Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 0–0 Dundee United

Saturday 16 January 2021, 15:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 24 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
Goals00
xG0.670.63
Expected Points1.291.28

Hamilton Academical 28%Draw 43%Dundee United 28%

Most likely score 0–0, 25%. Final score 0–0, 25%.

Dundee United goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+4%16%17%3%5%5%1%1%25%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTOgboe on for Moyo, 68'Winter on for Smith, 76'McNulty on for Appere, 58'Hamilton Academical 0.67Dundee United 0.6300.250.50.750153045607590HTOgboe on for Moyo, 68'Winter on for Smith, 76'McNulty on for Appere, 58'0.670.63Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

0.67 −0.18xG0.63 −0.25
0.61 −0.28xG on target0.46 −0.36
11 +2.9Shots6 −3.0
3 +0.4Shots on target2 −0.6
0 −0.9Big chances1 0.0
19 +7Touches in the opposition box13 +2
43% +4Possession57% +11
290 −7Passes402 +43
59% 0Pass accuracy68% +3
36% +5Field tilt64% +27
26 −2Final-third entries43 +13
8 +1.6Box entries9 +1.9
10.5 −5Passes per defensive action12.1 −4
9 +5.5Corners6 +2.0
16 −1Tackles10 −4
13 +1Interceptions15 +4
27 +4Clearances34 +9
2 −1.7Saves3 −0.5
12 −1Fouls6 −7
0 −1.7Offsides1 −0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hamilton Academical

Martin 38', 0.13 xGMoyo 53', 0.09 xGOgboe 70', 0.08 xGHodson 48', 0.07 xGSmith 36', 0.06 xGHamilton 30', 0.05 xGOdoffin 40', 0.05 xGCallachan 45+2', 0.05 xGOdoffin 53', 0.04 xGMcMann 35', 0.03 xGOdoffin 62', 0.03 xG33%0.22 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals42%0.28 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals13%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals7%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Harkes 26', 0.41 xGClark 51', 0.09 xGRobson 5', 0.04 xGShankland 73', 0.04 xGL. Smith 27', 0.03 xGShankland 66', 0.03 xG65%0.41 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.41 xG, 0 goals21%0.13 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals6%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals8%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

0.22 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.56 4 shots, 0 goals
0.44 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.06 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
92 min (100%) · Hamilton Academical 0.67, Dundee United 0.63 xG

Line-ups

23616527243343220FultonHamiltonMartinEastonHodsonOdoffinStirlingMcMannCallachanSmithMoyoYellow card76'68'Hamilton Academical 3-4-1-2Brian Rice13056210423172724SiegristNeilsonConnollyReynoldsL. SmithClarkPowersHarkesRobsonAppereShanklandYellow cardYellow card58'Dundee United 3-5-2Micky Mellon

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 68' Ogboe for Moyo
  • 76' Winter for Smith

Dundee United substitutes

  • 58' McNulty for Appere · yellow card 70'

Players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FultonGK900.000.0000.0340
Hamilton CB900.050.0100.0643
MartinCB900.130.0710.1727
EastonCB900.000.0100.0975
HodsonRWB900.070.0620.1271
OdoffinCM900.110.0100.05717
StirlingCM900.000.0400.0627
McMannLWB900.030.1010.0765
CallachanAM900.050.2340.0535
SmithST760.060.000−0.0302
MoyoST680.090.0000.0214
OgboeFW220.080.000−0.0100
WinterFW140.000.010−0.0100

