Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 0–4 Hibernian

Saturday 12 December 2020, 15:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 17 · Half-time 0–2

Hibernian Boyle 10' (pen), Doidge 39', P. McGinn 65', Nisbet 68'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hamilton Academical	Hibernian
Goals	0	4
xG	0.17	3.14
Non-penalty xG	0.17	2.35
Expected Points	0.03	2.95

Hamilton Academical <1%Draw 2%Hibernian 98%

Most likely score 0–3, 27%. Final score 0–4, 20%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalHibernian

0.17 −0.86xG3.14 +1.66

0.17Non-penalty xG2.35

0.05 −1.05xG on target3.68 +2.09

3 −6.1Shots16 +3.8

1 −2.1Shots on target8 +4.1

0 −1.0Big chances4 +2.2

7 −6Touches in the opposition box22 0

32% −9Possession68% +20

266 −41Passes557 +176

69% +8Pass accuracy87% +16

23% −13Field tilt77% +34

28 −3Final-third entries58 +20

6 −1.1Box entries12 +0.8

18.5 +4Passes per defensive action13.4 −2

1 −2.9Corners6 +0.8

20 +2Tackles8 −7

11 −0.2Interceptions7 −2.2

13 −10Clearances7 −15

4 +0.1Saves1 −1.8

14 +1Fouls10 −3

4 +2.5Offsides5 +3.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hamilton Academical

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalHibernian

0.12 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play2.06 11 shots, 3 goals

0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.30 4 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–10–20–4

Level: 10 min (11%) · Hamilton Academical 0.00, Hibernian 0.88 xG
Hibernian ahead: 82 min (89%) · Hamilton Academical 0.17, Hibernian 2.26 xG

Line-ups

Hamilton Academical substitutes

46' Owolabi for Smith
55' Thomas for Trafford
60' Winter for Hodson
70' Hamilton for Moyo

Hibernian substitutes

70' Gullan for Nisbet
76' Magennis for Hallberg
76' Mallan for Wright
82' S. McGinn for Newell
82' Elder for Boyle
82' Bradley

Players

Hamilton Academical

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Fulton	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	2
Hodson	RWB	60	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Stirling	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	2	5
A. Martin	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	3
Easton	CB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.12	11	5
McMann	LWB	90	0.00	0.11	1	0.08	2	7
Callachan	RM	90	0.00	0.14	2	0.12	3	1
S. Martin	CM	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.04	4	8
Trafford	CM	55	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	4
Smith	LM	46	0.07	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Moyo	ST	70	0.05	0.03	0	0.02	1	1
Owolabi	FW	44	0.05	0.00	0	−0.03	0	0
Thomas	FW	35	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Winter	FW	30	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	5
Hamilton	DF	20	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	4	2

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marciano	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
P. McGinn	RB	90	1		0.06	0.05	0	0.14	16	3
Porteous	CB	90			0.09	0.02	0	0.17	11	4
Hanlon	CB	90			0.06	0.56	1	0.18	8	3
Stevenson	LB	90			0.00	0.05	1	0.03	8	5
Boyle	RM	82	1		0.82	0.09	1	0.12	3	0
Hallberg	CM	76			0.10	0.12	1	0.17	9	3
Newell	CM	82			0.11	0.02	0	−0.01	3	1
Wright	LM	76		1	0.09	0.53	3	0.25	5	1
Nisbet	ST	70	1		0.79	0.04	0	0.03	3	0
Doidge	ST	90	1		0.90	0.03	1	0.01	2	1
Gullan	FW	20			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Magennis	MF	14			0.04	0.08	1	0.09	3	0
Mallan	MF	14			0.00	0.17	1	0.02	1	1
S. McGinn	MF	8			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Elder	FW	8			0.00	–	–	–	–	–
Bradley	FW	8			0.08	0.01	1	0.02	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

From	To	Passes
A. Martin	Easton	9
Stirling	Callachan	7
Easton	McMann	6
Callachan	Stirling	6
Stirling	A. Martin	5

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Porteous	P. McGinn	22
Hanlon	Stevenson	18
Hanlon	Porteous	18
Porteous	Hanlon	17
Stevenson	Hanlon	15

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

Against its average of 15 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hamilton Academical
Top six	1%	1%	0
11th	24%	24%	0
Bottom	49%	54%	+5
Hibernian
Top six	99%	>99%	+1
Ross County
11th	31%	32%	+1
Bottom	31%	29%	−2
St. Mirren
Top six	16%	17%	+1
11th	16%	15%	−1
Bottom	9%	8%	−1

From the forecast before the match (12 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hamilton Academical	Hibernian
Expected goals	1.05	1.94
Win	20%	58%
Expected Points	0.82	1.95
Clean sheet	14%	35%

Hamilton Academical 20%Draw 23%Hibernian 58%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 56%.

