Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 0–0 Hamilton Academical

Wednesday 30 December 2020, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 21 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneHamilton Academical
Goals00
xG2.220.84
Expected Points2.290.51

St. Johnstone 70%Draw 20%Hamilton Academical 10%

Most likely score 2–1, 13%. Final score 0–0, 3%.

Hamilton Academical goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+3%4%1%9%4%5%8%3%4%5%2%2%2%11%11%13%9%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTConway on for May, 75'Davidson on for Wotherspoon and O'Halloran on for Craig, 86'Stanger on for Easton, 76'Owolabi on for Thomas, 78'St. Johnstone 2.22Hamilton Academical 0.8401230153045607590HTConway on for May, 75'Davidson on for Wotherspoon and O'Halloran on for Craig, 86'Stanger on for Easton, 76'Owolabi on for Thomas, 78'2.220.84St. JohnstoneHamilton Academical

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneHamilton Academical

2.22 +1.05xG0.84 −0.03
0.21 −0.67xG on target0.67 −0.25
28 +16.3Shots10 +1.9
3 +0.1Shots on target2 −0.6
3 +1.7Big chances1 +0.2
42 +23Touches in the opposition box12 0
59% +14Possession41% +2
462 +98Passes335 +40
66% +1Pass accuracy55% −5
71% +19Field tilt29% −3
54 +19Final-third entries24 −5
22 +13.1Box entries8 +1.8
10.4 −6Passes per defensive action17.7 +3
9 +4.8Corners1 −2.6
14 −2Tackles13 −4
13 +1Interceptions14 +3
11 −9Clearances34 +11
2 +0.4Saves3 −0.8
12 0Fouls10 −3
0 −1.9Offsides0 −1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

May 29', 0.36 xGKane 84', 0.34 xGO'Halloran 89', 0.33 xGKane 13', 0.09 xGMay 53', 0.09 xGMcCart 74', 0.07 xGRooney 22', 0.06 xGBooth 23', 0.06 xGKane 45', 0.06 xGConway 90+1', 0.06 xGMay 22', 0.05 xGMcCann 30', 0.05 xGRooney 64', 0.05 xGMcNamara 72', 0.05 xGWotherspoon 84', 0.05 xGBooth 25', 0.04 xGMcCart 27', 0.04 xGCraig 46', 0.04 xGMay 55', 0.04 xGBooth 57', 0.04 xGMay 68', 0.04 xGMcCann 68', 0.04 xGMay 71', 0.04 xGWotherspoon 9', 0.03 xGMay 14', 0.03 xGRooney 18', 0.03 xGBooth 50', 0.03 xGBooth 74', 0.02 xG18%0.40 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.40 xG, 0 goals54%1.20 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.20 xG, 0 goals6%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals21%0.46 xGEdge of the box: 12 shots, 0.46 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hamilton Academical

Thomas 2', 0.40 xGMoyo 12', 0.09 xGThomas 60', 0.09 xGWinter 35', 0.06 xGMoyo 79', 0.05 xGThomas 39', 0.03 xGThomas 47', 0.03 xGOwolabi 79', 0.03 xGWinter 80', 0.03 xGThomas 39', 0.02 xG11%0.09 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals65%0.55 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.55 xG, 0 goals11%0.09 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals7%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals6%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneHamilton Academical

1.62 22 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.60 6 shots, 0 goals
0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.09 1 shot, 0 goals
0.51 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.15 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
91 min (100%) · St. Johnstone 2.22, Hamilton Academical 0.83 xG

Line-ups

119641518262410149ClarkRooneyGordonMcCartMcNamaraMcCannCraigBoothWotherspoonMayKane86'86'75'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson22616527243241920GourlayHamiltonMartinEastonHodsonOdoffinStirlingMcMannThomasWinterMoyoYellow cardYellow card76'78'Hamilton Academical 3-4-2-1Brian Rice

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 75' Conway for May
  • 86' O'Halloran for Craig
  • 86' Davidson for Wotherspoon

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 76' Stanger for Easton
  • 78' Owolabi for Thomas

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0210
RooneyCB900.140.0100.1283
GordonCB900.000.0100.0867
McCartCB900.120.0200.19138
McNamaraRWB900.050.2320.2144
McCannCM900.090.1960.0982
CraigCM860.040.0910.0554
BoothLWB900.190.2140.2393
WotherspoonAM860.080.3450.3397
MayAM750.650.1840.2680
KaneST900.480.030−0.0121
ConwayFW150.060.2420.2620
O'HalloranMF40.330.0100.0110
DavidsonMF40.000.0000.0001

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GourlayGK900.000.0000.0471
Hamilton CB900.000.0000.02311
MartinCB900.000.0000.02110
EastonCB760.000.0100.06414
HodsonRWB900.000.0200.0536
OdoffinCM900.000.0600.13512
StirlingCM900.000.001−0.0116
McMannLWB900.000.0210.0143
ThomasAM780.570.2210.2651
Winter AM900.090.0110.0025
MoyoST900.150.021−0.0215
StangerDF140.000.0000.0000
OwolabiFW120.030.0020.0310