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0221
Neilson CB900.000.0200.07105
ConnollyCB900.000.0000.06413
Reynolds CB900.000.0200.07614
L. SmithRWB900.030.0810.1165
ClarkCM900.090.0810.1044
PowersCM900.000.6020.29115
HarkesCM900.410.0310.0327
RobsonLWB900.040.030−0.0263
AppereST580.000.030−0.0113
ShanklandST900.070.0700.0871
McNulty FW320.000.0100.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Fulton and Easton: 3 passesFulton and Hodson: 3 passesFulton and Moyo: 3 passesMartin and Hodson: 3 passesMartin and Moyo: 3 passesEaston and Callachan: 3 passesEaston and Smith: 3 passesHamilton and Moyo: 3 passesHodson and Smith: 3 passesStirling and Callachan: 3 passesFulton and Hamilton: 4 passesHodson and Moyo: 4 passesOdoffin and Callachan: 4 passesCallachan and Smith: 4 passesEaston and Stirling: 5 passesHamilton and Smith: 5 passesCallachan and Moyo: 5 passesEaston and Moyo: 6 passesMcMann and Smith: 6 passesHodson and Callachan: 8 passesStirling and McMann: 8 passesHamilton and Hodson: 9 passesEaston and McMann: 12 passesHodson and Odoffin: 19 passesFulton: 15 completed passesMartin: 9 completed passesEaston: 22 completed passesHamilton: 15 completed passesHodson: 27 completed passesOdoffin: 19 completed passesStirling: 13 completed passesMcMann: 18 completed passesCallachan: 13 completed passesMoyo: 9 completed passesSmith: 5 completed passes23165627243342032FultonMartinEastonHamiltonHodsonOdoffinStirlingMcMannCallachanMoyoSmithStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Siegrist and Connolly: 4 passesNeilson and L. Smith: 4 passesPowers and Shankland: 4 passesHarkes and Appere: 4 passesSiegrist and Neilson: 5 passesReynolds and Robson: 5 passesReynolds and Shankland: 5 passesRobson and Harkes: 5 passesSiegrist and Reynolds: 6 passesConnolly and Neilson: 6 passesL. Smith and Harkes: 6 passesPowers and Clark: 6 passesHarkes and Shankland: 6 passesL. Smith and Appere: 7 passesRobson and Shankland: 7 passesConnolly and Reynolds: 9 passesPowers and Harkes: 9 passesAppere and Shankland: 9 passesL. Smith and Clark: 10 passesRobson and Powers: 10 passesL. Smith and Powers: 11 passesL. Smith and Shankland: 11 passesSiegrist: 15 completed passesConnolly: 14 completed passesReynolds: 21 completed passesNeilson: 13 completed passesL. Smith: 27 completed passesRobson: 16 completed passesPowers: 31 completed passesHarkes: 16 completed passesClark: 9 completed passesAppere: 12 completed passesShankland: 21 completed passes15630217423102724SiegristConnollyReynoldsNeilsonL. SmithRobsonPowersHarkesClarkAppereShanklandStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
OdoffinHodson10
HodsonOdoffin10
HodsonHamilton9
StirlingMcMann8
EastonMcMann7

Dundee United

FromToPasses
PowersHarkes10
PowersClark10
PowersL. Smith9
L. SmithClark9
SiegristReynolds8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

4−0.76−1.119+1.46−1.29+3.45−2.76−1.45−1.89+0.23−1.96+1.25+2.07+1.96−0.94−0.52−1.92−0.82−1.35+0.63+0.13+1.51−0.60−1.11−0.82+1.40−0.32+1.60−0.42+1.34−2.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Dundee United

8+2.820+3.47−0.26−1.27−0.76−0.911+1.33−2.03−2.43−1.27+1.87+1.64−0.36+2.73+0.64+1.44+0.61−1.00−1.41+0.11−0.53+1.20−0.60−0.11+0.60−0.30−0.63−4.13−3.64−3.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.020.050.010.030.030.040.02−0.010.030.090.03−0.020.020.01−0.01−0.020.100.16LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.020.040.010.020.020.030.040.050.020.010.120.010.050.01−0.020.020.080.03−0.010.020.23LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackHamilton Acad…0.88 → 0.86Dundee United0.92 → 0.88Defence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.80 → 1.74Dundee United1.28 → 1.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hamilton Academical
11th34%34%0
Bottom46%46%0
Dundee United
Top six33%26%−7
11th2%3%+1
Bottom<1%<1%0
Ross County
11th35%35%0
Bottom44%44%0
Kilmarnock
Top six29%30%+1
11th3%3%0

From the forecast before the match (16 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
Expected goals0.991.45
Win25%47%
Expected Points1.041.69
Clean sheet24%37%

Hamilton Academical 25%Draw 28%Dundee United 47%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

Dundee United goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+9%9%4%2%8%9%4%2%4%6%4%2%1%2%1%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHamilton Academical winDrawDundee United win
Hamilton Academical
11th34%38%34%32%
Bottom46%32%46%53%
Dundee United
Top six33%21%26%43%
11th2%4%3%1%
Bottom<1%1%<1%<1%
Ross County
11th35%26%35%40%
Bottom44%54%44%38%
Kilmarnock
Top six29%33%30%25%
11th3%4%3%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

