Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Motherwell v Rangers

Saturday 21 November 2026, 20:00 · Fir Park · Round 14

Forecast

MotherwellRangers
Expected goals1.091.70
Win24%51%
Expected Points0.961.79
Clean sheet18%34%

Motherwell 24%Draw 25%Rangers 51%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 55%.

Rangers goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+7%5%2%6%5%2%4%6%5%3%1%1%2%2%1%10%9%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  2. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  3. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  4. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  5. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16
  6. D3–330 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.45–2.92

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellRangers
Position9th2nd
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠46–⁠1–⁠1
Points8 (1.00 per game)19 (2.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.272.06
Goals9–⁠1311–⁠5
xG per game1.51–⁠1.872.17–⁠1.02
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.40–⁠1.112.25, 2.60–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.61–⁠2.632.50, 1.73–⁠0.84
ManagerAlfred Johansson (8)Derek McInnes (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackMotherwell1.30, 5thRangers1.92, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.32, 5thRangers0.97, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctMotherwell attack: 1.30Rangers attack: 1.921.921.30RangersMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctMotherwell defence: 1.32Rangers defence: 0.971.320.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+6%+1%+42%−46%
Counter-attacks−12%+81%+20%+14%
Set pieces−42%average+42%−33%
Penalties+20%+80%+20%−40%
Headers−43%−1%+40%−50%
Left side−32%−13%+17%−14%
Centre−31%+19%+66%−31%
Right side+58%+22%+20%−59%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRangers concededLeft side−32%−59%Centre−31%−31%Right side+58%−14%Open play+6%−46%Counter-attacks−12%+14%Set pieces−42%−33%Headers−43%−50%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdMotherwell concededLeft side+17%+22%Centre+66%+19%Right side+20%−13%Open play+42%+1%Counter-attacks+20%+81%Set pieces+42%averageHeaders+40%−1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellRangers

1.51xG2.17
1.87xG against1.02
58%Possession55%
14.0Shots20.1
16.4Shots against9.5
4.4Shots on target6.2
2.1Big chances2.9
24.6Touches in the opposition box38.1
571Passes449
88%Pass accuracy80%
5.1Corners7.4
59%Field tilt60%
50.8Final-third entries47.5
14.1Box entries18.6
14.8Passes per defensive action11.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.601.37
Ahead172.361.40
Behind401.082.49

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.181–2
16–300.280.342–1
31–450.270.242–5
46–600.140.460–3
61–750.280.262–0
76–900.220.392–2

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 8Sparrow 8Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 1Moormann 8Longelo 7Williams 1Fadinger 8Priestman 2Hodge 5Levitt 1Maswanhise 4Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 4Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 4Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 2Maswanhise 2Lowry 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 September 2026Rangers1–0MotherwellxG 4.29–0.70
26 April 2026Rangers2–3MotherwellxG 2.70–0.76
11 February 2026Motherwell1–1RangersxG 1.57–1.65
27 December 2025Rangers1–0MotherwellxG 4.14–1.07
2 August 2025Motherwell1–1RangersxG 2.15–0.83
1 March 2025Rangers1–2MotherwellxG 1.35–0.78

21 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 3, Rangers won 12, and 6 were drawn. Goals 23–45 and xG 0.79–2.49 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise6491120.600.05
Lowry6534210.260.23
Longelo8656000.080.24
Fadinger8689100.180.06

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.