From the forecast as it stood on 12 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hamilton Academical win	Draw	Hibernian win
Hamilton Academical
Top six	1%	3%	1%	1%
11th	24%	23%	24%	24%
Bottom	49%	36%	46%	54%
Hibernian
Top six	99%	98%	99%	>99%
Ross County
11th	31%	28%	30%	32%
Bottom	31%	35%	33%	29%
St. Mirren
Top six	16%	16%	16%	17%
11th	16%	16%	16%	15%
Bottom	9%	13%	10%	8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hamilton Academical	Hibernian
Position	12th	3rd
Played	15	16
Won, drawn, lost	3–⁠2–⁠10	8–⁠5–⁠3
Points	11 (0.73 per game)	29 (1.81 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.89	1.50
Goals	16–⁠36	24–⁠16
xG per game	1.03–⁠2.30	1.48–⁠1.29
Home: points, xG per game	0.71, 0.78–⁠2.09	1.43, 1.39–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game	0.75, 1.24–⁠2.48	2.11, 1.54–⁠1.07
Manager	Brian Rice (15)	Jack Ross (16)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hamilton Academical		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−57%	+102%	+18%	−13%
Counter-attacks	−100%	+268%	−75%	−70%
Set pieces	+24%	+47%	−2%	+2%
Penalties	+52%	−70%	+14%	+42%
Headers	+4%	+60%	+31%	−17%
Left side	−21%	+119%	+2%	−3%
Centre	−26%	+101%	+11%	−31%
Right side	−64%	+43%	+13%	+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdHibernian concededLeft side−21%+18%Centre−26%−31%Right side−64%−3%Open play−57%−13%Counter-attacks−100%−70%Set pieces+24%+2%Headers+4%−17%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+2%+43%Centre+11%+101%Right side+13%+119%Open play+18%+102%Counter-attacks−75%+268%Set pieces−2%+47%Headers+31%+60%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalHibernian

1.03xG1.48

2.30xG against1.29

41%Possession48%

9.1Shots12.2

17.3Shots against13.3

3.1Shots on target3.9

1.0Big chances1.8

12.6Touches in the opposition box21.8

307Passes381

61%Pass accuracy70%

3.9Corners5.2

36%Field tilt43%

31.1Final-third entries38.4

7.1Box entries11.2

14.1Passes per defensive action15.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	0.94	2.04
Ahead	2	0.56	1.56
Behind	50	1.11	2.53

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	45	1.71	1.12
Ahead	30	1.46	1.58
Behind	15	0.81	1.24

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.06	0.39	0–7
16–30	0.12	0.44	1–10
31–45	0.10	0.27	4–5
46–60	0.17	0.33	2–4
61–75	0.33	0.46	5–5
76–90	0.24	0.40	4–5

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.26	0.20	2–3
16–30	0.18	0.09	5–0
31–45	0.23	0.32	5–5
46–60	0.22	0.23	4–2
61–75	0.32	0.19	3–1
76–90	0.28	0.26	5–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Hibernian

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-5-2 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
2 October 2020	Hibernian	3–2	Hamilton Academical	xG 2.97–1.80

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Hamilton Academical won 0, Hibernian won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–3 and xG 1.80–2.97 per game.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Callachan	13	1,152	4	1	0.40	0.05
Templeton	7	516	1	2	0.15	0.23
Odoffin	15	1,330	3	0	0.21	0.05
Ogboe	9	866	2	1	0.19	0.03

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Nisbet	14	1,213	8	2	0.62	0.08
Doidge	12	1,148	4	1	0.33	0.09
Boyle	16	1,437	4	3	0.23	0.12
Murphy	6	544	1	1	0.15	0.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.