  1. L0–29 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 0.43–1.50
  2. W3–02 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.87–0.86
  3. D0–030 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.84–2.22
  4. L0–326 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.09–3.69
  5. L0–223 DecLivingston (H)xG 0.05–2.20
  6. W2–019 DecRoss County (A)xG 0.80–0.91

Dundee United

  1. D2–212 JanSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.82–2.25
  2. D0–02 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.46–0.85
  3. L0–330 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.95–2.09
  4. D1–126 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.67–1.82
  5. W2–023 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 0.93–0.65
  6. D1–119 DecHibernian (A)xG 1.43–2.12

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
Position11th6th
Played2223
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠3–⁠146–⁠9–⁠8
Points18 (0.82 per game)27 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game0.770.96
Goals21–⁠4719–⁠29
xG per game0.85–⁠2.230.88–⁠1.51
Home: points, xG per game0.73, 0.60–⁠2.231.33, 0.89–⁠1.51
Away: points, xG per game0.91, 1.09–⁠2.231.00, 0.87–⁠1.50
ManagerBrian Rice (22)Micky Mellon (23)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackHamilton Acad…0.88, 11thDundee United0.92, 10thDefence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.80, 12thDundee United1.28, 9th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanHamilton Academical attack: 0.88Dundee United attack: 0.920.920.88Dundee UnitedHamilton AcademicalDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanHamilton Academical defence: 1.80Dundee United defence: 1.281.801.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−54%+101%−28%+31%
Counter-attacks−90%+168%+74%+150%
Set pieces−7%+37%−44%+9%
Penalties+22%−27%−54%−77%
Headers−20%+91%−62%+21%
Left side−34%+90%+3%+32%
Centre−38%+107%−49%+14%
Right side−55%+38%−25%+51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdDundee United concededLeft side−34%+51%Centre−38%+14%Right side−55%+32%Open play−54%+31%Counter-attacks−90%+150%Set pieces−7%+9%Headers−20%+21%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+3%+38%Centre−49%+107%Right side−25%+90%Open play−28%+101%Counter-attacks+74%+168%Set pieces−44%+37%Headers−62%+91%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

0.85xG0.88
2.23xG against1.51
39%Possession46%
8.1Shots9.0
17.7Shots against15.9
2.6Shots on target2.6
0.9Big chances1.0
12.2Touches in the opposition box10.7
297Passes359
59%Pass accuracy66%
3.5Corners4.0
31%Field tilt36%
28.5Final-third entries30.0
6.4Box entries7.1
15.1Passes per defensive action16.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level380.782.23
Ahead80.781.01
Behind440.922.46

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.691.28
Ahead181.111.42
Behind221.132.08

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.361–8
16–300.100.392–10
31–450.090.294–7
46–600.140.343–7
61–750.270.437–9
76–900.180.414–6

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.153–3
16–300.170.174–5
31–450.120.283–5
46–600.180.224–3
61–750.050.370–6
76–900.220.315–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTFulton 17Gourlay 5Hodson 14Hamilton 3Odoffin 2Odoffin 10Martin 9Stirling 3Want 10Easton 7McMann 1McMann 16Odoffin 2Munro 2Callachan 6Hodson 3L. Smith 3Callachan 8Odoffin 6Stirling 3S. Martin 13Trafford 4Mimnaugh 4McMann 4Templeton 4Smith 3Moyo 16Templeton 2Callachan 1Ogboe 9Winter 8Stirling 34-4-2 in 9 of 22 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTSiegrist 22Mehmet 1Edwards 15Neilson 5L. Smith 5Connolly 18Reynolds 22Bolton 9L. Smith 7Chalmers 3Butcher 16Clark 5Powers 4Pawlett 10Robson 8L. Smith 1Harkes 18Fuchs 5Robson 10Sporle 5Bolton 3Clark 12McNulty 7Chalmers 1Shankland 16Appere 5Robson 23-5-2 in 8 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (8), 4-4-2 (8), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 November 2020Dundee United2–1Hamilton AcademicalxG 0.73–1.44
26 September 2020Hamilton Academical1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.22–1.81

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Hamilton Academical won 0, Dundee United won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–3 and xG 1.33–1.27 per game.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Callachan171,505620.330.07
Templeton7516120.150.23
Mimnaugh5478010.010.23
Ogboe9866210.190.03

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark171,429810.340.09
Shankland161,486410.210.10
Pawlett121,037100.140.14
Sporle7726110.120.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.