Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Ross County 0–2 Hamilton Academical

Saturday 19 December 2020, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 18 · Half-time 0–1

Hamilton Academical Callachan 22', S. Martin 62'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyHamilton Academical
Goals02
xG0.910.80
Expected Points1.381.25

Ross County 34%Draw 37%Hamilton Academical 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 0–2, 5%.

Hamilton Academical goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+5%1%5%7%7%3%2%2%17%16%15%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTPaton on for Tillson, 63'Wright on for McKay, 77'Munro on for Thomas, 57'Hughes on for S. Martin, 65'Hamilton on for Stirling and Winter on for Moyo, 79'Callachan 22'S. Martin 62'Ross County 0.91Hamilton Academical 0.8000.250.50.7510153045607590HTPaton on for Tillson, 63'Wright on for McKay, 77'Munro on for Thomas, 57'Hughes on for S. Martin, 65'Hamilton on for Stirling and Winter on for Moyo, 79'Callachan 22'S. Martin 62'0.910.80Ross CountyHamilton Academical

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyHamilton Academical

0.91 −0.14xG0.80 −0.17
0.44 −0.12xG on target0.88 −0.15
19 +9.2Shots9 +0.2
3 +0.5Shots on target3 +0.1
0 −1.3Big chances1 +0.1
30 +15Touches in the opposition box14 +2
73% +24Possession27% −13
553 +152Passes209 −95
79% +6Pass accuracy44% −18
81% +31Field tilt19% −16
60 +19Final-third entries18 −13
16 +8.1Box entries4 −3.0
8.4 −6Passes per defensive action17.4 +3
7 +3.1Corners3 −0.8
10 −3Tackles14 −4
6 −4Interceptions12 +1
14 −10Clearances25 +3
1 −1.5Saves3 −0.9
11 −4Fouls14 +1
0 −1.8Offsides3 +1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

McKay 20', 0.11 xGWatson 40', 0.08 xGStewart 54', 0.06 xGPaton 74', 0.06 xGIacovitti 87', 0.06 xGGardyne 6', 0.05 xGVigurs 65', 0.05 xGShaw 80', 0.05 xGStewart 20', 0.04 xGShaw 25', 0.04 xGVigurs 45', 0.04 xGShaw 45', 0.04 xGGardyne 56', 0.04 xGMorris 72', 0.04 xGVigurs 77', 0.04 xGShaw 87', 0.04 xGGardyne 13', 0.03 xGTillson 35', 0.03 xGShaw 70', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals49%0.45 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.45 xG, 0 goals14%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals36%0.33 xGEdge of the box: 9 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hamilton Academical

Moyo 72', 0.38 xGThomas 47', 0.08 xGOdoffin 20', 0.07 xGCallachan 9', 0.05 xGA. Martin 82', 0.05 xGCallachan 61', 0.04 xGCallachan 73', 0.02 xGS. Martin 62', 0.06 xG, goalCallachan 22', 0.05 xG, goal10%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals70%0.56 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.56 xG, 1 goal6%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals11%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyHamilton Academical

0.60 14 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.60 6 shots, 2 goals
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.20 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
22 min (24%) · Ross County 0.22, Hamilton Academical 0.17 xG
Hamilton Academical ahead
68 min (76%) · Ross County 0.69, Hamilton Academical 0.63 xG

Line-ups

11551627722439811LaidlawWatsonMorrisIacovittiStewartGardyneTillsonReidMcKayShawVigursYellow card63'77'Ross County 3-4-1-2Stuart Kettlewell23416527283342420FultonStirlingA. MartinEastonHodsonOdoffinS. MartinMcMannCallachanThomasMoyoYellow cardGoalGoal79'65'57'79'Hamilton Academical 3-4-2-1Brian Rice

Ross County substitutes

  • 63' Paton for Tillson
  • 77' Wright for McKay

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 57' Munro for Thomas
  • 65' Hughes for S. Martin
  • 79' Hamilton for Stirling
  • 79' Winter for Moyo

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0321
WatsonCB900.080.2320.31105
MorrisCB900.040.0110.0756
IacovittiCB900.060.0200.1195
StewartRWB900.100.062−0.0571
GardyneCM900.120.3350.2690
TillsonCM630.030.0100.0265
ReidLWB900.000.0900.1164
McKayAM770.110.062−0.0111
ShawST900.200.031−0.0901
Vigurs ST900.130.2130.06112
PatonMF270.060.0200.0651
WrightFW130.000.000−0.0100

