Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Falkirk 1–1 Rangers

Sunday 5 October 2025, 15:00 · Falkirk Stadium · Round 7 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 7,652

Falkirk Cartwright 73'

Rangers Miovski 41'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

FalkirkRangers
Goals11
xG1.431.09
Expected Points1.581.09

Falkirk 41%Draw 33%Rangers 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 23%. Final score 1–1, 23%.

Rangers goalsFalkirk goals0123456+0123456+4%11%4%7%7%1%5%15%6%2%6%2%2%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTAgyeman on for Wilson, 58'Cartwright on for Tait and Graham on for MacIver, 69'Arfield on for Williams and Samuel-Ogunsuyi on for Miller, 75'Antman on for Moore and Chermiti on for Miovski, 61'Diomande on for Rothwell, 70'Bajrami on for Raskin and Aasgaard on for Barron, 83'Cartwright 73'Miovski 41'Falkirk 1.43Rangers 1.0900.511.50153045607590HTAgyeman on for Wilson, 58'Cartwright on for Tait and Graham on for MacIver, 69'Arfield on for Williams and Samuel-Ogunsuyi on for Miller, 75'Antman on for Moore and Chermiti on for Miovski, 61'Diomande on for Rothwell, 70'Bajrami on for Raskin and Aasgaard on for Barron, 83'Cartwright 73'Miovski 41'1.431.09FalkirkRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

FalkirkRangers

1.43 +0.33xG1.09 −0.24
0.94 −0.20xG on target1.04 −0.57
16 +4Shots11 −2
4 −0.5Shots on target2 −2.8
3 +1.0Big chances1 −1.0
20 −2Touches in the opposition box26 −3
43% −13Possession57% −6
315 −120Passes437 −109
71% −7Pass accuracy80% −5
53% −2Field tilt47% −18
29 −8Final-third entries49 −4
9 −3Box entries18 +2
8.3 −6Passes per defensive action7.8 −4
7 +2.5Corners6 −2.3
31 +14Tackles18 +2
12 +6.2Interceptions8 +0.2
31 +2Clearances44 +25
1 −3.2Saves3 +0.5
15 +4Fouls16 +4
0 −3.5Offsides2 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Falkirk

MacIver 16', 0.41 xGWilson 16', 0.25 xGMacIver 66', 0.11 xGGraham 88', 0.11 xGWilliams 25', 0.08 xGMiller 63', 0.07 xGHenderson 63', 0.07 xGHenderson 26', 0.06 xGTait 26', 0.06 xGGraham 88', 0.06 xGSpencer 27', 0.04 xGWilliams 24', 0.03 xGAdams 57', 0.02 xGAgyeman 84', 0.02 xGMcCann 45+2', 0.01 xGCartwright 73', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals90%1.28 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.28 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals8%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 1 goal2%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Tavernier 15', 0.12 xGMiovski 13', 0.05 xGMoore 32', 0.05 xGRaskin 36', 0.04 xGTavernier 14', 0.03 xGSouttar 90+2', 0.03 xGGassama 82', 0.02 xGBarron 34', 0.01 xGChermiti 71', 0.01 xGGassama 90+1', 0.01 xGMiovski 41', 0.73 xG, goal67%0.73 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.73 xG, 1 goal16%0.17 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals17%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

FalkirkRangers

1.02 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.87 6 shots, 1 goal
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.39 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.22 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
65 min (66%) · Falkirk 1.12, Rangers 1.08 xG
Rangers ahead
34 min (34%) · Falkirk 0.30, Rangers 0.01 xG

Line-ups

19251538212224299BainAdamsHendersonNeilsonMcCannSpencerTaitWilsonWilliamsMillerMacIverYellow card69'58'75'75'69'Falkirk 4-2-3-1John McGlynn12245136847432328ButlandTavernierDjigaSouttarCorneliusRothwellBarronMooreRaskinGassamaMiovskiYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal70'83'61'83'61'Rangers 4-2-3-1Russell Martin

Falkirk substitutes

  • 58' Agyeman for Wilson
  • 69' Cartwright for Tait · goal 73'
  • 69' Graham for MacIver
  • 75' Arfield for Williams
  • 75' Samuel-Ogunsuyi for Miller

Rangers substitutes

  • 61' Antman for Moore
  • 61' Chermiti for Miovski
  • 70' Diomande for Rothwell · yellow card 87'
  • 83' Bajrami for Raskin
  • 83' Aasgaard for Barron

Players

Falkirk

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0110
AdamsRB900.020.0400.1247
HendersonCB900.130.0000.0339
NeilsonCB900.000.0000.03211
McCannLB900.010.0100.03314
Spencer DM900.040.0200.00310
TaitDM690.060.0300.0975
WilsonRW580.250.5010.1733
WilliamsAM750.110.0510.1161
MillerLW750.070.1210.0842
MacIverST690.520.011−0.0312
AgyemanFW320.020.4530.3472
CartwrightMF2110.030.0000.0002
GrahamFW210.170.001−0.0102
ArfieldMF150.000.0100.0106
Samuel-OgunsuyiFW150.000.000−0.0102

