Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 0–3 Celtic

Saturday 26 December 2020, 15:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 20 · Half-time 0–0

Celtic Edouard 49' (pen), Griffiths 54', Turnbull 74'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hamilton Academical	Celtic
Goals	0	3
xG	0.09	3.69
Non-penalty xG	0.09	2.90
Expected Points	0.01	2.98

Hamilton Academical <1%Draw 1%Celtic 99%

Most likely score 0–4, 23%. Final score 0–3, 23%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalCeltic

0.09 −0.82xG3.69 +1.56

0.09Non-penalty xG2.90

0.00 −0.97xG on target2.96 +0.52

3 −5.4Shots23 +4.2

0 −2.8Shots on target8 +0.8

0 −0.9Big chances6 +3.1

26% −14Possession74% +7

227 −71Passes641 +51

61% +1Pass accuracy88% +2

14% −19Field tilt86% +13

21 −9Final-third entries65 −5

1 −5.4Box entries20 +2.9

15.8 +1Passes per defensive action9.6 −1

3 −0.7Corners7 +0.3

14 −4Tackles14 +2

16 +4.9Interceptions11 +2.0

25 +2Clearances8 −7

5 +1.3Saves0 −1.4

13 0Fouls7 −5

1 −0.8Offsides0 −1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hamilton Academical

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalCeltic

0.09 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play2.41 18 shots, 2 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.49 4 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–20–3

Level: 52 min (56%) · Hamilton Academical 0.03, Celtic 2.07 xG
Celtic ahead: 41 min (44%) · Hamilton Academical 0.07, Celtic 1.62 xG

Line-ups

Hamilton Academical substitutes

69' Owolabi for Winter
82' Mimnaugh for Stirling
90' Munro for Moyo

Celtic substitutes

72' Ajeti for Griffiths
77' Klimala for Edouard
78' Johnston for Turnbull
83' Elyounoussi for Christie

Players

Hamilton Academical

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gourlay	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	0
Hamilton	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	7
Martin	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.05	5	10
Easton	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	7
Odoffin	DM	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	7
Hodson	RWB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	4	2
Stirling	CM	82	0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	0	2
Trafford	CM	90	0.03	0.01	0	0.00	4	11
McMann	LWB	90	0.00	0.01	1	0.02	2	3
Winter	ST	69	0.03	0.01	0	0.01	0	1
Moyo	ST	90	0.03	0.00	0	0.01	2	6
Owolabi	FW	21	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Mimnaugh	DF	8	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	2
Munro	MF	0	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hazard	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
Frimpong	RB	90			0.03	0.92	3	0.64	9	6
Bitton	CB	90			0.17	0.02	0	0.17	12	6
Ajer	CB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.14	20	5
Taylor	LB	90			0.00	0.17	3	0.14	7	3
Soro	DM	90			0.00	0.02	2	0.08	7	6
McGregor	DM	90			0.00	0.53	3	0.24	11	1
Christie	RW	83			0.10	0.26	1	0.26	15	6
Turnbull	AM	78	1		0.64	0.40	2	0.06	2	0
Edouard	LW	77	1	1	1.61	0.26	5	0.37	5	1
Griffiths	ST	72	1		0.61	0.06	0	−0.09	1	1
Ajeti	FW	18			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Klimala	FW	13			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Johnston	FW	12			0.00	0.03	0	0.02	1	0
Elyounoussi	FW	7			0.53	0.01	0	−0.01	4	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

From	To	Passes
McMann	Trafford	7
Easton	Moyo	5
Trafford	McMann	5
Gourlay	Moyo	4
Martin	Gourlay	4

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Ajer	Bitton	30
Bitton	Ajer	28
Bitton	Soro	17
Bitton	Christie	16
Soro	Bitton	15

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

Against its average of 18 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hamilton Academical
Top six	<1%	<1%	0
11th	31%	30%	−1
Bottom	51%	53%	+2
Celtic
Title	5%	5%	0
Ross County
11th	38%	39%	+1
Bottom	40%	38%	−2
Motherwell
Top six	31%	31%	0
11th	6%	6%	0
Bottom	2%	2%	0

From the forecast before the match (26 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hamilton Academical	Celtic
Expected goals	0.68	3.29
Win	4%	86%
Expected Points	0.22	2.68
Clean sheet	4%	50%

Hamilton Academical 4%Draw 10%Celtic 86%

Most likely score 0–3, 11%. Both sides score 48%.

