Matches › 2020/21

Ross County 2–1 Hamilton Academical

Wednesday 12 May 2021, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 37 · Half-time 1–1

Ross County Spittal 28', Lakin 70'

Hamilton Academical McMann 26'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Ross County	Hamilton Academical
Goals	2	1
xG	0.41	0.69
Expected Points	0.99	1.55

Ross County 18%Draw 46%Hamilton Academical 36%

Most likely score 0–0, 34%. Final score 2–1, 2%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyHamilton Academical

0.41 −0.63xG0.69 −0.21

0.88 −0.01xG on target0.53 −0.31

8 −1.8Shots10 +0.9

2 −1.2Shots on target2 −0.9

0 −1.3Big chances1 +0.1

5 −10Touches in the opposition box18 +4

46% −2Possession54% +14

344 −35Passes400 +102

55% −14Pass accuracy62% +3

48% +2Field tilt52% +18

34 −1Final-third entries34 +6

1 −6.7Box entries10 +2.9

12.7 −2Passes per defensive action9.8 −4

0 −4.2Corners8 +3.9

11 −3Tackles10 −7

13 +2Interceptions12 0

19 −6Clearances13 −11

1 −2.2Saves1 −2.4

16 +2Fouls14 +1

0 −1.6Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Ross County

Hamilton Academical

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyHamilton Academical

0.21 6 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.47 7 shots, 0 goals

0.12 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.08 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.22 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–12–1

Level: 68 min (72%) · Ross County 0.15, Hamilton Academical 0.48 xG
Ross County ahead: 25 min (26%) · Ross County 0.23, Hamilton Academical 0.21 xG
Hamilton Academical ahead: 2 min (2%) · Ross County 0.04, Hamilton Academical 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Ross County substitutes

52' Watson for Iacovitti
65' Lakin for Hjelde · goal 70'
87' Paton for Spittal
87' Charles-Cook for Gardyne

Hamilton Academical substitutes

75' Thomas for Easton
79' L. Smith for Mimnaugh
79' C. Smith for Anderson

Players

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Laidlaw	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
Naismith	RB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.07	10	2
Donaldson	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	8
Iacovitti	CB	52			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	3
Hjelde	LB	65			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	8
Tillson	CM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	3
Vigurs	CM	90			0.08	0.02	0	0.06	4	5
Kelly	CM	90			0.07	0.05	0	0.01	3	5
Spittal	RW	87	1		0.08	0.03	1	0.06	6	4
White	ST	90		2	0.00	0.04	4	−0.01	1	1
Gardyne	LW	87			0.03	0.01	0	−0.01	4	1
Watson	DF	38			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Lakin	MF	25	1		0.04	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Paton	MF	3			0.12	0.00	0	0.04	2	0
Charles-Cook	FW	3			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Hamilton Academical

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gourlay	GK	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.06	4	0
Hamilton	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.09	9	6
Martin	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.05	7	9
McMann	CB	90	1	0.16	0.28	2	0.23	8	5
Hodson	DM	90		0.00	0.07	1	0.08	5	2
Callachan	RWB	90		0.26	0.02	0	0.03	3	2
Odoffin	CM	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.01	3	7
Mimnaugh	CM	79		0.00	0.02	0	−0.05	2	2
Easton	LWB	75		0.00	0.06	0	0.14	7	3
Anderson	ST	79		0.06	0.01	0	0.00	0	0
Moyo	ST	90		0.14	0.08	1	0.01	5	0
Thomas	FW	15		0.03	0.24	2	0.28	4	0
L. Smith	MF	11		0.05	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
C. Smith	FW	11		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Hamilton Academical

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Kelly	Vigurs	7
Tillson	Naismith	7
Naismith	White	7
Gardyne	Kelly	7
Vigurs	Kelly	6

Hamilton Academical

From	To	Passes
McMann	Callachan	13
Hodson	Hamilton	11
Easton	McMann	11
Callachan	McMann	11
McMann	Easton	10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

Against its average of 36 matches

Hamilton Academical

Against its average of 36 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

Hamilton Academical

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Ross County
11th	37%	21%	−16
Bottom	17%	–	−17
Hamilton Academical
11th	20%	10%	−10
Bottom	65%	90%	+25
Kilmarnock
11th	43%	68%	+25
Bottom	17%	10%	−7