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Clark and McCart: 5 passesMcNamara and Craig: 5 passesMcNamara and May: 5 passesMcCann and Wotherspoon: 5 passesGordon and Craig: 6 passesGordon and McCann: 6 passesRooney and McNamara: 6 passesCraig and McCann: 6 passesCraig and May: 6 passesRooney and McCann: 7 passesCraig and Kane: 7 passesMcCann and Kane: 8 passesGordon and Rooney: 9 passesMcCann and May: 9 passesMcNamara and McCann: 10 passesBooth and Craig: 11 passesBooth and McCann: 11 passesCraig and Wotherspoon: 11 passesMcCart and Craig: 12 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 13 passesGordon and McCart: 14 passesBooth and May: 14 passesWotherspoon and May: 16 passesBooth and Wotherspoon: 17 passesClark: 13 completed passesGordon: 26 completed passesMcCart: 32 completed passesRooney: 21 completed passesMcNamara: 20 completed passesBooth: 33 completed passesCraig: 37 completed passesMcCann: 32 completed passesWotherspoon: 37 completed passesMay: 23 completed passesKane: 10 completed passes164191524261810149ClarkGordonMcCartRooneyMcNamaraBoothCraigMcCannWotherspoonMayKaneStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Hamilton Academical

Gourlay and Martin: 3 passesMartin and Thomas: 3 passesEaston and Odoffin: 3 passesEaston and Thomas: 3 passesHamilton and Moyo: 3 passesWinter and Moyo: 3 passesGourlay and McMann: 4 passesMartin and Stirling: 4 passesHamilton and Hodson: 4 passesHamilton and Odoffin: 4 passesHodson and Moyo: 4 passesOdoffin and Stirling: 4 passesOdoffin and Moyo: 4 passesMartin and Hamilton: 5 passesEaston and Moyo: 5 passesGourlay and Moyo: 6 passesMcMann and Stirling: 6 passesOdoffin and Thomas: 6 passesThomas and Moyo: 6 passesEaston and Winter: 7 passesEaston and Stirling: 8 passesThomas and Winter: 8 passesEaston and McMann: 10 passesHodson and Odoffin: 10 passesMartin and Easton: 12 passesHodson and Thomas: 16 passesGourlay: 13 completed passesMartin: 20 completed passesEaston: 29 completed passesHamilton: 13 completed passesHodson: 21 completed passesMcMann: 14 completed passesOdoffin: 20 completed passesStirling: 14 completed passesThomas: 21 completed passesWinter: 9 completed passesMoyo: 9 completed passes22165627324241920GourlayMartinEastonHamiltonHodsonMcMannOdoffinStirlingThomasWinterMoyoStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McCartWotherspoon11
WotherspoonMay11
WotherspoonBooth10
CraigMcCart10
GordonMcCart9

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
HodsonThomas9
MartinEaston9
GourlayMoyo8
ThomasHodson7
HodsonOdoffin7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

5+0.83−1.27+2.26+0.67−2.780.09+2.512+3.27−0.88+1.87+1.44−2.03−3.57+0.86+1.28+4.71−1.48+5.050.01−1.63+1.42+0.53+1.42−1.21−0.20−0.20−0.30−0.51+0.28−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Hamilton Academical

3−2.09+1.830+12.910+3.54−1.712+4.59+1.66−0.814+5.17+0.23−1.87+2.64+1.67+1.93−4.17+2.75+1.10−3.02−1.32−2.52−1.02+0.51−0.82+0.91−1.00−0.50−0.40−0.40−0.40−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.030.040.010.010.010.070.030.070.020.040.140.010.140.070.090.050.100.170.060.050.05−0.040.260.32LessMore

Hamilton Academical

0.010.010.020.010.020.040.020.010.010.020.010.110.010.010.010.06−0.010.01−0.020.020.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.20AttackSt. Johnstone1.05 → 1.04Hamilton Acad…0.90 → 0.88Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12 → 1.10Hamilton Acad…1.87 → 1.84

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six18%13%−5
11th5%6%+1
Bottom1%1%0
Hamilton Academical
Top six<1%<1%0
11th37%39%+2
Bottom47%43%−4
Ross County
11th38%34%−4
Bottom47%50%+3
Dundee United
Top six37%40%+3
11th2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (30 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHamilton Academical
Expected goals1.730.87
Win57%18%
Expected Points1.970.79
Clean sheet42%18%

St. Johnstone 57%Draw 25%Hamilton Academical 18%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

