Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 2–1 Hamilton Academical

Saturday 21 November 2020, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 15 · Half-time 0–0

Dundee United Clark 76', 80'

Hamilton Academical Callachan 65'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	Hamilton Academical
Goals	2	1
xG	0.73	1.44
Non-penalty xG	0.73	0.65
Expected Points	0.67	2.02

Dundee United 12%Draw 31%Hamilton Academical 57%

Most likely score 1–1, 22%. Final score 2–1, 5%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedHamilton Academical

0.73 −0.23xG1.44 +0.45

0.73Non-penalty xG0.65

1.03 +0.24xG on target0.79 −0.33

7 −2.5Shots8 −1.1

3 +0.6Shots on target2 −1.0

1 −0.2Big chances2 +1.1

13 +4.5Touches in the opposition box9 −3.0

58% +11Possession42% +1

414 +52Passes286 −21

68% +1Pass accuracy52% −9

51% +13Field tilt49% +15

37 +6Final-third entries35 +5

10 +2.8Box entries4 −2.9

11.4 −4Passes per defensive action11.9 −2

2 −2.8Corners1 −3.5

9 −6Tackles18 −1

10 −1Interceptions9 −3

18 −9Clearances26 +4

1 −2.4Saves1 −3.5

14 +1Fouls15 +3

3 +1.6Offsides0 −1.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

Hamilton Academical

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedHamilton Academical

0.64 5 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.55 5 shots, 1 goal

0.10 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 2 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–12–1

Level: 69 min (75%) · Dundee United 0.19, Hamilton Academical 0.60 xG
Dundee United ahead: 12 min (13%) · Dundee United 0.10, Hamilton Academical 0.84 xG
Hamilton Academical ahead: 11 min (12%) · Dundee United 0.45, Hamilton Academical 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

53' Bolton for Sporle
53' Shankland for McMullan
60' Harkes for Fuchs
67' Robson for Reynolds

Hamilton Academical substitutes

90' Moyo for Easton

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Siegrist	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	2
Smith	RWB	90		1	0.00	0.26	2	0.39	6	4
Connolly	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.08	8	5
Edwards	CB	90			0.05	0.00	0	0.04	2	6
Reynolds	CB	67			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	3	2
Sporle	LWB	53			0.00	0.00	0	−0.16	2	5
Fuchs	CM	60			0.03	0.01	0	0.07	7	3
McMullan	CM	53			0.00	0.02	0	0.04	2	1
Butcher	CM	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.07	8	3
Clark	ST	90	2		0.56	0.06	1	0.01	3	1
McNulty	ST	90		1	0.09	0.50	2	0.22	5	0
Bolton	DF	37			0.00	0.01	0	−0.02	1	2
Shankland	FW	37			0.00	0.02	1	0.01	2	0
Harkes	MF	30			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	2	2
Robson	DF	23			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	1

Hamilton Academical

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Fulton	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	2
Stirling	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.07	6	7
A. Martin	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	9
Easton	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.05	3	5
Callachan	RWB	90	1		1.30	0.02	0	0.02	0	5
Hodson	CM	90			0.00	0.04	1	0.01	3	4
Odoffin	CM	90			0.03	0.01	0	0.03	3	10
S. Martin	CM	90			0.03	0.01	0	0.02	1	1
McMann	LWB	90			0.04	0.23	1	0.24	6	8
Ogboe	ST	90		1	0.04	0.08	2	0.07	2	0
Smith	ST	90			0.00	0.01	0	−0.02	1	3
Moyo	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Hamilton Academical

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Butcher	Smith	11
Siegrist	Reynolds	10
Connolly	Edwards	9
Smith	McNulty	8
Reynolds	Fuchs	8

Hamilton Academical

From	To	Passes
Hodson	Callachan	13
Hodson	Ogboe	7
Ogboe	Callachan	6
Callachan	Odoffin	6
Easton	Ogboe	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 14 matches

Hamilton Academical

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

Hamilton Academical

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee United
Top six	26%	34%	+8
11th	7%	4%	−3
Bottom	2%	1%	−1
Hamilton Academical
Top six	1%	<1%	−1
11th	20%	20%	0
Bottom	62%	67%	+5
St. Johnstone
Top six	45%	42%	−3
11th	3%	3%	0
Ross County
Top six	4%	4%	0
11th	27%	29%	+2
Bottom	15%	13%	−2

From the forecast before the match (21 November 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	Hamilton Academical
Expected goals	1.71	1.06
Win	52%	23%
Expected Points	1.81	0.94
Clean sheet	35%	18%

Dundee United 52%Draw 25%Hamilton Academical 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 54%.

