Matches › 2020/21

Celtic 2–0 Hamilton Academical

Wednesday 27 January 2021, 19:45 · Celtic Park · Round 26 · Half-time 1–0

Celtic Griffiths 12', Edouard 48'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	Hamilton Academical
Goals	2	0
xG	2.23	0.58
Expected Points	2.50	0.33

Celtic 78%Draw 17%Hamilton Academical 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Final score 2–0, 15%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticHamilton Academical

2.23 +0.25xG0.58 −0.26

1.42 −0.76xG on target0.00 −0.88

24 +6.0Shots4 −4.2

7 +0.2Shots on target0 −2.6

3 +0.3Big chances1 +0.2

36 +8Touches in the opposition box10 −3

75% +9Possession25% −14

638 +61Passes205 −92

86% +1Pass accuracy55% −4

80% +8Field tilt20% −12

61 −5Final-third entries19 −9

19 +2.5Box entries5 −1.4

6.8 −3.1Passes per defensive action20.1 +5.2

6 −0.2Corners4 +0.3

16 +3Tackles21 +4

5 −4.9Interceptions18 +6.3

11 −4Clearances26 +2

1 −0.4Saves5 +1.3

14 +2Fouls8 −5

2 +0.7Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

Hamilton Academical

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticHamilton Academical

1.96 19 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.50 3 shots, 0 goals

0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.20 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 12 min (13%) · Celtic 0.18, Hamilton Academical 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead: 78 min (87%) · Celtic 2.05, Hamilton Academical 0.58 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

69' Christie for Turnbull
69' Ajeti for Griffiths
85' Rogic for Edouard

Hamilton Academical substitutes

56' S. Martin for Ogboe
74' Winter for Stirling
87' Mimnaugh for Callachan

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Bain	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Ajer	RB	90			0.04	0.19	2	0.22	8	4
Bitton	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.15	12	6
Duffy	CB	90			0.00	0.39	2	0.21	13	6
Taylor	LB	90			0.00	0.21	3	0.36	18	2
Soro	RM	90			0.07	0.03	0	0.12	11	10
McGregor	CM	90			0.12	0.13	2	0.25	12	2
Turnbull	CM	69			0.34	0.19	4	0.08	3	1
Elyounoussi	LM	90		1	0.23	0.04	1	0.01	6	0
Griffiths	ST	69	1		0.66	0.06	0	0.02	2	1
Edouard	ST	85	1		0.74	0.08	3	−0.03	0	0
Christie	MF	21			0.04	0.06	1	0.03	2	0
Ajeti	FW	21			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Rogic	FW	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0

Hamilton Academical

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Fulton	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
Hamilton	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	10
A. Martin	CB	90	0.08	0.00	0	0.00	0	9
Easton	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	11
Hodson	RWB	90	0.00	0.03	1	0.07	6	3
Odoffin	CM	90	0.04	0.01	0	0.01	1	14
Stirling	CM	74	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	2
McMann	LWB	90	0.00	0.39	2	0.24	3	7
Callachan	AM	87	0.00	0.02	1	0.02	2	7
Moyo	ST	90	0.43	0.01	0	0.01	2	4
Ogboe	ST	56	0.03	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
S. Martin	MF	34	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	2
Winter	FW	16	0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	2
Mimnaugh	DF	3	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hamilton Academical

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Bitton	Duffy	28
Duffy	Bitton	23
Taylor	McGregor	18
McGregor	Taylor	17
Duffy	Taylor	17

Hamilton Academical

From	To	Passes
Hodson	Callachan	9
Moyo	Callachan	5
Hodson	Moyo	4
Callachan	Hodson	4
Easton	McMann	3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 22 matches

Hamilton Academical

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

Hamilton Academical

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hamilton Academical
11th	25%	25%	0
Bottom	58%	60%	+2
Ross County
11th	37%	38%	+1
Bottom	29%	28%	−1
Motherwell
Top six	4%	4%	0
11th	19%	19%	0
Bottom	8%	8%	0

From the forecast before the match (27 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	Hamilton Academical
Expected goals	3.06	0.58
Win	86%	4%
Expected Points	2.67	0.22
Clean sheet	56%	5%

Celtic 86%Draw 10%Hamilton Academical 4%

Most likely score 3–0, 12%. Both sides score 42%.

