Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 1–2 Ross County

Wednesday 3 February 2021, 18:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 1–0

Hamilton Academical Kelly 16' (og)

Ross County White 81', McKay 85'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Hamilton AcademicalRoss County
Goals12
xG0.491.44
Expected Points0.592.13

Hamilton Academical 10%Draw 28%Ross County 62%

Most likely score 0–1, 21%. Final score 1–2, 9%.

Ross County goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+12%7%2%6%14%9%4%1%1%2%2%21%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMimnaugh on for Stirling, 57'Winter on for Ogboe and Moyo on for Anderson, 78'Thomas on for Easton, 87'White on for Vigurs, 62'McKay on for Paton, Lakin on for Hylton, Tremarco on for Iacovitti, and Gardyne on for Shaw, 77'Kelly 16' (og)White 81'McKay 85'Ross County 1.44Hamilton Academical 0.4900.511.520153045607590HTMimnaugh on for Stirling, 57'Winter on for Ogboe and Moyo on for Anderson, 78'Thomas on for Easton, 87'White on for Vigurs, 62'McKay on for Paton, Lakin on for Hylton, Tremarco on for Iacovitti, and Gardyne on for Shaw, 77'Kelly 16' (og)White 81'McKay 85'1.440.49Hamilton AcademicalRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalRoss County

0.49 −0.34xG1.44 +0.45
0.72 −0.12xG on target1.35 +0.65
7 −1.0Shots16 +6.5
4 +1.5Shots on target5 +2.1
1 +0.2Big chances3 +1.8
20 +8Touches in the opposition box20 +5
35% −3Possession65% +17
281 −12Passes522 +143
61% +2Pass accuracy78% +7
38% +7Field tilt62% +16
28 0Final-third entries52 +16
11 +4.6Box entries12 +4.7
12.6 −2Passes per defensive action9.5 −5
4 +0.3Corners7 +2.8
19 +2Tackles13 0
13 +1Interceptions19 +8
21 −3Clearances10 −14
3 −0.7Saves4 +0.9
12 −1Fouls6 −9
1 −0.6Offsides2 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hamilton Academical

Ogboe 18', 0.24 xGOgboe 3', 0.08 xGMcMann 34', 0.05 xGMcMann 25', 0.04 xGStirling 12', 0.03 xGHodson 66', 0.03 xGMimnaugh 72', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals64%0.32 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals8%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals16%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals12%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Paton 46', 0.27 xGAndreu 57', 0.26 xGNaismith 13', 0.06 xGAndreu 8', 0.05 xGHylton 45+4', 0.04 xGHjelde 83', 0.04 xGMorris 14', 0.03 xGShaw 19', 0.03 xGKelly 31', 0.03 xGNaismith 34', 0.03 xGPaton 39', 0.03 xGShaw 62', 0.03 xGNaismith 81', 0.03 xGVigurs 49', 0.02 xGMcKay 85', 0.42 xG, goalWhite 81', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals74%1.07 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.07 xG, 2 goals9%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals12%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals4%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalRoss County

0.41 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.27 11 shots, 2 goals
0.08 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
20 min (21%) · Hamilton Academical 0.11, Ross County 0.60 xG
Hamilton Academical ahead
69 min (73%) · Hamilton Academical 0.38, Ross County 0.84 xG
Ross County ahead
5 min (5%) · Hamilton Academical 0.00, Ross County 0.00 xG

Line-ups

236165272433479FultonHamiltonMartinEastonHodsonOdoffinStirlingMcMannCallachanAndersonOgboeYellow card87'57'78'78'Hamilton Academical 3-4-1-2Brian Rice151642318112814248LaidlawMorrisIacovittiHjeldeNaismithKellyVigursAndreuHyltonPatonShawOwn goalYellow cardYellow card77'62'77'77'77'Ross County 3-5-1-1John Hughes

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 57' Mimnaugh for Stirling
  • 78' Winter for Ogboe
  • 78' Moyo for Anderson
  • 87' Thomas for Easton

Ross County substitutes

  • 62' White for Vigurs · goal 81', 1 assist
  • 77' Tremarco for Iacovitti
  • 77' Lakin for Hylton
  • 77' Gardyne for Shaw
  • 77' McKay for Paton · goal 85'

Players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FultonGK900.000.0100.0760
HamiltonCB900.000.0100.0455
MartinCB900.000.0000.0216
Easton CB870.000.0100.07710
HodsonRWB900.030.0300.0453
OdoffinCM900.000.0110.02211
StirlingCM570.030.0110.0118
McMannLWB900.090.0400.1166
CallachanAM900.000.0810.0632
AndersonST780.000.092−0.1121
OgboeST780.320.010−0.0800
MimnaughDF330.030.0000.0123
WinterFW120.000.0100.0111
MoyoFW120.000.000−0.0100
ThomasFW30.000.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0210
MorrisCB900.030.0000.0447
IacovittiCB770.000.0100.0876
HjeldeCB900.040.1710.1495
NaismithRWB9010.120.2710.1275
KellyCM900.030.0720.13145
VigursCM620.020.1010.0344
AndreuCM900.310.0630.0214
Hylton LWB770.040.0420.06101
Paton AM770.300.0500.1552
ShawST770.060.123−0.0530
WhiteFW28110.060.1810.1710
TremarcoDF130.000.0000.0100
LakinMF130.000.0000.0322
GardyneMF130.000.0110.0000
McKayFW1310.420.0000.0111

