Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Rangers 5–0 Ross County

Saturday 23 January 2021, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 25 · Half-time 3–0

Rangers Kent 6', Helander 28', Aribo 37', Jack 66', Goldson 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersRoss County
Goals50
xG2.670.50
Non-penalty xG1.880.50
Expected Points2.720.18

Rangers 87%Draw 10%Ross County 3%

Most likely score 2–0, 17%. Final score 5–0, 4%.

Ross County goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+2%10%6%1%10%2%9%2%9%5%1%4%2%2%17%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTJack on for Davis and Zungu on for Kamara, 61'Itten on for Aribo and Defoe on for Morelos, 62'Patterson on for Tavernier, 70'Watson on for Randall, 53'Charles-Cook on for Lakin and Hylton on for Paton, 59'Andreu on for Vigurs, 70'Tillson on for Draper, 71'Kent 6'Helander 28'Aribo 37'Jack 66'Goldson 81'Rangers 2.67Ross County 0.5001230153045607590HTJack on for Davis and Zungu on for Kamara, 61'Itten on for Aribo and Defoe on for Morelos, 62'Patterson on for Tavernier, 70'Watson on for Randall, 53'Charles-Cook on for Lakin and Hylton on for Paton, 59'Andreu on for Vigurs, 70'Tillson on for Draper, 71'Kent 6'Helander 28'Aribo 37'Jack 66'Goldson 81'2.670.50RangersRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersRoss County

2.67 +0.44xG0.50 −0.47
1.88Non-penalty xG0.50
4.34 +2.31xG on target0.06 −0.62
28 +10.5Shots7 −2.5
11 +4.9Shots on target2 −0.8
3 +0.1Big chances1 −0.2
38 +6Touches in the opposition box3 −12
70% +2Possession30% −18
617 +1Passes271 −116
89% +4Pass accuracy68% −3
82% +3Field tilt18% −30
59 −1Final-third entries20 −17
17 −1.7Box entries1 −6.2
9.8 0Passes per defensive action26.8 +12
11 +4.0Corners2 −2.2
15 0Tackles19 +6
3 −6.4Interceptions5 −5.6
7 −4Clearances21 −4
2 +0.5Saves6 +3.0
12 +1Fouls11 −4
3 +1.6Offsides2 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Kent 80', 0.09 xGMorelos 49', 0.08 xGGoldson 69', 0.08 xGAribo 14', 0.07 xGTavernier 12', 0.06 xGKent 15', 0.06 xGHagi 45', 0.06 xGAribo 61', 0.06 xGAribo 18', 0.05 xGHelander 18', 0.05 xGBarisic 32', 0.05 xGAribo 51', 0.05 xGItten 81', 0.05 xGHagi 87', 0.05 xGKent 52', 0.04 xGMorelos 54', 0.04 xGGoldson 56', 0.04 xGJack 79', 0.04 xGTavernier 28', 0.03 xGHagi 44', 0.03 xGHagi 49', 0.03 xGHagi 62', 0.03 xGKent 6', 0.31 xG, goalHelander 28', 0.26 xG, goalJack 66', 0.07 xG, goalGoldson 81', 0.05 xG, goalAribo 37', 0.04 xG, goal4%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals69%1.30 xGCentral box: 14 shots, 1.30 xG, 4 goals8%0.15 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 1 goal14%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals6%0.11 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Iacovitti 53', 0.23 xGMorris 25', 0.11 xGAndreu 74', 0.06 xGRandall 22', 0.03 xGShaw 31', 0.03 xGPaton 46', 0.03 xGVigurs 36', 0.01 xG20%0.10 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals47%0.23 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.23 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals31%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals2%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersRoss County

1.17 18 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.11 4 shots, 0 goals
0.71 9 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.39 3 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 0 goalsPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
6 min (7%) · Rangers 0.31, Ross County 0.00 xG
Rangers ahead
84 min (93%) · Rangers 2.36, Ross County 0.50 xG

Line-ups

12653110187171420McGregorTavernierGoldsonHelanderBarisicDavisKamaraHagiAriboKentMorelosGoalGoalGoalGoal70'61'61'62'62'Rangers 4-2-3-1Steven Gerrard1516423611192248LaidlawMorrisIacovittiHjeldeNaismithDraperVigursLakinRandallPatonShawYellow cardYellow card71'70'59'53'59'Ross County 3-5-2John Hughes

Rangers substitutes

  • 61' Zungu for Kamara · yellow card 76'
  • 61' Jack for Davis · goal 66'
  • 62' Itten for Aribo
  • 62' Defoe for Morelos
  • 70' Patterson for Tavernier

Ross County substitutes

  • 53' Watson for Randall
  • 59' Hylton for Paton
  • 59' Charles-Cook for Lakin
  • 70' Andreu for Vigurs
  • 71' Tillson for Draper