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0211
Tavernier RB900.150.1830.171010
DjigaCB900.000.1500.12318
SouttarCB900.030.0100.06512
CorneliusLB9010.000.1310.26714
RothwellDM700.000.0500.0622
Barron DM830.010.0900.1146
MooreRW610.050.0500.0831
RaskinAM830.040.0310.0533
Gassama LW900.030.1120.1844
MiovskiST6110.780.010−0.1300
AntmanFW290.000.0200.0331
ChermitiFW290.010.0000.0000
Diomande MF200.000.0100.0433
BajramiMF70.000.010−0.0300
AasgaardMF70.000.2500.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Falkirk

McCann and Tait: 4 passesSpencer and Miller: 4 passesWilson and MacIver: 4 passesWilliams and MacIver: 4 passesMiller and MacIver: 4 passesTait and MacIver: 5 passesAdams and Neilson: 6 passesHenderson and Williams: 6 passesTait and Wilson: 6 passesWilson and Williams: 6 passesWilliams and Miller: 6 passesBain and Henderson: 7 passesAdams and Tait: 8 passesHenderson and Spencer: 8 passesMcCann and Spencer: 8 passesMcCann and Miller: 8 passesTait and Miller: 8 passesAdams and Wilson: 9 passesNeilson and Spencer: 9 passesTait and Spencer: 9 passesAdams and Spencer: 12 passesHenderson and McCann: 12 passesBain: 10 completed passesAdams: 25 completed passesNeilson: 14 completed passesHenderson: 21 completed passesMcCann: 24 completed passesTait: 22 completed passesSpencer: 30 completed passesWilson: 11 completed passesWilliams: 16 completed passesMiller: 16 completed passesMacIver: 10 completed passes19215532182224299BainAdamsNeilsonHendersonMcCannTaitSpencerWilsonWilliamsMillerMacIverStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Rangers

Djiga and Moore: 4 passesCornelius and Rothwell: 4 passesRothwell and Barron: 4 passesRaskin and Gassama: 4 passesRaskin and Miovski: 4 passesTavernier and Souttar: 5 passesTavernier and Rothwell: 5 passesSouttar and Barron: 5 passesCornelius and Barron: 5 passesCornelius and Raskin: 5 passesRothwell and Gassama: 5 passesDjiga and Rothwell: 6 passesDjiga and Raskin: 7 passesSouttar and Rothwell: 7 passesButland and Souttar: 8 passesSouttar and Cornelius: 8 passesBarron and Moore: 8 passesButland and Djiga: 10 passesDjiga and Barron: 10 passesTavernier and Barron: 12 passesTavernier and Moore: 12 passesDjiga and Souttar: 12 passesTavernier and Raskin: 15 passesCornelius and Gassama: 18 passesTavernier and Djiga: 20 passesButland: 19 completed passesTavernier: 38 completed passesDjiga: 38 completed passesSouttar: 25 completed passesCornelius: 25 completed passesRothwell: 18 completed passesBarron: 28 completed passesMoore: 13 completed passesRaskin: 19 completed passesGassama: 17 completed passesMiovski: 6 completed passes12245136847432328ButlandTavernierDjigaSouttarCorneliusRothwellBarronMooreRaskinGassamaMiovskiStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Falkirk

FromToPasses
McCannHenderson9
McCannMiller9
AdamsTait7
AdamsWilson7
SpencerAdams7

Rangers

FromToPasses
DjigaTavernier19
CorneliusGassama17
SouttarCornelius12
RaskinTavernier10
BarronTavernier10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Falkirk

9+1.79+3.712−2.010+3.75+1.212+6.02−3.712+5.314+6.311+5.514+8.35−0.33−0.23−1.58+1.89+5.24−0.23+0.85+2.58+3.57+3.70−1.53+2.34+2.25+2.02+1.50−0.20−0.50−0.20−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Rangers

3−1.58+1.820+9.87+1.88+4.39+2.812+7.010+5.79+2.27+0.25+2.56+1.51−4.21−3.76−1.32−1.02−1.73+1.35+1.59+5.330.05+4.34+2.80−1.72−0.50−0.70−0.71−0.32+1.71−0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Falkirk

0.010.010.010.010.030.010.010.010.020.010.010.060.020.030.020.020.040.02−0.02−0.010.010.150.090.38LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.020.030.010.040.020.020.020.020.110.030.010.070.100.040.060.040.03−0.180.090.120.130.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackFalkirk0.97 → 1.01Rangers1.83 → 1.79Defence (lower is better)Falkirk1.79 → 1.70Rangers1.00 → 1.02

