Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 1–1 Rangers

Sunday 7 February 2021, 12:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 28 · Half-time 0–0

Hamilton Academical McGregor 90+4' (og)

Rangers Easton 80' (og)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Hamilton AcademicalRangers
Goals11
xG1.370.74
Expected Points1.860.84

Hamilton Academical 52%Draw 30%Rangers 18%

Most likely score 1–0, 17%. Final score 1–1, 15%.

Rangers goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+10%7%3%5%1%10%4%5%4%1%1%17%15%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTHughes on for Trafford, 72'Jack on for Zungu, 60'Roofe on for Itten, 66'Wright on for Hagi and Davis on for Kamara, 78'McGregor 90+4' (og)Easton 80' (og)Hamilton Academical 1.37Rangers 0.7400.511.50153045607590HTHughes on for Trafford, 72'Jack on for Zungu, 60'Roofe on for Itten, 66'Wright on for Hagi and Davis on for Kamara, 78'McGregor 90+4' (og)Easton 80' (og)1.370.74Hamilton AcademicalRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalRangers

1.37 +0.56xG0.74 −1.46
1.12 +0.29xG on target0.05 −1.95
12 +4.0Shots15 −2.3
6 +3.4Shots on target2 −4.0
2 +1.2Big chances0 −2.9
18 +5Touches in the opposition box29 −3
31% −7Possession69% +2
241 −51Passes564 −54
59% 0Pass accuracy82% −3
25% −6Field tilt75% −4
25 −3Final-third entries46 −14
8 +1.4Box entries19 +0.9
12.8 −2Passes per defensive action11.3 +1
5 +1.3Corners4 −2.8
23 +6Tackles12 −2
13 +1.0Interceptions3 −6.3
18 −6Clearances20 +9
2 −1.7Saves6 +4.4
17 +4Fouls13 +2
2 +0.4Offsides2 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hamilton Academical

Callachan 54', 0.39 xGAnderson 90+4', 0.30 xGCallachan 90+4', 0.17 xGAnderson 37', 0.11 xGCallachan 77', 0.07 xGOdoffin 87', 0.07 xGMcMann 54', 0.05 xGOgboe 54', 0.05 xGAnderson 12', 0.04 xGAnderson 62', 0.04 xGOgboe 90', 0.04 xGHodson 41', 0.03 xG12%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals62%0.85 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.85 xG, 0 goals15%0.20 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals10%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Aribo 21', 0.11 xGKent 74', 0.08 xGTavernier 45', 0.07 xGKent 51', 0.06 xGTavernier 90+1', 0.06 xGKent 46', 0.05 xGRoofe 89', 0.05 xGAribo 79', 0.04 xGJack 79', 0.04 xGRoofe 87', 0.04 xGHagi 15', 0.03 xGAribo 35', 0.03 xGItten 40', 0.03 xGGoldson 40', 0.03 xGAribo 62', 0.03 xG15%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals38%0.28 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals16%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals23%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals8%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalRangers

1.30 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.53 12 shots, 0 goals
0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
81 min (85%) · Hamilton Academical 0.97, Rangers 0.59 xG
Rangers ahead
14 min (15%) · Hamilton Academical 0.41, Rangers 0.15 xG

Line-ups

2361652721433479FultonHamiltonMartinEastonHodsonOdoffinTraffordMcMannCallachanAndersonOgboeOwn goalYellow card72'Hamilton Academical 3-4-1-2Brian Rice12653117151871114McGregorTavernierGoldsonHelanderBarisicAriboZunguKamaraHagiIttenKentOwn goalYellow card60'78'78'66'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Gerrard

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 72' Hughes for Trafford

Rangers substitutes

  • 60' Jack for Zungu
  • 66' Roofe for Itten
  • 78' Davis for Kamara
  • 78' Wright for Hagi

Players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FultonGK900.000.0000.0002
HamiltonCB900.000.0100.0648
MartinCB900.000.0000.03310
EastonCB900.000.0100.0759
HodsonRWB900.030.0710.1863
OdoffinCM900.070.021−0.0128
TraffordCM720.000.0010.0005
McMannLWB900.050.0920.2256
Callachan AM900.640.2410.0135
AndersonST900.490.010−0.0110
OgboeST900.090.011−0.0311
HughesMF180.000.1510.1712

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.000−0.0102
TavernierRB900.130.2620.2292
GoldsonCB900.030.0000.03312
Helander CB900.000.0010.0315
BarisicLB900.000.1420.24127
AriboCM900.220.0200.0783
ZunguCM600.000.0320.0551
KamaraCM780.000.0400.0813
HagiRW780.030.081−0.0221
IttenST660.030.0510.0221
KentLW900.180.0710.0750
JackMF300.040.1020.1540
RoofeFW240.090.040−0.0120
DavisMF120.000.0210.0352
WrightFW120.000.0610.0610