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0100
TavernierRB7010.880.5160.46152
GoldsonCB9010.170.0200.1360
HelanderCB9010.310.0000.0734
BarisicLB9020.050.3070.0772
DavisDM610.000.0820.1132
KamaraDM610.000.0200.0722
HagiRW9010.210.0810.0743
AriboAM6210.270.1000.1251
KentLW9010.510.0410.0751
MorelosST6210.120.0930.1002
Zungu MF290.000.0300.0421
JackMF2910.100.0400.1052
IttenFW280.050.1220.1200
DefoeFW280.000.0000.0000
PattersonMF200.000.1020.2143

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0111
MorrisCB900.110.0000.0427
Iacovitti CB900.230.0000.0114
Hjelde CB900.000.0000.0429
NaismithRWB900.000.0100.0254
DraperCM710.000.0000.0127
VigursCM700.010.2130.0454
LakinCM590.000.0010.0002
RandallLWB530.030.0000.0233
PatonST590.030.0200.0740
ShawST900.030.011−0.0201
WatsonDF370.000.0000.0005
HyltonFW310.000.0000.0013
Charles-CookFW310.000.0000.0110
AndreuMF200.060.0000.0000
TillsonMF190.000.0000.0221

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Helander and Kent: 6 passesDavis and Kent: 6 passesDavis and Morelos: 6 passesMcGregor and Davis: 7 passesHelander and Davis: 7 passesKamara and Morelos: 7 passesDavis and Hagi: 7 passesTavernier and Kent: 8 passesTavernier and Morelos: 8 passesKamara and Kent: 9 passesHelander and Kamara: 10 passesBarisic and Kamara: 10 passesBarisic and Kent: 10 passesTavernier and Kamara: 11 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 12 passesKamara and Aribo: 13 passesGoldson and Davis: 14 passesGoldson and Kamara: 15 passesTavernier and Hagi: 16 passesHelander and Goldson: 16 passesTavernier and Aribo: 17 passesKamara and Davis: 20 passesTavernier and Goldson: 24 passesTavernier and Davis: 29 passesMcGregor: 19 completed passesTavernier: 59 completed passesHelander: 29 completed passesGoldson: 49 completed passesBarisic: 23 completed passesKamara: 53 completed passesDavis: 55 completed passesHagi: 16 completed passesAribo: 19 completed passesKent: 24 completed passesMorelos: 18 completed passes12563118107171420McGregorTavernierHelanderGoldsonBarisicKamaraDavisHagiAriboKentMorelosStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and Hjelde: 3 passesHjelde and Lakin: 3 passesNaismith and Shaw: 3 passesRandall and Paton: 3 passesDraper and Vigurs: 3 passesDraper and Shaw: 3 passesLaidlaw and Iacovitti: 4 passesHjelde and Iacovitti: 4 passesMorris and Naismith: 4 passesMorris and Draper: 4 passesRandall and Vigurs: 4 passesDraper and Paton: 4 passesVigurs and Paton: 4 passesVigurs and Shaw: 4 passesHjelde and Randall: 5 passesMorris and Vigurs: 5 passesNaismith and Paton: 5 passesHjelde and Vigurs: 6 passesRandall and Lakin: 6 passesPaton and Shaw: 8 passesLaidlaw: 12 completed passesHjelde: 12 completed passesIacovitti: 8 completed passesMorris: 12 completed passesNaismith: 7 completed passesRandall: 8 completed passesDraper: 10 completed passesVigurs: 16 completed passesLakin: 8 completed passesPaton: 13 completed passesShaw: 12 completed passes1416523261119248LaidlawHjeldeIacovittiMorrisNaismithRandallDraperVigursLakinPatonShawStarters until 53' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
DavisTavernier18
GoldsonHelander18
GoldsonTavernier17
HelanderGoldson15
TavernierAribo13

Ross County

FromToPasses
IacovittiHjelde6
ShawPaton6
HjeldeVigurs5
NaismithShaw5
MorrisNaismith4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

2−1.73−0.23−1.75+0.56−1.27+1.03−0.23−2.410+3.16−0.46+0.73−0.62−2.65−0.96+1.24−0.63+0.63−0.63−2.25+1.72−0.22+0.92−0.22−0.52+1.01+0.81+0.10−0.610.03−3.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Ross County

3−2.14−2.517+1.712+3.511+4.27−0.511+1.910+2.14−0.96+1.21−2.84−0.94−0.34+0.81−1.53−0.45+0.82+0.20−1.21−0.10−1.63+1.10−0.80−0.30−0.50−0.51+0.31−4.23−4.71−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.010.020.020.010.020.030.070.040.080.030.070.140.050.070.070.140.130.020.020.040.17−0.050.040.160.31LessMore

Ross County

0.020.030.020.010.02−0.010.010.02−0.010.010.02−0.010.02−0.010.010.010.030.040.04LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackRangers2.01 → 2.02Ross County0.93 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.63 → 0.62Ross County1.58 → 1.59

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title>99%>99%0
Ross County
Top six1%<1%−1
11th39%40%+1
Bottom28%30%+2
Hamilton Academical
11th25%26%+1
Bottom60%59%−1
Motherwell
Top six9%9%0
11th14%14%0
Bottom6%5%−1

From the forecast before the match (23 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersRoss County
Expected goals2.910.49
Win86%4%
Expected Points2.680.21
Clean sheet61%5%

Rangers 86%Draw 11%Ross County 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Both sides score 37%.

Ross County goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%1%9%5%1%7%2%7%2%10%5%1%6%3%5%2%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 23 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawRoss County win
Rangers
Title>99%>99%99%98%
Ross County
Top six1%<1%1%3%
11th39%40%39%33%
Bottom28%30%22%10%
Hamilton Academical
11th25%26%22%16%
Bottom60%59%65%74%
Motherwell
Top six9%9%10%9%
11th14%14%16%21%
Bottom6%5%7%8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. D1–117 JanMotherwell (A)xG 0.98–1.20
  2. W2–110 JanAberdeen (A)xG 2.03–0.63
  3. W1–02 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.58–0.61
  4. W2–030 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.71–0.71
  5. W1–026 DecHibernian (H)xG 2.08–0.95
  6. W3–023 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.84–0.66

Ross County

  1. W4–116 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.95–2.28
  2. L1–310 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.28–1.74
  3. D1–12 JanSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.81–1.57
  4. W2–030 DecHibernian (A)xG 0.69–1.42
  5. L0–226 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.54–1.79
  6. L0–223 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.29–2.15

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersRoss County
Position1st10th
Played2424
Won, drawn, lost21–⁠3–⁠05–⁠5–⁠14
Points66 (2.75 per game)20 (0.83 per game)
Expected Points per game2.370.82
Goals60–⁠718–⁠43
xG per game2.23–⁠0.540.97–⁠1.83
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.45–⁠0.560.83, 0.94–⁠2.04
Away: points, xG per game2.54, 2.04–⁠0.520.83, 1.00–⁠1.62
ManagerSteven Gerrard (24)John Hughes (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackRangers2.01, 1stRoss County0.93, 9thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.63, 1stRoss County1.58, 11th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanRangers attack: 2.01Ross County attack: 0.932.010.93Ross CountyRangersDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanRangers defence: 0.63Ross County defence: 1.581.580.63

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+101%−54%−17%+40%
Counter-attacks+64%+2%−44%−53%
Set pieces+21%−57%−27%+34%
Penalties+64%−100%−53%+111%
Headers+44%−53%+7%+16%
Left side+35%−44%−17%+22%
Centre+86%−52%−25%+56%
Right side+97%−62%−15%+10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdRoss County concededLeft side+35%+10%Centre+86%+56%Right side+97%+22%Open play+101%+40%Counter-attacks+64%−53%Set pieces+21%+34%Headers+44%+16%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdRangers concededLeft side−17%−62%Centre−25%−52%Right side−15%−44%Open play−17%−54%Counter-attacks−44%+2%Set pieces−27%−57%Headers+7%−53%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersRoss County

2.23xG0.97
0.54xG against1.83
68%Possession48%
17.5Shots9.5
5.5Shots against13.8
6.1Shots on target2.8
2.9Big chances1.2
32.0Touches in the opposition box14.6
616Passes387
85%Pass accuracy71%
7.0Corners4.2
79%Field tilt47%
59.6Final-third entries36.9
18.7Box entries7.2
10.3Passes per defensive action14.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level292.460.63
Ahead562.110.53
Behind62.270.11

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level410.891.75
Ahead150.601.90
Behind341.231.89

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.280.146–1
16–300.470.1116–2
31–450.270.0510–1
46–600.460.0510–0
61–750.380.0911–2
76–900.380.097–1

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.322–5
16–300.150.277–7
31–450.170.212–4
46–600.140.330–8
61–750.170.411–10
76–900.220.306–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 15McLaughlin 9Tavernier 24Goldson 24Balogun 12Helander 12Barisic 21Bassey 3Aribo 13Arfield 10Davis 16Jack 12Hagi 2Kamara 17Hagi 9Roofe 6Kent 3Morelos 16Roofe 5Defoe 3Kent 20Hagi 2Roofe 14-3-3 in 18 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (18), 4-2-3-1 (6)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 19Doohan 5Randall 10Watson 4Naismith 3Donaldson 19Morris 6Watson 4Iacovitti 18Grivosti 1Reid 17Iacovitti 2Lakin 1Vigurs 8Draper 4Iacovitti 3Paton 4Charles-Cook 4Gardyne 4Paton 11Tillson 8Draper 4Vigurs 10Kelly 7Stewart 6Gardyne 6Hylton 4Shaw 9Stewart 9McKay 64-1-4-1 in 8 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (8), 4-3-3 (3), 4-5-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 5-4-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 December 2020Ross County0–4RangersxG 0.74–3.28
4 October 2020Rangers2–0Ross CountyxG 2.00–0.46

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 2, Ross County won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 6–0 and xG 2.64–0.60 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe121,0311020.680.11
Tavernier242,1551180.430.26
Morelos161,347610.440.13
Kent231,903560.280.29

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart191,650210.370.06
McKay8811100.250.11
Shaw9932510.260.05
Kelly9922020.090.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.