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Martin and Stirling: 3 passesMartin and McMann: 3 passesHamilton and Callachan: 3 passesHamilton and Ogboe: 3 passesEaston and Ogboe: 3 passesHodson and Anderson: 3 passesStirling and Callachan: 3 passesMcMann and Ogboe: 3 passesAnderson and Ogboe: 3 passesFulton and Hamilton: 4 passesFulton and Easton: 4 passesHodson and Odoffin: 4 passesCallachan and Anderson: 4 passesEaston and McMann: 6 passesStirling and McMann: 7 passesEaston and Stirling: 8 passesHamilton and Hodson: 9 passesHodson and Callachan: 12 passesFulton: 9 completed passesMartin: 8 completed passesHamilton: 16 completed passesEaston: 18 completed passesHodson: 17 completed passesOdoffin: 4 completed passesStirling: 10 completed passesMcMann: 13 completed passesCallachan: 13 completed passesAnderson: 6 completed passesOgboe: 4 completed passes231665272433479FultonMartinHamiltonEastonHodsonOdoffinStirlingMcMannCallachanAndersonOgboeStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Naismith and Vigurs: 6 passesHylton and Paton: 6 passesPaton and Shaw: 6 passesLaidlaw and Hjelde: 7 passesIacovitti and Shaw: 7 passesAndreu and Vigurs: 7 passesLaidlaw and Morris: 8 passesHjelde and Vigurs: 8 passesMorris and Naismith: 8 passesHylton and Shaw: 8 passesHjelde and Iacovitti: 9 passesMorris and Vigurs: 9 passesNaismith and Andreu: 9 passesHylton and Kelly: 9 passesHjelde and Hylton: 10 passesHjelde and Andreu: 10 passesIacovitti and Morris: 10 passesIacovitti and Vigurs: 11 passesNaismith and Paton: 11 passesLaidlaw and Iacovitti: 12 passesNaismith and Kelly: 12 passesAndreu and Kelly: 13 passesHjelde and Kelly: 15 passesHylton and Vigurs: 18 passesVigurs and Kelly: 20 passesLaidlaw: 20 completed passesHjelde: 33 completed passesIacovitti: 33 completed passesMorris: 28 completed passesNaismith: 27 completed passesHylton: 27 completed passesAndreu: 26 completed passesVigurs: 47 completed passesKelly: 48 completed passesPaton: 15 completed passesShaw: 19 completed passes141652314281118248LaidlawHjeldeIacovittiMorrisNaismithHyltonAndreuVigursKellyPatonShawStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
CallachanHodson13
HodsonCallachan9
HamiltonHodson8
HodsonHamilton8
EastonStirling6

Ross County

FromToPasses
KellyHjelde15
MorrisNaismith13
VigursKelly11
KellyAndreu11
KellyNaismith11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

8+3.44−3.04−3.43−2.89+1.65−2.410+1.27+0.21−3.96+1.26+2.64−1.37+0.38+3.64+0.34+1.34+0.96+1.86+3.12+0.53+1.50−1.13+1.20−0.80−0.31+0.50−0.32+1.213−4.92−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Ross County

3−2.45−1.45−3.67+1.75−2.710+2.92−5.516+6.913+5.050.06+1.22−1.611+6.17+1.35+0.85+1.70−2.53−0.32−2.32+0.10−1.20−1.12+0.40−2.02+1.30−0.30−0.51+0.51+0.35−10.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

0.020.040.020.020.010.030.020.010.01−0.010.010.030.020.010.020.030.040.01−0.12−0.120.070.07LessMore

Ross County

0.020.010.010.040.020.030.020.040.020.030.030.040.060.030.040.030.050.010.100.040.030.01−0.120.040.160.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackHamilton Acad…0.86 → 0.84Ross County0.94 → 0.94Defence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.73 → 1.73Ross County1.63 → 1.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hamilton Academical
11th30%20%−10
Bottom53%71%+18
Ross County
11th37%44%+7
Bottom38%20%−18

From the forecast before the match (3 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Hamilton AcademicalRoss County
Expected goals1.231.41
Win32%40%
Expected Points1.241.48
Clean sheet25%29%