Hamilton Academical goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%5%1%4%1%6%6%2%3%2%1%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawHamilton Academical win
St. Johnstone
Top six18%23%13%9%
11th5%3%6%10%
Bottom1%1%1%4%
Hamilton Academical
Top six<1%<1%<1%1%
11th37%35%39%38%
Bottom47%52%43%35%
Ross County
11th38%42%34%28%
Bottom47%43%50%56%
Dundee United
Top six37%35%40%37%
11th2%2%2%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–226 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.88–1.34
  2. L0–323 DecRangers (H)xG 0.66–1.84
  3. L2–319 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.03–1.07
  4. L1–212 DecLivingston (H)xG 1.05–0.98
  5. D1–16 DecCeltic (A)xG 1.30–1.73
  6. D2–224 NovHibernian (A)xG 1.02–1.56

Hamilton Academical

  1. L0–326 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.09–3.69
  2. L0–223 DecLivingston (H)xG 0.05–2.20
  3. W2–019 DecRoss County (A)xG 0.80–0.91
  4. L0–412 DecHibernian (H)xG 0.17–3.14
  5. W1–05 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 1.56–0.85
  6. D1–125 NovAberdeen (H)xG 0.49–0.52

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHamilton Academical
Position10th11th
Played2019
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠5–⁠114–⁠2–⁠13
Points17 (0.85 per game)14 (0.74 per game)
Expected Points per game1.420.77
Goals18–⁠3018–⁠45
xG per game1.17–⁠0.990.87–⁠2.34
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 1.07–⁠0.810.50, 0.58–⁠2.36
Away: points, xG per game0.90, 1.26–⁠1.171.00, 1.19–⁠2.31
ManagerCallum Davidson (20)Brian Rice (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackSt. Johnstone1.05, 7thHamilton Acad…0.90, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12, 5thHamilton Acad…1.87, 12th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone attack: 1.05Hamilton Academical attack: 0.901.050.90Hamilton AcademicalSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone defence: 1.12Hamilton Academical defence: 1.871.871.12

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHamilton Academical
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−12%−25%−60%+105%
Counter-attacks+81%−86%−100%+197%
Set pieces−2%−17%+2%+43%
Penalties−49%−24%+33%−20%
Headers+8%−17%−17%+91%
Left side+6%−15%−33%+95%
Centre−19%−24%−36%+115%
Right side+3%−38%−65%+40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+6%+40%Centre−19%+115%Right side+3%+95%Open play−12%+105%Counter-attacks+81%+197%Set pieces−2%+43%Headers+8%+91%

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−33%−38%Centre−36%−24%Right side−65%−15%Open play−60%−25%Counter-attacks−100%−86%Set pieces+2%−17%Headers−17%−17%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHamilton Academical

1.17xG0.87
0.99xG against2.34
45%Possession39%
11.7Shots8.1
9.9Shots against17.5
2.9Shots on target2.6
1.3Big chances0.8
18.8Touches in the opposition box12.2
364Passes295
66%Pass accuracy60%
4.2Corners3.6
52%Field tilt32%
35.1Final-third entries29.1
8.9Box entries6.2
15.9Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level551.071.01
Ahead101.671.39
Behind251.170.78

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level370.792.28
Ahead60.741.14
Behind480.942.52

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.102–2
16–300.100.131–3
31–450.220.185–10
46–600.170.222–4
61–750.240.123–2
76–900.290.245–9

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.050.400–8
16–300.100.402–10
31–450.090.294–6
46–600.140.372–7
61–750.290.476–8
76–900.200.414–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 12Parish 8Kerr 15Rooney 4Craig 2Gordon 19McCart 19McNamara 18Rooney 1Kerr 1McCann 15Bryson 4McNamara 2Davidson 8Craig 5Wotherspoon 4Tanser 17Booth 3Conway 11McCann 2Craig 2Wotherspoon 12O'Halloran 8May 2May 10Hendry 7Kane 23-4-2-1 in 13 of 20 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (13), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Hamilton Academical

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTFulton 17Gourlay 2Hodson 11Hamilton 3Odoffin 2Odoffin 10Martin 7Stirling 2Want 10Easton 6McMann 1McMann 13Odoffin 2Munro 2Callachan 6Hodson 3L. Smith 3Callachan 7Odoffin 4Collar 2S. Martin 13Mimnaugh 4Trafford 3McMann 4Templeton 4Smith 3Moyo 13Templeton 2Callachan 1Ogboe 9Winter 6Stirling 34-4-2 in 9 of 19 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 October 2020Hamilton Academical3–5St. JohnstonexG 0.73–3.81

1 league meeting since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 1, Hamilton Academical won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 5–3 and xG 3.81–0.73 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May121,143530.470.15
Conway131,048220.230.23
Hendry8681000.320.03
Wotherspoon161,415320.140.16

Hamilton Academical

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Callachan151,332510.360.05
Templeton7516120.150.23
Mimnaugh5478010.010.23
Odoffin181,600300.180.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.