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Fulton and Hamilton: 3 passesFulton and Hodson: 3 passesMartin and Easton: 3 passesMartin and Odoffin: 3 passesHamilton and Ogboe: 3 passesEaston and Trafford: 3 passesEaston and McMann: 3 passesEaston and Anderson: 3 passesTrafford and Callachan: 3 passesOdoffin and Anderson: 3 passesCallachan and Anderson: 3 passesHamilton and Hodson: 4 passesHamilton and Odoffin: 4 passesEaston and Ogboe: 4 passesOdoffin and Ogboe: 4 passesFulton and Ogboe: 5 passesHodson and Anderson: 5 passesMcMann and Anderson: 5 passesHodson and Odoffin: 7 passesHodson and Callachan: 7 passesTrafford and McMann: 10 passesMcMann and Callachan: 13 passesFulton: 12 completed passesMartin: 7 completed passesHamilton: 11 completed passesEaston: 12 completed passesHodson: 14 completed passesTrafford: 13 completed passesOdoffin: 13 completed passesMcMann: 18 completed passesCallachan: 17 completed passesAnderson: 5 completed passesOgboe: 6 completed passes2316652714233479FultonMartinHamiltonEastonHodsonTraffordOdoffinMcMannCallachanAndersonOgboeStarters until 72' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

McGregor and Barisic: 5 passesTavernier and Kamara: 5 passesTavernier and Kent: 5 passesKamara and Aribo: 5 passesZungu and Hagi: 5 passesTavernier and Itten: 6 passesBarisic and Zungu: 6 passesKamara and Hagi: 6 passesAribo and Zungu: 6 passesAribo and Hagi: 6 passesTavernier and Zungu: 7 passesZungu and Kent: 8 passesHagi and Itten: 8 passesItten and Kent: 8 passesMcGregor and Helander: 9 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 9 passesTavernier and Goldson: 10 passesTavernier and Hagi: 14 passesBarisic and Kent: 15 passesKamara and Kent: 15 passesKamara and Zungu: 16 passesTavernier and Aribo: 17 passesBarisic and Kamara: 20 passesMcGregor: 16 completed passesTavernier: 36 completed passesHelander: 15 completed passesGoldson: 25 completed passesBarisic: 35 completed passesKamara: 40 completed passesAribo: 21 completed passesZungu: 34 completed passesHagi: 23 completed passesItten: 13 completed passesKent: 24 completed passes12563118171571114McGregorTavernierHelanderGoldsonBarisicKamaraAriboZunguHagiIttenKentStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
CallachanMcMann9
McMannCallachan7
McMannAnderson6
HodsonAnderson6
MartinEaston5

Rangers

FromToPasses
BarisicKamara12
BarisicKent12
KamaraBarisic11
TavernierAribo11
ZunguKamara11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

2−2.75−1.916−1.76−1.27+1.35−2.45−2.35−2.09+0.26−0.89+4.36+1.24+0.54−1.27+0.38+3.53−0.75+2.32−1.26+1.74+1.02+0.45+3.43+1.910+8.22+1.22+1.72+1.50−0.31+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Rangers

7+3.45+1.813+6.25+0.45+0.712+4.77+1.09+5.711+5.69+2.16−0.36+0.63−0.54−0.43−2.51−3.91−3.64+1.63−0.84−1.00−3.42−0.41−0.30−2.10−2.50−1.14+3.70−0.81+0.40−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

0.020.010.020.030.030.030.020.04−0.010.060.100.010.010.07−0.070.010.160.17LessMore

Rangers

0.01−0.010.010.040.020.010.020.030.030.010.040.030.040.030.060.050.130.130.090.020.140.03−0.07−0.05−0.050.21LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackHamilton Acad…0.85 → 0.88Rangers1.99 → 1.90Defence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.74 → 1.65Rangers0.59 → 0.63

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hamilton Academical
11th25%30%+5
Bottom65%57%−8
Ross County
11th48%40%−8
Bottom29%36%+7
Kilmarnock
11th16%17%+1
Bottom4%6%+2

From the forecast before the match (7 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Hamilton AcademicalRangers
Expected goals0.443.00
Win3%88%
Expected Points0.182.72
Clean sheet5%64%

Hamilton Academical 3%Draw 9%Rangers 88%

Most likely score 0–3, 14%. Both sides score 34%.

