Rangers Morelos 11', 64', Kamara 72', Arfield 75', Sakala 84'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Rangers
Hearts
Goals
5
0
xG
4.76
0.57
Expected Points
2.96
0.02
Rangers 98%Draw 1%Hearts <1%
Most likely score 6+–0, 17%. Final score 5–0, 13%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
RangersHearts
4.76 +2.83xG0.57 −0.81
5.61 +3.52xG on target0.44 −1.01
22 +3Shots9 −4
11 +4.3Shots on target3 −1.5
7 +4.7Big chances2 +0.2
36 0Touches in the opposition box13 −10
57% −7Possession43% −11
477 −76Passes360 −73
80% −4Pass accuracy75% 0
71% −4Field tilt29% −24
49 −7Final-third entries34 −8
20 0Box entries7 −5
8.8 −3Passes per defensive action11.6 −2
4 −4.0Corners3 −2.5
28 +14Tackles24 +9
15 +8.5Interceptions8 −0.7
10 −4Clearances11 −6
3 +1.2Saves6 +1.9
12 +1Fouls12 0
1 −0.8Offsides0 −2.1
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Rangers
Hearts
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
11'64'72'75'84'
0–01–02–04–05–0
0'HTFT
Level
11 min (12%) · Rangers 0.98, Hearts 0.02 xG
Rangers ahead
83 min (88%) · Rangers 3.78, Hearts 0.55 xG
Line-ups
Rangers substitutes
68'Kamara for Jack · goal 72'
76'Ramsey for Arfield
76'Sakala for Aribo · goal 84'
85'Diallo for Kent
85'Davis for Lundstram
Hearts substitutes
46'Simms for McEneff
73'Woodburn for Devlin
73'Haring for Atkinson
73'Ginnelly for Baningime
78'Halliday for Boyce
Players
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McGregor
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
0
Tavernier
RB
90
0.04
0.23
3
0.12
6
6
Goldson
CB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.10
9
5
Balogun
CB
90
0.07
0.00
0
0.02
2
12
Bassey
LB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.11
4
8
Jack
DM
68
0.13
0.07
1
0.12
8
4
Lundstram
DM
85
0.13
0.03
0
0.04
6
7
Arfield
RW
76
1
1.23
0.06
2
0.04
2
2
Kent
AM
85
2
0.45
1.17
4
0.54
9
5
Aribo
LW
76
0.15
0.02
2
0.02
3
2
Morelos
ST
90
2
1
1.48
0.24
2
0.16
2
1
Kamara
MF
22
1
0.58
0.00
0
0.06
1
1
Ramsey
MF
14
0.00
0.04
0
−0.07
0
0
Sakala
FW
14
1
0.50
0.04
0
0.09
3
1
Diallo
MF
5
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
0
1
Davis
MF
5
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
0
0
Hearts
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Gordon
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
0
Moore
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.09
13
3
Sibbick
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
11
Kingsley
CB
90
0.00
0.06
1
0.21
3
6
Atkinson
RWB
73
0.12
0.02
0
−0.01
6
5
Baningime
CM
73
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
5
Devlin
CM
73
0.10
0.01
1
0.03
2
5
Cochrane
LWB
90
0.06
0.01
0
0.02
3
3
McEneff
RW
46
0.13
0.00
0
−0.02
3
2
McKay
ST
90
0.04
0.19
2
0.30
4
3
Boyce
LW
78
0.03
0.08
1
0.04
2
1
Simms
FW
44
0.00
0.07
1
0.08
1
1
Woodburn
MF
17
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Haring
MF
17
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Ginnelly
FW
17
0.08
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Halliday
MF
12
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Rangers
Hearts
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Bassey
Aribo
14
Goldson
Tavernier
11
Lundstram
Bassey
11
Bassey
Lundstram
10
Morelos
Arfield
9
Hearts
From
To
Passes
Moore
Sibbick
10
Atkinson
McEneff
9
Moore
Devlin
9
Sibbick
Kingsley
9
Sibbick
Moore
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Rangers
Against its average of 24 matches
Hearts
Against its average of 24 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Rangers
Hearts
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Rangers
Title
30%
34%
+4
Celtic
Title
70%
66%
−4
From the forecast before the match (6 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Rangers
Hearts
Expected goals
1.98
0.73
Win
66%
12%
Expected Points
2.20
0.59
Clean sheet
48%
14%
Rangers 66%Draw 21%Hearts 12%
Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 45%.
From the forecast as it stood on 6 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Rangers win
Draw
Hearts win
Rangers
Title
30%
34%
24%
18%
Celtic
Title
70%
66%
76%
82%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Rangers
Hearts
Position
2nd
3rd
Played
24
24
Won, drawn, lost
17–5–2
12–7–5
Points
56 (2.33 per game)
43 (1.79 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.16
1.55
Goals
48–21
34–20
xG per game
1.93–0.71
1.38–1.21
Home: points, xG per game
2.50, 2.04–0.46
2.08, 1.65–1.03
Away: points, xG per game
2.17, 1.82–0.97
1.45, 1.05–1.42
Manager
Giovanni van Bronckhorst (11)
Robbie Neilson (24)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Rangers
Hearts
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+68%
−42%
+4%
+13%
Counter-attacks
+31%
−92%
+137%
−32%
Set pieces
+46%
−41%
−18%
+13%
Penalties
+66%
−1%
+132%
−100%
Headers
+57%
−43%
−24%
−10%
Left side
+25%
−35%
+38%
−9%
Centre
+49%
−50%
−33%
+8%
Right side
+112%
−41%
+44%
+37%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
RangersHearts
1.93xG1.38
0.71xG against1.21
64%Possession54%
18.9Shots12.6
6.8Shots against13.3
6.7Shots on target4.5
2.3Big chances1.8
36.5Touches in the opposition box23.4
553Passes433
84%Pass accuracy74%
8.0Corners5.5
75%Field tilt53%
56.4Final-third entries42.5
19.5Box entries12.2
12.2Passes per defensive action13.3
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
34
1.96
0.67
Ahead
42
1.90
0.81
Behind
14
1.90
0.52
Hearts
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
44
1.46
1.11
Ahead
30
1.52
0.94
Behind
16
0.89
1.97
xG by period
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.27
0.13
8–6
16–30
0.27
0.14
8–4
31–45
0.29
0.11
7–3
46–60
0.35
0.07
8–1
61–75
0.27
0.13
7–3
76–90
0.47
0.14
10–4
Hearts
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.16
0.19
4–4
16–30
0.14
0.17
5–2
31–45
0.28
0.20
7–5
46–60
0.32
0.17
5–2
61–75
0.29
0.19
8–5
76–90
0.18
0.29
5–2
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.