From the forecast as it stood on 26 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hamilton Academical win	Draw	Celtic win
Hamilton Academical
Top six	<1%	2%	1%	<1%
11th	31%	31%	33%	30%
Bottom	51%	31%	44%	53%
Celtic
Title	5%	2%	3%	5%
Ross County
11th	38%	28%	33%	39%
Bottom	40%	54%	45%	38%
Motherwell
Top six	31%	31%	32%	31%
11th	6%	10%	6%	6%
Bottom	2%	3%	3%	2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hamilton Academical	Celtic
Position	11th	2nd
Played	18	16
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠2–⁠12	11–⁠4–⁠1
Points	14 (0.78 per game)	37 (2.31 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.81	2.00
Goals	18–⁠42	39–⁠14
xG per game	0.91–⁠2.26	2.13–⁠1.02
Home: points, xG per game	0.56, 0.63–⁠2.22	2.38, 2.04–⁠0.82
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.19–⁠2.31	2.25, 2.22–⁠1.23
Manager	Brian Rice (18)	Neil Lennon (16)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hamilton Academical		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−58%	+98%	+70%	−44%
Counter-attacks	−100%	+203%	+271%	−38%
Set pieces	+8%	+44%	+30%	−7%
Penalties	+44%	−42%	+30%	+62%
Headers	−11%	+80%	+4%	−46%
Left side	−30%	+97%	+78%	−30%
Centre	−33%	+106%	+59%	−22%
Right side	−64%	+37%	+65%	−58%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdCeltic concededLeft side−30%−58%Centre−33%−22%Right side−64%−30%Open play−58%−44%Counter-attacks−100%−38%Set pieces+8%−7%Headers−11%−46%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+78%+37%Centre+59%+106%Right side+65%+97%Open play+70%+98%Counter-attacks+271%+203%Set pieces+30%+44%Headers+4%+80%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalCeltic

0.91xG2.13

2.26xG against1.02

40%Possession67%

8.4Shots18.8

17.2Shots against7.9

2.8Shots on target7.2

0.9Big chances2.9

12.2Touches in the opposition box27.8

298Passes590

60%Pass accuracy86%

3.7Corners6.7

33%Field tilt73%

29.6Final-third entries69.9

6.4Box entries17.1

14.8Passes per defensive action10.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	36	0.84	2.17
Ahead	6	0.74	1.14
Behind	48	0.98	2.47

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	41	2.08	1.11
Ahead	39	2.29	1.01
Behind	10	1.75	0.76

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.05	0.39	0–8
16–30	0.11	0.42	2–10
31–45	0.09	0.27	4–6
46–60	0.15	0.33	2–5
61–75	0.31	0.45	6–7
76–90	0.21	0.40	4–6

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.26	0.16	4–2
16–30	0.33	0.17	7–2
31–45	0.33	0.09	4–2
46–60	0.37	0.22	6–3
61–75	0.39	0.20	5–2
76–90	0.45	0.18	13–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
2 August 2020	Celtic	5–1	Hamilton Academical	xG 4.51–0.47

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Hamilton Academical won 0, Celtic won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 1–5 and xG 0.47–4.51 per game.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Callachan	15	1,332	5	1	0.36	0.05
Templeton	7	516	1	2	0.15	0.23
Mimnaugh	5	470	0	1	0.01	0.24
Odoffin	17	1,510	3	0	0.19	0.05

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Edouard	9	808	5	1	0.80	0.20
Christie	12	1,079	3	6	0.36	0.31
Elyounoussi	11	830	6	1	0.54	0.10
Forrest	5	484	2	1	0.28	0.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.