Hamilton Academical 32%Draw 27%Ross County 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Ross County goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%8%9%4%1%5%8%5%3%2%3%2%1%1%9%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHamilton Academical winDrawRoss County win
Hamilton Academical
11th30%39%34%20%
Bottom53%33%52%71%
Ross County
11th37%28%38%44%
Bottom38%58%39%20%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

  1. L0–227 JanCeltic (A)xG 0.58–2.23
  2. D0–016 JanDundee United (H)xG 0.67–0.63
  3. L0–29 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 0.43–1.50
  4. W3–02 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.87–0.86
  5. D0–030 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.84–2.22
  6. L0–326 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.09–3.69

Ross County

  1. L1–227 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.86–1.56
  2. L0–523 JanRangers (A)xG 0.50–2.67
  3. W4–116 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.95–2.28
  4. L1–310 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.28–1.74
  5. D1–12 JanSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.81–1.57
  6. W2–030 DecHibernian (A)xG 0.69–1.42

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Hamilton AcademicalRoss County
Position12th11th
Played2426
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠4–⁠155–⁠5–⁠16
Points19 (0.79 per game)20 (0.77 per game)
Expected Points per game0.780.83
Goals21–⁠4919–⁠50
xG per game0.83–⁠2.160.99–⁠1.85
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 0.61–⁠2.090.77, 1.01–⁠2.00
Away: points, xG per game0.83, 1.05–⁠2.230.77, 0.97–⁠1.70
ManagerBrian Rice (24)John Hughes (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackHamilton Acad…0.86, 12thRoss County0.94, 10thDefence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.73, 12thRoss County1.63, 11th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebHamilton Academical attack: 0.86Ross County attack: 0.940.940.86Ross CountyHamilton AcademicalDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebHamilton Academical defence: 1.73Ross County defence: 1.631.731.63

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Hamilton AcademicalRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−54%+100%−20%+42%
Counter-attacks−92%+109%+58%−62%
Set pieces−7%+30%−28%+33%
Penalties+18%−29%−56%+118%
Headers−21%+81%+4%+20%
Left side−37%+82%−12%+18%
Centre−37%+104%−21%+56%
Right side−55%+34%−22%+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdRoss County concededLeft side−37%+14%Centre−37%+56%Right side−55%+18%Open play−54%+42%Counter-attacks−92%−62%Set pieces−7%+33%Headers−21%+20%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side−12%+34%Centre−21%+104%Right side−22%+82%Open play−20%+100%Counter-attacks+58%+109%Set pieces−28%+30%Headers+4%+81%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalRoss County

0.83xG0.99
2.16xG against1.85
38%Possession48%
8.0Shots9.5
17.5Shots against14.3
2.5Shots on target2.9
0.8Big chances1.2
12.5Touches in the opposition box14.7
293Passes379
59%Pass accuracy71%
3.7Corners4.2
31%Field tilt46%
28.0Final-third entries36.2
6.4Box entries7.3
15.1Passes per defensive action14.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.762.07
Ahead80.781.01
Behind430.902.45

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.991.77
Ahead160.561.91
Behind351.181.91

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.341–9
16–300.100.382–10
31–450.110.294–7
46–600.140.363–8
61–750.250.407–9
76–900.160.384–6

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.363–6
16–300.150.267–8
31–450.160.202–5
46–600.140.340–9
61–750.160.391–12
76–900.210.286–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTFulton 19Gourlay 5Hodson 16Hamilton 3Odoffin 2A. Martin 11Stirling 3Hamilton 2Odoffin 10Want 10Easton 9McMann 18Odoffin 2Munro 2Callachan 6Hodson 3Hamilton 3Callachan 8Odoffin 8Collar 2S. Martin 13Stirling 5Trafford 4Callachan 4McMann 4Templeton 4Moyo 18Templeton 2Callachan 1Ogboe 10Winter 8Stirling 34-4-2 in 9 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 21Doohan 5Randall 10Naismith 4Watson 4Donaldson 19Morris 7Watson 4Iacovitti 20Hjelde 1Grivosti 1Reid 17Iacovitti 2Shaw 1Vigurs 10Draper 4Iacovitti 3Charles-Cook 5Paton 4Gardyne 4Paton 12Tillson 8Draper 6Vigurs 10Kelly 7Lakin 4Stewart 6Gardyne 6Hylton 5Shaw 10Stewart 9McKay 64-1-4-1 in 8 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (8), 4-5-1 (4), 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 December 2020Ross County0–2Hamilton AcademicalxG 0.91–0.80
8 August 2020Hamilton Academical0–1Ross CountyxG 0.45–1.50

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Hamilton Academical won 1, Ross County won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–1 and xG 0.62–1.21 per game.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Templeton7516120.150.23
Callachan191,682620.300.08
Mimnaugh5481010.010.23
Ogboe10944210.180.02

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart191,650210.370.06
McKay8824100.260.11
Shaw111,090610.310.04
Kelly9922020.090.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.