From the forecast as it stood on 21 November 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	Hamilton Academical win
Dundee United
Top six	26%	34%	21%	15%
11th	7%	4%	9%	11%
Bottom	2%	1%	1%	5%
Hamilton Academical
Top six	1%	<1%	1%	2%
11th	20%	20%	21%	22%
Bottom	62%	67%	62%	50%
St. Johnstone
Top six	45%	42%	46%	50%
11th	3%	3%	3%	2%
Ross County
Top six	4%	4%	4%	5%
11th	27%	29%	27%	24%
Bottom	15%	13%	15%	19%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

Hamilton Academical

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	Hamilton Academical
Position	5th	12th
Played	14	12
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠5–⁠5	2–⁠1–⁠9
Points	17 (1.21 per game)	7 (0.58 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.08	0.67
Goals	10–⁠17	13–⁠33
xG per game	0.96–⁠1.49	0.99–⁠2.70
Home: points, xG per game	1.14, 1.02–⁠1.52	0.20, 0.68–⁠2.65
Away: points, xG per game	1.29, 0.90–⁠1.47	0.86, 1.21–⁠2.73
Manager	Micky Mellon (14)	Brian Rice (12)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		Hamilton Academical
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−29%	+29%	−60%	+134%
Counter-attacks	+35%	+114%	−100%	+320%
Set pieces	−39%	+7%	+36%	+64%
Penalties	−31%	−100%	+20%	−60%
Headers	−56%	+26%	−3%	+73%
Left side	−6%	+9%	−26%	+152%
Centre	−50%	+15%	−20%	+137%
Right side	−16%	+60%	−66%	+58%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side−6%+58%Centre−50%+137%Right side−16%+152%Open play−29%+134%Counter-attacks+35%+320%Set pieces−39%+64%Headers−56%+73%

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdDundee United concededLeft side−26%+60%Centre−20%+15%Right side−66%+9%Open play−60%+29%Counter-attacks−100%+114%Set pieces+36%+7%Headers−3%+26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedHamilton Academical

0.96xG0.99

1.49xG against2.70

47%Possession41%

9.5Shots9.1

15.4Shots against18.8

2.4Shots on target3.0

1.2Big chances0.9

8.5Touches in the opposition box12.0

362Passes307

67%Pass accuracy62%

4.8Corners4.5

38%Field tilt35%

30.7Final-third entries30.3

7.2Box entries6.9

14.9Passes per defensive action14.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	53	0.76	1.39
Ahead	24	1.13	1.33
Behind	13	1.45	2.23

Hamilton Academical

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	30	0.93	2.86
Ahead	1	0.00	0.00
Behind	59	1.03	2.65

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.14	2–1
16–30	0.16	0.17	2–2
31–45	0.15	0.32	2–2
46–60	0.24	0.21	3–2
61–75	0.04	0.32	0–4
76–90	0.22	0.32	1–6

Hamilton Academical

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.06	0.48	0–7
16–30	0.14	0.53	1–9
31–45	0.12	0.32	4–5
46–60	0.16	0.40	1–4
61–75	0.29	0.56	3–5
76–90	0.21	0.41	4–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Hamilton Academical

Formations: 4-4-2 (8), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
26 September 2020	Hamilton Academical	1–1	Dundee United	xG 1.22–1.81

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Dundee United won 0, Hamilton Academical won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–1 and xG 1.81–1.22 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Clark	12	988	5	0	0.37	0.03
Pawlett	10	828	1	0	0.17	0.17
Shankland	8	751	2	0	0.20	0.13
Sporle	4	460	1	1	0.15	0.15

Hamilton Academical

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Templeton	7	516	1	2	0.15	0.23
Callachan	10	882	2	1	0.30	0.05
Odoffin	12	1,060	3	0	0.26	0.05
Ogboe	7	701	1	0	0.18	0.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.