From the forecast before the match (12 May 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Ross County	Hamilton Academical
Expected goals	1.38	1.15
Win	41%	31%
Expected Points	1.52	1.20
Clean sheet	32%	25%

Ross County 41%Draw 28%Hamilton Academical 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 12 May 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Ross County win	Draw	Hamilton Academical win
Ross County
11th	37%	21%	56%	41%
Bottom	17%	–	5%	51%
Hamilton Academical
11th	20%	10%	17%	36%
Bottom	65%	90%	75%	25%
Kilmarnock
11th	43%	68%	27%	23%
Bottom	17%	10%	20%	24%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

Hamilton Academical

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Ross County	Hamilton Academical
Position	10th	12th
Played	36	36
Won, drawn, lost	9–⁠6–⁠21	7–⁠9–⁠20
Points	33 (0.92 per game)	30 (0.83 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.91	0.91
Goals	31–⁠64	33–⁠63
xG per game	1.04–⁠1.76	0.90–⁠1.87
Home: points, xG per game	0.89, 1.00–⁠2.03	0.67, 0.77–⁠1.78
Away: points, xG per game	0.94, 1.07–⁠1.49	1.00, 1.03–⁠1.95
Manager	John Hughes (18)	Brian Rice (36)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Ross County		Hamilton Academical
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−17%	+33%	−40%	+66%
Counter-attacks	+27%	+1%	−55%	+92%
Set pieces	−7%	+18%	−12%	+14%
Penalties	−68%	+127%	−3%	−3%
Headers	+15%	+1%	−15%	+44%
Left side	−23%	+26%	−43%	+44%
Centre	−2%	+38%	−29%	+70%
Right side	−22%	+9%	−29%	+30%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side−23%+30%Centre−2%+70%Right side−22%+44%Open play−17%+66%Counter-attacks+27%+92%Set pieces−7%+14%Headers+15%+44%

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdRoss County concededLeft side−43%+9%Centre−29%+38%Right side−29%+26%Open play−40%+33%Counter-attacks−55%+1%Set pieces−12%+18%Headers−15%+1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyHamilton Academical

1.04xG0.90

1.76xG against1.87

48%Possession40%

9.8Shots9.1

14.1Shots against16.3

3.2Shots on target2.9

1.3Big chances0.9

15.1Touches in the opposition box14.5

379Passes298

69%Pass accuracy59%

4.2Corners4.1

45%Field tilt34%

35.2Final-third entries28.3

7.7Box entries7.1

14.2Passes per defensive action14.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	1.00	1.74
Ahead	16	0.75	1.81
Behind	31	1.23	1.76

Hamilton Academical

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	0.84	1.88
Ahead	12	0.93	1.09
Behind	39	0.94	2.10

xG by period

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.30	4–7
16–30	0.15	0.25	10–11
31–45	0.15	0.21	3–5
46–60	0.21	0.34	4–12
61–75	0.15	0.32	2–14
76–90	0.23	0.34	8–15

Hamilton Academical

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.28	2–11
16–30	0.13	0.33	6–11
31–45	0.15	0.30	6–10
46–60	0.16	0.30	4–9
61–75	0.22	0.33	9–12
76–90	0.15	0.33	6–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (8), 4-5-1 (5), 4-4-1-1 (5), 3-5-1-1 (4), 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Hamilton Academical

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 4-4-2 (9), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-1-4-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
3 February 2021	Hamilton Academical	1–2	Ross County	xG 0.49–1.44
19 December 2020	Ross County	0–2	Hamilton Academical	xG 0.91–0.80
8 August 2020	Hamilton Academical	0–1	Ross County	xG 0.45–1.50

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 2, Hamilton Academical won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 3–3 and xG 1.28–0.58 per game.

Key players

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Stewart	19	1,650	2	1	0.37	0.06
McKay	14	1,288	5	1	0.31	0.11
White	9	838	4	2	0.33	0.06
Shaw	12	1,259	6	1	0.29	0.06

Hamilton Academical

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Callachan	31	2,740	9	3	0.32	0.09
Templeton	7	516	1	2	0.15	0.23
Ogboe	15	1,287	3	1	0.23	0.03
Anderson	11	939	2	2	0.18	0.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.