Wednesday 25 November 2020, 19:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 13 · Half-time 0–1
Hamilton Academical Ogboe 49'
Aberdeen Hedges 19'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Hamilton Academical
Aberdeen
Goals
1
1
xG
0.49
0.52
Expected Points
1.25
1.26
Hamilton Academical 25%Draw 49%Aberdeen 26%
Most likely score 0–0, 36%. Final score 1–1, 13%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Hamilton AcademicalAberdeen
0.49 −0.54xG0.52 −0.87
1.00 −0.10xG on target0.34 −1.19
4 −5.0Shots10 −1.5
2 −0.9Shots on target3 −1.2
1 0.0Big chances0 −1.8
10 −2Touches in the opposition box21 0
31% −10Possession69% +20
249 −56Passes535 +128
54% −7Pass accuracy81% +7
28% −8Field tilt72% +22
29 −2Final-third entries59 +24
5 −1.7Box entries9 −0.6
26.3 +12Passes per defensive action9.8 −4
1 −3.2Corners7 +2.1
13 −6Tackles7 −5
7 −5Interceptions11 0
29 +7Clearances15 −4
2 −2.2Saves1 −0.6
13 +1Fouls14 0
1 −0.5Offsides6 +4.9
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hamilton Academical
Aberdeen
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
19'49'
0–00–11–1
0'HTFT
Level
64 min (68%) · Hamilton Academical 0.21, Aberdeen 0.45 xG
Aberdeen ahead
30 min (32%) · Hamilton Academical 0.29, Aberdeen 0.07 xG
Line-ups
Hamilton Academical substitutes
75'Moyo for Ogboe
80'Winter for Smith
Aberdeen substitutes
77'McGinn for Leigh
77'Edmondson for Main
Players
Hamilton Academical
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Fulton
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Stirling
CB
90
0.11
0.07
0
0.10
6
8
A. Martin
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
15
Easton
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
5
7
Hodson
RWB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
5
Odoffin
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
4
4
S. Martin
CM
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
6
5
McMann
LWB
90
1
0.00
0.11
2
0.07
5
1
Callachan
AM
90
0.00
0.04
0
0.03
4
3
Smith
AM
80
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
1
2
Ogboe
ST
75
1
0.32
0.00
0
0.02
1
1
Moyo
FW
15
0.06
0.03
0
0.03
0
1
Winter
FW
10
0.00
0.02
1
−0.02
0
0
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Lewis
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Hoban
CB
90
0.04
0.01
0
0.12
9
4
Taylor
CB
90
0.10
0.00
0
0.13
0
7
Considine
CB
90
0.07
0.02
0
0.16
16
5
Kennedy
RWB
90
0.06
0.22
1
0.28
11
2
Ojo
CM
90
0.00
0.15
0
0.20
10
3
Campbell
CM
90
0.00
0.04
0
0.04
6
5
Leigh
LWB
77
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
3
1
Hedges
AM
90
1
0.17
0.14
3
0.08
10
3
Main
AM
77
0.05
0.01
1
−0.11
2
2
Cosgrove
ST
90
0.03
0.01
0
−0.01
0
0
McGinn
MF
13
0.00
0.05
1
0.00
0
0
Edmondson
FW
13
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hamilton Academical
Aberdeen
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hamilton Academical
From
To
Passes
Hodson
Callachan
7
Callachan
Hodson
7
S. Martin
McMann
6
Hodson
Stirling
4
McMann
S. Martin
4
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Hoban
Kennedy
18
Considine
Campbell
18
Campbell
Hoban
15
Campbell
Ojo
14
Lewis
Considine
14
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hamilton Academical
Against its average of 13 matches
Aberdeen
Against its average of 13 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hamilton Academical
Aberdeen
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hamilton Academical
Top six
<1%
<1%
0
11th
19%
22%
+3
Bottom
65%
61%
−4
Aberdeen
Top six
99%
99%
0
Ross County
Top six
2%
2%
0
11th
35%
34%
−1
Bottom
19%
20%
+1
St. Mirren
11th
20%
19%
−1
Bottom
9%
11%
+2
From the forecast before the match (25 November 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hamilton Academical
Aberdeen
Expected goals
0.97
2.13
Win
16%
63%
Expected Points
0.68
2.11
Clean sheet
12%
38%
Hamilton Academical 16%Draw 21%Aberdeen 63%
Most likely score 0–2, 10%. Both sides score 55%.
From the forecast as it stood on 25 November 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hamilton Academical win
Draw
Aberdeen win
Hamilton Academical
Top six
<1%
1%
<1%
<1%
11th
19%
22%
22%
17%
Bottom
65%
51%
61%
70%
Aberdeen
Top six
99%
99%
99%
>99%
Ross County
Top six
2%
3%
2%
2%
11th
35%
29%
34%
36%
Bottom
19%
27%
20%
16%
St. Mirren
11th
20%
21%
19%
21%
Bottom
9%
12%
11%
8%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hamilton Academical
Aberdeen
Position
12th
4th
Played
13
13
Won, drawn, lost
2–1–10
8–2–3
Points
7 (0.54 per game)
26 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.77
1.56
Goals
14–35
19–15
xG per game
1.03–2.54
1.39–1.06
Home: points, xG per game
0.20, 0.68–2.65
2.00, 1.37–1.24
Away: points, xG per game
0.75, 1.24–2.48
2.00, 1.41–0.77
Manager
Brian Rice (13)
Derek McInnes (13)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hamilton Academical
Aberdeen
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−57%
+125%
−5%
−26%
Counter-attacks
−100%
+304%
−27%
−23%
Set pieces
+30%
+57%
−29%
−40%
Penalties
+36%
−66%
+104%
+36%
Headers
+4%
+62%
−16%
−41%
Left side
−27%
+144%
−20%
−24%
Centre
−19%
+124%
−26%
−37%
Right side
−65%
+52%
+16%
−25%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Hamilton Academical attacking
Hamilton Academical createdAberdeen concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−27%−25%Centre−19%−37%Right side−65%−24%Open play−57%−26%Counter-attacks−100%−23%Set pieces+30%−40%Headers+4%−41%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Hamilton AcademicalAberdeen
1.03xG1.39
2.54xG against1.06
41%Possession49%
9.0Shots11.5
17.8Shots against10.3
2.9Shots on target4.2
1.0Big chances1.8
11.5Touches in the opposition box21.3
306Passes407
61%Pass accuracy73%
4.2Corners4.9
36%Field tilt50%
30.6Final-third entries35.0
6.7Box entries9.6
14.0Passes per defensive action14.3
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hamilton Academical
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
33
0.91
2.44
Ahead
2
0.00
2.02
Behind
55
1.12
2.62
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
1.69
0.85
Ahead
31
1.37
1.26
Behind
20
0.83
1.18
xG by period
Hamilton Academical
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.06
0.44
0–7
16–30
0.13
0.49
1–9
31–45
0.11
0.30
4–5
46–60
0.15
0.37
1–4
61–75
0.30
0.52
4–5
76–90
0.26
0.43
4–5
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.30
0.16
3–3
16–30
0.12
0.11
3–3
31–45
0.27
0.13
4–1
46–60
0.20
0.19
3–4
61–75
0.21
0.22
2–2
76–90
0.30
0.25
4–2
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts