Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 3–5 St. Johnstone

Saturday 17 October 2020, 15:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 11 · Half-time 2–3

Hamilton Academical Hughes 40', 79', Ogboe 44'

St. Johnstone May 1', 33', Wotherspoon 14', Conway 69', 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hamilton Academical	St. Johnstone
Goals	3	5
xG	0.73	3.81
Expected Points	0.09	2.87

Hamilton Academical 1%Draw 5%St. Johnstone 94%

Most likely score 0–4, 12%. Final score 3–5, <1%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone

0.73 −0.33xG3.81 +2.82

1.95 +0.84xG on target4.38 +3.83

10 +0.2Shots22 +10.5

4 +1.0Shots on target8 +5.6

1 +0.1Big chances5 +3.8

11 −4Touches in the opposition box31 +13

52% +11Possession48% +3

393 +93Passes354 −7

61% −1Pass accuracy58% −9

52% +16Field tilt48% −3

41 +11Final-third entries33 −2

3 −5.2Box entries11 +1.7

9.5 −5Passes per defensive action15.9 0

3 −2.4Corners7 +2.3

16 −2Tackles13 −5

9 −2Interceptions12 +1

18 −5Clearances20 −1

3 −1.8Saves1 −0.7

18 +6Fouls11 −1

0 −1.7Offsides3 +1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hamilton Academical

St. Johnstone

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone

0.51 5 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.54 8 shots, 2 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks1.27 4 shots, 1 goal

0.22 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces1.00 10 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–10–20–32–32–43–5

Level: 1 min (1%) · Hamilton Academical 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.61 xG
St. Johnstone ahead: 89 min (99%) · Hamilton Academical 0.73, St. Johnstone 3.21 xG

Line-ups

Hamilton Academical substitutes

20' Hughes for Templeton · goal 40', goal 79'
74' Smith for Munro
78' Stirling for Hodson

St. Johnstone substitutes

65' Bryson for McCann
80' Kane for May
82' Booth for Wotherspoon

Players

Hamilton Academical

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Fulton	GK	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	6	1
Hodson	RB	78			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	2	2
Odoffin	CB	90			0.05	0.01	0	0.04	4	8
Want	CB	90			0.03	0.00	0	0.05	5	7
McMann	LB	90		1	0.00	0.17	1	0.06	5	3
Munro	RM	74		1	0.00	0.02	3	0.06	2	2
Callachan	CM	90			0.10	0.04	1	0.04	6	4
Templeton	CM	20			0.03	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Martin	LM	90			0.00	0.26	0	0.28	9	13
Ogboe	ST	90	1		0.09	0.01	0	−0.09	1	1
Moyo	ST	90			0.00	0.01	0	−0.02	1	7
Hughes	MF	70	2		0.42	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0
Smith	FW	16			0.00	0.00	1	−0.01	0	0
Stirling	DF	12			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Clark	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Kerr	CB	90			0.12	0.01	0	0.03	3	5
Gordon	CB	90			0.10	0.23	2	0.03	2	9
McCart	CB	90			0.07	0.29	2	0.47	11	10
McNamara	RWB	90			0.18	0.08	1	0.16	7	2
Davidson	CM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	2	10
McCann	CM	65		1	0.05	0.06	1	−0.08	2	3
Tanser	LWB	90			0.03	0.41	3	0.45	7	3
Conway	AM	90	2	1	1.78	0.44	3	0.31	3	0
Wotherspoon	AM	82	1	1	0.04	0.50	1	0.05	3	1
May	ST	80	2	1	1.19	0.32	2	0.06	2	2
Bryson	MF	25			0.07	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
Kane	FW	10			0.18	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Booth	DF	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

From	To	Passes
McMann	Moyo	10
Callachan	McMann	8
Martin	Ogboe	7
Callachan	Martin	7
Callachan	Hodson	6

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
McNamara	Conway	11
Kerr	McNamara	8
McNamara	Kerr	6
Tanser	Wotherspoon	6
Conway	McNamara	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

Against its average of 9 matches

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

St. Johnstone

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hamilton Academical
Top six	4%	2%	−2
Bottom	42%	49%	+7
St. Johnstone
Top six	24%	31%	+7
11th	10%	6%	−4
Bottom	7%	3%	−4
St. Mirren
Top six	7%	6%	−1
11th	23%	25%	+2
Bottom	24%	23%	−1
Motherwell
Top six	30%	28%	−2
11th	10%	11%	+1
Bottom	7%	6%	−1

From the forecast before the match (17 October 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hamilton Academical	St. Johnstone
Expected goals	0.88	1.38
Win	23%	48%
Expected Points	0.98	1.73
Clean sheet	25%	42%

Hamilton Academical 23%Draw 29%St. Johnstone 48%

Most likely score 0–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

From the forecast as it stood on 17 October 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hamilton Academical win	Draw	St. Johnstone win
Hamilton Academical
Top six	4%	7%	3%	2%
Bottom	42%	29%	42%	49%
St. Johnstone
Top six	24%	14%	19%	31%
11th	10%	14%	13%	6%
Bottom	7%	13%	7%	3%
St. Mirren
Top six	7%	8%	7%	6%
11th	23%	21%	22%	25%
Bottom	24%	26%	24%	23%
Motherwell
Top six	30%	32%	31%	28%
11th	10%	8%	10%	11%
Bottom	7%	9%	6%	6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

St. Johnstone

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hamilton Academical	St. Johnstone
Position	10th	12th
Played	9	10
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠1–⁠6	2–⁠1–⁠7
Points	7 (0.78 per game)	7 (0.70 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.73	1.36
Goals	8–⁠16	4–⁠13
xG per game	1.06–⁠2.44	0.99–⁠0.93
Home: points, xG per game	0.25, 0.67–⁠2.35	0.60, 1.05–⁠0.81
Away: points, xG per game	1.20, 1.37–⁠2.50	0.80, 0.92–⁠1.05
Manager	Brian Rice (9)	Callum Davidson (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hamilton Academical		St. Johnstone
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−63%	+135%	−16%	−35%
Counter-attacks	−100%	+42%	−48%	−62%
Set pieces	+64%	+52%	−14%	−30%
Penalties	+17%	−100%	−100%	+5%
Headers	+13%	+48%	+24%	−6%
Left side	−27%	+132%	−2%	−25%
Centre	−5%	+127%	−26%	−34%
Right side	−59%	+45%	−14%	−45%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−27%−45%Centre−5%−34%Right side−59%−25%Open play−63%−35%Counter-attacks−100%−62%Set pieces+64%−30%Headers+13%−6%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side−2%+45%Centre−26%+127%Right side−14%+132%Open play−16%+135%Counter-attacks−48%+42%Set pieces−14%+52%Headers+24%+48%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone

1.06xG0.99

2.44xG against0.93

41%Possession45%

9.8Shots11.5

17.9Shots against10.1

3.0Shots on target2.4

0.9Big chances1.2

15.0Touches in the opposition box18.0

300Passes361

62%Pass accuracy67%

5.4Corners4.7

36%Field tilt51%

30.2Final-third entries35.0

8.2Box entries9.3

14.4Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	37	1.00	2.57
Ahead	1	0.00	0.00
Behind	52	1.12	2.39

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	54	1.00	1.00
Ahead	2	0.65	1.60
Behind	34	0.97	0.77

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.07	0.43	0–4
16–30	0.17	0.56	1–4
31–45	0.08	0.28	1–2
46–60	0.20	0.41	1–3
61–75	0.29	0.41	2–1
76–90	0.24	0.33	3–2

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.12	0.13	0–2
16–30	0.06	0.07	0–1
31–45	0.17	0.11	0–4
46–60	0.19	0.23	1–1
61–75	0.22	0.10	1–1
76–90	0.22	0.28	2–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Odoffin	9	790	3	0	0.34	0.07
Templeton	6	496	1	2	0.15	0.23
Callachan	7	640	1	0	0.27	0.04
Ogboe	4	466	0	0	0.25	0.02

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Hendry	8	596	0	0	0.34	0.03
Conway	7	614	0	1	0.10	0.24
Wotherspoon	7	622	1	0	0.14	0.09
McNamara	10	846	0	0	0.05	0.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.