From the forecast as it stood on 27 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	Hamilton Academical win
Hamilton Academical
11th	25%	25%	29%	33%
Bottom	58%	60%	50%	40%
Ross County
11th	37%	38%	34%	29%
Bottom	29%	28%	33%	40%
Motherwell
Top six	4%	4%	4%	6%
11th	19%	19%	19%	16%
Bottom	8%	8%	11%	12%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

Hamilton Academical

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	Hamilton Academical
Position	2nd	12th
Played	22	23
Won, drawn, lost	13–⁠7–⁠2	5–⁠4–⁠14
Points	46 (2.09 per game)	19 (0.83 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.91	0.80
Goals	48–⁠18	21–⁠47
xG per game	1.98–⁠0.99	0.84–⁠2.16
Home: points, xG per game	2.18, 1.80–⁠0.96	0.75, 0.61–⁠2.09
Away: points, xG per game	2.00, 2.16–⁠1.03	0.91, 1.09–⁠2.23
Manager	Neil Lennon (22)	Brian Rice (23)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		Hamilton Academical
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+65%	−38%	−55%	+98%
Counter-attacks	+181%	−55%	−92%	+110%
Set pieces	+22%	−3%	−4%	+32%
Penalties	+25%	+25%	+20%	−28%
Headers	−1%	−40%	−18%	+90%
Left side	+66%	−20%	−36%	+88%
Centre	+55%	−29%	−38%	+101%
Right side	+54%	−39%	−53%	+31%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+66%+31%Centre+55%+101%Right side+54%+88%Open play+65%+98%Counter-attacks+181%+110%Set pieces+22%+32%Headers−1%+90%

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdCeltic concededLeft side−36%−39%Centre−38%−29%Right side−53%−20%Open play−55%−38%Counter-attacks−92%−55%Set pieces−4%−3%Headers−18%−40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticHamilton Academical

1.98xG0.84

0.99xG against2.16

66%Possession39%

18.0Shots8.2

8.4Shots against17.2

6.8Shots on target2.6

2.7Big chances0.8

27.5Touches in the opposition box12.6

577Passes296

84%Pass accuracy59%

6.2Corners3.7

72%Field tilt32%

66.4Final-third entries28.4

16.5Box entries6.4

9.9Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	46	1.77	0.99
Ahead	34	2.35	1.07
Behind	9	1.66	0.71

Hamilton Academical

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	0.77	2.07
Ahead	8	0.78	1.01
Behind	42	0.92	2.46

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.15	4–3
16–30	0.30	0.14	9–2
31–45	0.37	0.07	6–2
46–60	0.34	0.21	8–4
61–75	0.37	0.20	6–3
76–90	0.37	0.21	15–4

Hamilton Academical

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.07	0.35	1–8
16–30	0.10	0.40	2–10
31–45	0.10	0.28	4–7
46–60	0.14	0.33	3–7
61–75	0.26	0.42	7–9
76–90	0.17	0.39	4–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-3-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Hamilton Academical

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-4-1-2 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
26 December 2020	Hamilton Academical	0–3	Celtic	xG 0.09–3.69
2 August 2020	Celtic	5–1	Hamilton Academical	xG 4.51–0.47

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 2, Hamilton Academical won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 8–1 and xG 4.10–0.28 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Edouard	12	1,055	7	2	0.82	0.18
Griffiths	5	471	4	2	0.52	0.18
Elyounoussi	12	962	7	1	0.55	0.12
Turnbull	9	787	4	2	0.22	0.44

Hamilton Academical

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Callachan	18	1,595	6	2	0.31	0.08
Templeton	7	516	1	2	0.15	0.23
Mimnaugh	5	478	0	1	0.01	0.23
Ogboe	9	888	2	1	0.19	0.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.