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FultonGK900.000.0000.0330
Stirling CB790.000.0100.0439
A. MartinCB900.050.0000.0117
EastonCB900.000.0010.0227
HodsonRWB900.000.0200.0134
OdoffinCM900.070.0110.0328
S. MartinCM6510.060.0000.0834
McMannLWB900.000.0110.0337
CallachanAM9010.160.0920.0334
ThomasAM570.080.000−0.0100
MoyoST7910.380.0830.0422
MunroMF330.000.0100.0302
HughesMF250.000.0000.0002
HamiltonDF110.000.0000.0003
WinterFW110.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Iacovitti and Gardyne: 6 passesTillson and Reid: 6 passesTillson and Vigurs: 6 passesGardyne and Reid: 6 passesGardyne and Shaw: 6 passesReid and Vigurs: 6 passesIacovitti and Tillson: 7 passesMorris and Tillson: 7 passesStewart and McKay: 7 passesLaidlaw and Iacovitti: 8 passesStewart and Tillson: 9 passesTillson and Gardyne: 9 passesGardyne and McKay: 10 passesIacovitti and Reid: 11 passesStewart and Gardyne: 11 passesWatson and Morris: 12 passesStewart and Vigurs: 12 passesWatson and Tillson: 13 passesWatson and Gardyne: 13 passesMorris and Vigurs: 14 passesGardyne and Vigurs: 14 passesWatson and Vigurs: 16 passesIacovitti and Morris: 18 passesWatson and Stewart: 18 passesIacovitti and Vigurs: 19 passesLaidlaw: 15 completed passesIacovitti: 44 completed passesWatson: 44 completed passesMorris: 35 completed passesStewart: 34 completed passesTillson: 32 completed passesGardyne: 37 completed passesReid: 21 completed passesVigurs: 52 completed passesMcKay: 20 completed passesShaw: 10 completed passes11615527227431198LaidlawIacovittiWatsonMorrisStewartTillsonGardyneReidVigursMcKayShawStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Hamilton Academical

A. Martin and Stirling: 3 passesStirling and Callachan: 3 passesStirling and Moyo: 3 passesEaston and Moyo: 3 passesFulton and Moyo: 4 passesStirling and Hodson: 5 passesMcMann and S. Martin: 6 passesMcMann and Thomas: 6 passesThomas and Moyo: 6 passesCallachan and Moyo: 6 passesFulton: 6 completed passesA. Martin: 6 completed passesStirling: 11 completed passesEaston: 6 completed passesHodson: 7 completed passesMcMann: 7 completed passesOdoffin: 4 completed passesS. Martin: 10 completed passesThomas: 6 completed passesCallachan: 5 completed passesMoyo: 10 completed passes23164527328243420FultonA. MartinStirlingEastonHodsonMcMannOdoffinS. MartinThomasCallachanMoyoStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
VigursIacovitti13
WatsonStewart13
GardyneVigurs12
IacovittiVigurs12
WatsonMorris11

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
MoyoCallachan5
FultonMoyo5
StirlingMoyo4
EastonMoyo4
MoyoThomas4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

2−2.83−2.35−2.85−1.011+1.380.02−3.11−2.86+1.45−1.02−2.32−1.31−2.03−0.76+1.66+4.22+0.63+2.11−0.51−1.13+2.21+0.71+0.52+1.51+0.22−4.410−4.83−5.33−4.30−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 17 matches

Hamilton Academical

0−5.55−2.725+9.54−2.811+5.86−2.07−0.68+1.25−4.210+3.16+1.04−0.50−2.34−1.08+0.91−3.44−0.12−1.11−2.62−2.64+1.01−0.71−0.91−0.13+1.10−0.41+0.70−0.50−0.52+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.040.030.040.010.040.040.030.080.030.060.060.010.060.060.030.010.05−0.01−0.120.040.010.140.13LessMore

Hamilton Academical

0.020.010.010.010.010.010.030.020.010.020.010.020.010.02−0.030.03−0.010.01−0.030.090.06LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackRoss County0.94 → 0.91Hamilton Acad…0.99 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.64 → 1.63Hamilton Acad…1.93 → 1.89

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six1%<1%−1
11th38%34%−4
Bottom30%44%+14
Hamilton Academical
Top six1%1%0
11th24%32%+8
Bottom59%42%−17

From the forecast before the match (19 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyHamilton Academical
Expected goals1.591.31
Win44%31%
Expected Points1.561.18
Clean sheet27%20%

Ross County 44%Draw 26%Hamilton Academical 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 59%.

