-2Brian Rice1201261715182331024SiegristBoltonEdwardsReynoldsRobsonChalmersButcherHarkesSporleClarkShanklandYellow cardGoal67'74'54'Dundee United 4-4-2Micky Mellon

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 46' Callachan for Mimnaugh · yellow card 89'
  • 46' Ogboe for Winter
  • 62' Hamilton for Hodson · yellow card 79'
  • 82' Smith for Owolabi
  • 85' Collar for Munro

Dundee United substitutes

  • 54' Connolly for Sporle
  • 67' Pawlett for Chalmers
  • 74' Powers for Butcher

Players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FultonGK900.000.0100.0650
WantCB900.000.0000.03214
Odoffin CB9010.510.0300.05311
McMannCB900.000.0310.0768
HodsonRWB620.000.0000.0360
Martin CM900.030.0200.0117
MimnaughCM460.000.0000.0233
MunroLWB850.090.1720.2662
TempletonAM9010.100.5450.0540
OwolabiST820.240.0100.0330
WinterST460.060.0000.0112
Callachan MF440.150.0000.0103
OgboeFW440.040.010−0.0312
Hamilton DF280.000.0000.0227
SmithFW80.000.0000.0000
CollarMF50.000.0400.0615

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0321
BoltonRB900.000.0100.07411
EdwardsCB900.000.0610.0939
ReynoldsCB900.050.0100.05411
RobsonLB900.000.0200.0447
ChalmersRM670.310.0800.1663
Butcher CM740.000.0100.0223
HarkesCM900.130.0200.0444
SporleLM5410.020.5920.2133
ClarkST900.570.011−0.0223
ShanklandST9010.720.3220.3224
ConnollyDF360.000.0200.0114
PawlettMF230.000.0100.0101
PowersDF160.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Fulton and Odoffin: 3 passesFulton and Munro: 3 passesMcMann and Owolabi: 3 passesHodson and Winter: 3 passesTempleton and Owolabi: 3 passesOdoffin and Want: 4 passesMunro and Templeton: 4 passesWant and Hodson: 6 passesMimnaugh and Munro: 8 passesHodson and Templeton: 9 passesFulton: 8 completed passesOdoffin: 10 completed passesMcMann: 7 completed passesWant: 9 completed passesHodson: 11 completed passesMartin: 3 completed passesMimnaugh: 11 completed passesMunro: 11 completed passesTempleton: 11 completed passesOwolabi: 4 completed passesWinter: 4 completed passes2323122781821103619FultonOdoffinMcMannWantHodsonMartinMimnaughMunroTempletonOwolabiWinterStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Siegrist and Bolton: 3 passesRobson and Chalmers: 3 passesRobson and Shankland: 3 passesRobson and Clark: 3 passesBolton and Clark: 4 passesReynolds and Robson: 4 passesEdwards and Harkes: 5 passesReynolds and Sporle: 5 passesChalmers and Sporle: 5 passesHarkes and Butcher: 5 passesHarkes and Clark: 5 passesBolton and Chalmers: 6 passesRobson and Harkes: 6 passesChalmers and Clark: 6 passesHarkes and Sporle: 6 passesBolton and Harkes: 7 passesRobson and Sporle: 8 passesSiegrist: 6 completed passesBolton: 14 completed passesEdwards: 7 completed passesReynolds: 6 completed passesRobson: 16 completed passesChalmers: 12 completed passesHarkes: 19 completed passesButcher: 8 completed passesSporle: 12 completed passesShankland: 3 completed passesClark: 8 completed passes1201261715231832410SiegristBoltonEdwardsReynoldsRobsonChalmersHarkesButcherSporleShanklandClarkStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
HodsonTempleton8
MunroTempleton7
TempletonHodson6
MunroMimnaugh5
FultonMcMann5

Dundee United

FromToPasses
HarkesRobson7
RobsonShankland7
BoltonChalmers7
HarkesBolton6
BoltonClark5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

5−1.38+2.022+6.15−4.06+1.314+6.314+5.66−4.33−4.13−1.63−2.43+0.43−2.44−3.92−3.14+1.33+0.69+6.34−0.68+5.43+1.33+1.70−1.04+1.90−0.10−0.30−0.64+3.70−1.00−9.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Dundee United

10+5.27−0.511−2.84−3.27−0.413+7.010+2.28+1.111+4.518+8.86+0.97+3.13−1.52−2.26+0.11−4.44+1.12−0.23+0.55+0.80−3.01−0.50−1.10−2.12−0.50−1.20−0.20−0.42+1.81+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

0.010.020.010.010.020.010.030.020.040.020.040.030.010.060.020.030.080.02−0.020.02−0.01−0.010.010.20LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.030.020.040.020.020.040.020.020.020.030.010.010.030.010.120.03−0.060.070.190.160.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.10AttackHamilton Acad…0.82 → 0.81Dundee United0.95 → 0.94Defence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.58 → 1.56Dundee United1.24 → 1.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hamilton Academical
Top six5%4%−1
11th20%20%0
Bottom42%42%0
Dundee United
Top six42%40%−2
11th7%8%+1
Bottom4%4%0
St. Mirren
Top six12%12%0
11th20%20%0
Bottom21%21%0
Ross County
Top six33%33%0
Bottom6%5%−1