Rangers goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+3%9%7%5%1%4%6%6%5%3%2%1%1%1%14%14%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHamilton Academical winDrawRangers win
Hamilton Academical
11th25%31%30%24%
Bottom65%46%57%67%
Ross County
11th48%39%40%49%
Bottom29%42%36%27%
Kilmarnock
11th16%20%17%16%
Bottom4%9%6%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

  1. L1–23 FebRoss County (H)xG 0.49–1.44
  2. L0–227 JanCeltic (A)xG 0.58–2.23
  3. D0–016 JanDundee United (H)xG 0.67–0.63
  4. L0–29 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 0.43–1.50
  5. W3–02 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.87–0.86
  6. D0–030 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.84–2.22

Rangers

  1. W1–03 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.33–0.27
  2. W1–027 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.72–0.80
  3. W5–023 JanRoss County (H)xG 2.67–0.50
  4. D1–117 JanMotherwell (A)xG 0.98–1.20
  5. W2–110 JanAberdeen (A)xG 2.03–0.63
  6. W1–02 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.58–0.61

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Hamilton AcademicalRangers
Position12th1st
Played2527
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠4–⁠1624–⁠3–⁠0
Points19 (0.76 per game)75 (2.78 per game)
Expected Points per game0.772.37
Goals22–⁠5167–⁠7
xG per game0.81–⁠2.132.20–⁠0.54
Home: points, xG per game0.69, 0.60–⁠2.043.00, 2.38–⁠0.53
Away: points, xG per game0.83, 1.05–⁠2.232.57, 2.02–⁠0.54
ManagerBrian Rice (25)Steven Gerrard (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackHamilton Acad…0.85, 12thRangers1.99, 1stDefence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.74, 12thRangers0.59, 1st

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebHamilton Academical attack: 0.85Rangers attack: 1.991.990.85RangersHamilton AcademicalDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebHamilton Academical defence: 1.74Rangers defence: 0.591.740.59

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Hamilton AcademicalRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−53%+99%+94%−54%
Counter-attacks−92%+102%+25%−22%
Set pieces−9%+28%+27%−55%
Penalties+15%−31%+70%−100%
Headers−23%+81%+47%−51%
Left side−37%+74%+37%−46%
Centre−38%+107%+84%−52%
Right side−54%+31%+84%−62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdRangers concededLeft side−37%−62%Centre−38%−52%Right side−54%−46%Open play−53%−54%Counter-attacks−92%−22%Set pieces−9%−55%Headers−23%−51%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+37%+31%Centre+84%+107%Right side+84%+74%Open play+94%+99%Counter-attacks+25%+102%Set pieces+27%+28%Headers+47%+81%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalRangers

0.81xG2.20
2.13xG against0.54
38%Possession67%
8.0Shots17.3
17.4Shots against5.6
2.6Shots on target6.0
0.8Big chances2.9
12.9Touches in the opposition box31.7
292Passes618
59%Pass accuracy85%
3.7Corners6.8
31%Field tilt79%
28.0Final-third entries59.7
6.6Box entries18.1
14.9Passes per defensive action10.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level380.752.08
Ahead100.711.05
Behind420.902.44

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level302.370.64
Ahead552.090.52
Behind52.270.11

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.331–9
16–300.100.373–10
31–450.110.284–7
46–600.130.373–8
61–750.240.397–9
76–900.160.394–8

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.300.137–1
16–300.430.1217–2
31–450.290.0611–1
46–600.460.0512–0
61–750.350.0912–2
76–900.360.088–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTFulton 20Gourlay 5Hodson 17Hamilton 3Odoffin 2Martin 12Stirling 3Hamilton 2Odoffin 10Easton 10Want 10McMann 19Odoffin 2Munro 2Callachan 6Hamilton 4Hodson 3Odoffin 9Callachan 8Collar 2S. Martin 13Stirling 6Trafford 4Callachan 5McMann 4Templeton 4Moyo 18Templeton 2Callachan 1Ogboe 11Winter 8Stirling 34-4-2 in 9 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 18McLaughlin 9Tavernier 27Goldson 27Helander 15Balogun 12Barisic 24Bassey 3Aribo 15Arfield 10Davis 19Jack 14Hagi 2Kamara 19Hagi 11Roofe 6Kent 3Morelos 18Roofe 5Defoe 3Kent 22Hagi 2Roofe 24-3-3 in 20 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (20), 4-2-3-1 (7)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 November 2020Rangers8–0Hamilton AcademicalxG 4.94–0.00
29 August 2020Hamilton Academical0–2RangersxG 0.17–4.14

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Hamilton Academical won 0, Rangers won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–10 and xG 0.09–4.54 per game.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Templeton7516120.150.23
Callachan201,772620.280.08
Mimnaugh5514010.020.22
Ogboe111,022210.200.02

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe131,1141020.670.11
Itten2487410.490.24
Tavernier272,4051190.420.27
Morelos181,482720.470.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.