Hamilton Academical goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+6%7%5%2%8%7%3%1%7%6%3%4%5%3%1%1%2%1%12%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawHamilton Academical win
Ross County
Top six1%2%1%<1%
11th38%40%39%34%
Bottom30%18%32%44%
Hamilton Academical
Top six1%<1%<1%1%
11th24%17%26%32%
Bottom59%71%57%42%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–212 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.80–1.19
  2. L0–46 DecRangers (H)xG 0.74–3.28
  3. L1–321 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 1.87–2.12
  4. D1–16 NovLivingston (H)xG 0.62–1.07
  5. L1–231 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.88–1.79
  6. L0–424 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.47–3.11

Hamilton Academical

  1. L0–412 DecHibernian (H)xG 0.17–3.14
  2. W1–05 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 1.56–0.85
  3. D1–125 NovAberdeen (H)xG 0.49–0.52
  4. L1–221 NovDundee United (A)xG 1.44–0.73
  5. L0–88 NovRangers (A)xG 0.00–4.94
  6. L2–420 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.65–1.66

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyHamilton Academical
Position11th12th
Played1716
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠4–⁠103–⁠2–⁠11
Points13 (0.76 per game)11 (0.69 per game)
Expected Points per game0.870.83
Goals10–⁠3216–⁠40
xG per game1.05–⁠1.890.97–⁠2.35
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.00–⁠2.250.62, 0.70–⁠2.22
Away: points, xG per game0.78, 1.09–⁠1.570.75, 1.24–⁠2.48
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (17)Brian Rice (16)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackRoss County0.94, 10thHamilton Acad…0.99, 9thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.64, 11thHamilton Acad…1.93, 12th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecRoss County attack: 0.94Hamilton Academical attack: 0.990.990.94Hamilton AcademicalRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecRoss County defence: 1.64Hamilton Academical defence: 1.931.931.64

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyHamilton Academical
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%+34%−58%+106%
Counter-attacks−84%−48%−100%+264%
Set pieces−16%+28%+16%+42%
Penalties−44%+123%+48%−41%
Headers+15%+14%−1%+75%
Left side−15%+19%−24%+110%
Centre−26%+52%−30%+110%
Right side−8%+1%−66%+39%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side−15%+39%Centre−26%+110%Right side−8%+110%Open play−17%+106%Counter-attacks−84%+264%Set pieces−16%+42%Headers+15%+75%

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdRoss County concededLeft side−24%+1%Centre−30%+52%Right side−66%+19%Open play−58%+34%Counter-attacks−100%−48%Set pieces+16%+28%Headers−1%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyHamilton Academical

1.05xG0.97
1.89xG against2.35
49%Possession40%
9.8Shots8.8
13.0Shots against17.2
2.5Shots on target2.9
1.3Big chances0.9
15.2Touches in the opposition box12.0
401Passes304
73%Pass accuracy62%
3.9Corners3.8
50%Field tilt35%
40.8Final-third entries30.9
7.9Box entries7.0
14.7Passes per defensive action14.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level400.941.92
Ahead120.391.65
Behind371.391.94

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level360.922.15
Ahead20.561.56
Behind521.022.53

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.331–4
16–300.130.273–4
31–450.180.202–3
46–600.170.410–8
61–750.220.411–8
76–900.220.273–5

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.420–8
16–300.110.421–10
31–450.100.294–6
46–600.160.322–4
61–750.310.495–7
76–900.230.414–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 12Doohan 5Randall 10Charles-Cook 2Watson 2Donaldson 16Watson 1Iacovitti 13Morris 3Grivosti 1Reid 14Stewart 1Iacovitti 1Vigurs 4Draper 4Iacovitti 3Gardyne 4Charles-Cook 3Stewart 2Paton 11Tillson 6Gardyne 2Vigurs 9Kelly 2Draper 1Stewart 6Gardyne 6Paton 1Stewart 8McKay 6Shaw 34-1-4-1 in 5 of 17 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3), 5-4-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Hamilton Academical

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTFulton 15Gourlay 1Hodson 9Stirling 2Odoffin 2Odoffin 10A. Martin 4Stirling 2Want 10Easton 3McMann 1McMann 11Munro 2Easton 1Callachan 5L. Smith 3Hodson 2Callachan 7Trafford 2Odoffin 2S. Martin 12Mimnaugh 4Collar 2Templeton 4Smith 3McMann 3Moyo 10Templeton 2Callachan 1Ogboe 9Winter 5Smith 24-4-2 in 9 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 August 2020Hamilton Academical0–1Ross CountyxG 0.45–1.50

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Hamilton Academical won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 1–0 and xG 1.50–0.45 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart171,526210.380.06
McKay7690100.270.12
Kelly4478020.090.24
Charles-Cook7766000.180.09

Hamilton Academical

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Callachan141,242410.370.05
Templeton7516120.150.23
Odoffin151,330300.210.05
Ogboe9866210.190.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.