From the forecast before the match (26 September 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
Expected goals0.991.39
Win26%45%
Expected Points1.071.65
Clean sheet25%37%

Hamilton Academical 26%Draw 28%Dundee United 45%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

Dundee United goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%9%9%4%1%5%6%4%2%2%2%1%10%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 September 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHamilton Academical winDrawDundee United win
Hamilton Academical
Top six5%10%4%3%
11th20%18%20%21%
Bottom42%30%42%50%
Dundee United
Top six42%31%40%50%
11th7%10%8%5%
Bottom4%7%4%2%
St. Mirren
Top six12%13%12%11%
11th20%19%20%21%
Bottom21%24%21%18%
Ross County
Top six33%35%33%31%
Bottom6%7%5%5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

  1. L1–219 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 1.57–1.88
  2. W2–112 SepLivingston (A)xG 0.78–2.43
  3. L0–229 AugRangers (H)xG 0.17–4.14
  4. W1–022 AugMotherwell (A)xG 2.22–0.73
  5. L0–115 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.83–1.97
  6. L0–18 AugRoss County (H)xG 0.45–1.50

Dundee United

  1. W2–119 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.82–1.16
  2. L0–412 SepRangers (A)xG 0.91–3.02
  3. L0–429 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.04–1.15
  4. L0–122 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.29–3.00
  5. W2–115 AugRoss County (A)xG 1.34–1.42
  6. L0–111 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.83–0.90

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
Position11th6th
Played78
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠0–⁠53–⁠1–⁠4
Points6 (0.86 per game)10 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game0.731.20
Goals5–⁠126–⁠13
xG per game0.93–⁠2.451.12–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.48–⁠2.541.00, 1.20–⁠1.36
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.26–⁠2.391.50, 1.04–⁠1.68
ManagerBrian Rice (7)Micky Mellon (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.10AttackHamilton Acad…0.82, 12thDundee United0.95, 6thDefence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.58, 12thDundee United1.24, 8th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.0SepHamilton Academical attack: 0.82Dundee United attack: 0.950.950.82Dundee UnitedHamilton AcademicalDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.0SepHamilton Academical defence: 1.58Dundee United defence: 1.241.581.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−64%+134%−17%+43%
Counter-attacks−100%+68%+39%+366%
Set pieces+78%+35%−16%−44%
Penalties−100%−100%−23%−100%
Headers+5%+35%−27%−24%
Left side−27%+145%+35%+38%
Centre−1%+112%−50%+2%
Right side−60%+52%−5%+57%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdDundee United concededLeft side−27%+57%Centre−1%+2%Right side−60%+38%Open play−64%+43%Counter-attacks−100%+366%Set pieces+78%−44%Headers+5%−24%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+35%+52%Centre−50%+112%Right side−5%+145%Open play−17%+134%Counter-attacks+39%+68%Set pieces−16%+35%Headers−27%+35%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

0.93xG1.12
2.45xG against1.52
40%Possession50%
9.7Shots12.4
18.7Shots against15.8
3.1Shots on target2.9
0.7Big chances1.4
292Passes391
61%Pass accuracy73%
5.7Corners6.4
34%Field tilt44%
28.1Final-third entries36.5
8.4Box entries9.6
16.2Passes per defensive action13.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.122.36
Ahead10.000.00
Behind470.782.60

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.851.50
Ahead191.420.74
Behind221.452.23

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.350–3
16–300.190.661–3
31–450.070.271–1
46–600.110.461–3
61–750.170.330–0
76–900.300.392–2

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.141–1
16–300.070.140–2
31–450.230.422–2
46–600.320.232–1
61–750.050.370–3
76–900.290.221–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTFulton 7Hodson 3Odoffin 2Martin 1Odoffin 5Hamilton 1Fjørtoft 1Want 7McMann 6Munro 1L. Smith 3Collar 2Martin 1Callachan 5Trafford 1Martin 5Mimnaugh 3Templeton 3Moyo 1Winter 1Moyo 5Callachan 1Ogboe 4Winter 3Templeton 14-4-2 in 5 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-3-1-2 (2)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTSiegrist 8Neilson 4Bolton 1Freeman 1Connolly 6Edwards 3Reynolds 8Bolton 5Butcher 1Chalmers 1Harkes 7Powers 1Butcher 7Robson 2Pawlett 7Robson 3Chalmers 3Bolton 1Clark 6Chalmers 1Appere 3Shankland 2Robson 23-5-2 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Odoffin7610200.360.09
Callachan6506000.160.04
McMann6526000.020.14
Moyo6489000.080.04

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark6485200.450.04
Pawlett7582100.170.23
Chalmers5460000.120.10
Harkes8707000.130.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.