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Falkirk
Top six4%6%+2
11th21%22%+1
Bottom42%36%−6
Rangers
Title2%2%0
Top six99%99%0
Dundee FC
Top six4%4%0
11th24%23%−1
Bottom20%22%+2
Livingston
11th26%25%−1
Bottom25%28%+3

From the forecast before the match (5 October 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

FalkirkRangers
Expected goals0.852.18
Win13%67%
Expected Points0.582.22
Clean sheet11%43%

Falkirk 13%Draw 20%Rangers 67%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

Rangers goalsFalkirk goals0123456+0123456+5%5%2%1%4%7%4%2%2%4%4%3%2%1%1%10%12%8%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 October 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowFalkirk winDrawRangers win
Falkirk
Top six4%10%6%3%
11th21%20%22%21%
Bottom42%27%36%46%
Rangers
Title2%1%2%3%
Top six99%98%99%99%
Dundee FC
Top six4%4%4%4%
11th24%23%23%24%
Bottom20%27%22%18%
Livingston
11th26%25%25%26%
Bottom25%29%28%23%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Falkirk

  1. L0–327 SepHearts (A)xG 0.67–1.94
  2. D2–223 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.18–2.43
  3. L1–213 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.70–1.57
  4. W1–031 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.26–0.96
  5. L1–39 AugLivingston (A)xG 0.78–1.59
  6. D2–23 AugDundee United (H)xG 2.02–1.19

Rangers

  1. W2–128 SepLivingston (A)xG 2.38–0.74
  2. L0–213 SepHearts (H)xG 1.11–2.37
  3. D0–031 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.15–0.19
  4. D1–124 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.56–1.01
  5. D1–19 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–0.34
  6. D1–12 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.83–2.15

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

FalkirkRangers
Position11th8th
Played66
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠2–⁠31–⁠4–⁠1
Points5 (0.83 per game)7 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game0.991.50
Goals7–⁠125–⁠6
xG per game1.10–⁠1.611.33–⁠1.13
Home: points, xG per game0.67, 1.30–⁠1.730.67, 1.08–⁠0.97
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.90–⁠1.501.67, 1.59–⁠1.30
ManagerJohn McGlynn (6)Russell Martin (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackFalkirk0.97, 12thRangers1.83, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Falkirk1.79, 12thRangers1.00, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctFalkirk attack: 0.97Rangers attack: 1.831.830.97RangersFalkirkDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctFalkirk defence: 1.79Rangers defence: 1.001.791.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

FalkirkRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−1%−4%+15%−48%
Counter-attacks−54%+137%−85%+29%
Set pieces−4%−1%−31%+25%
Penalties−100%+105%+105%+3%
Headers+22%+17%+6%+3%
Left side−51%−26%−8%+42%
Centre+10%+26%average−33%
Right side−7%+19%−40%−29%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdRangers concededLeft side−51%−29%Centre+10%−33%Right side−7%+42%Open play−1%−48%Counter-attacks−54%+29%Set pieces−4%+25%Headers+22%+3%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdFalkirk concededLeft side−8%+19%Centreaverage+26%Right side−40%−26%Open play+15%−4%Counter-attacks−85%+137%Set pieces−31%−1%Headers+6%+17%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

FalkirkRangers

1.10xG1.33
1.61xG against1.13
56%Possession64%
11.5Shots13.5
13.3Shots against10.5
4.5Shots on target4.8
2.0Big chances2.0
22.0Touches in the opposition box28.8
435Passes546
78%Pass accuracy85%
4.5Corners8.3
55%Field tilt65%
37.5Final-third entries53.4
12.3Box entries15.5
14.0Passes per defensive action11.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level521.041.57
Ahead20.120.12
Behind351.261.78

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.990.67
Ahead201.351.91
Behind261.911.33

xG by period

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.100–0
16–300.140.510–3
31–450.230.391–4
46–600.130.261–1
61–750.260.194–2
76–900.150.161–2

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.061–0
16–300.310.181–1
31–450.320.080–1
46–600.170.190–1
61–750.080.210–1
76–900.300.413–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 6Adams 6Neilson 4McCann 1Lissah 1Henderson 6McCann 5Neilson 1Cartwright 4Tait 2Spencer 6Miller 3Arfield 2Williams 1Tait 4Ross 1Nesbitt 1Miller 3Williams 1Arfield 1MacIver 5Graham 14-2-3-1 in every start

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 6Tavernier 4Aarons 2Djiga 4Fernandez 1Souttar 6Cornelius 1Meghoma 4Aarons 1Jefte 1Diomande 4Barron 2Raskin 3Rothwell 2Aasgaard 1Antman 3Gassama 2Dowell 1Aasgaard 2Cameron 2Barron 1Gassama 4Moore 2Miovski 3Aasgaard 1Dessers 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miller6465010.210.19
Tait6490100.150.15
Spencer6540010.080.21
McCann6496010.000.11

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Gassama6525000.120.18
Souttar6540000.070.04
Butland6540000.000.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.