Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC v Motherwell

Saturday 20 March 2027, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 31

Forecast

Dundee FCMotherwell
Expected goals1.271.34
Win35%38%
Expected Points1.311.41
Clean sheet26%28%

Dundee FC 35%Draw 28%Motherwell 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Motherwell goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

Motherwell

  1. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  2. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  3. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  4. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  5. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16
  6. D3–330 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.45–2.92

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCMotherwell
Position4th9th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠1–⁠32–⁠2–⁠4
Points13 (1.62 per game)8 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.191.27
Goals11–⁠89–⁠13
xG per game1.26–⁠1.571.51–⁠1.87
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.58–⁠1.311.00, 1.40–⁠1.11
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.94–⁠1.841.00, 1.61–⁠2.63
ManagerSteven Pressley (46)Alfred Johansson (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.12, 9thMotherwell1.30, 5thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.54, 10thMotherwell1.32, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 1.12Motherwell attack: 1.301.301.12MotherwellDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.54Motherwell defence: 1.321.541.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−32%+13%+6%+1%
Counter-attacks−17%−59%−12%+81%
Set pieces+19%−13%−42%average
Penalties−40%+20%+20%+80%
Headers+25%+14%−43%−1%
Left side+3%+20%−32%−13%
Centre−24%−32%−31%+19%
Right side−31%+18%+58%+22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdMotherwell concededLeft side+3%+22%Centre−24%+19%Right side−31%−13%Open play−32%+1%Counter-attacks−17%+81%Set pieces+19%averageHeaders+25%−1%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee FC concededLeft side−32%+18%Centre−31%−32%Right side+58%+20%Open play+6%+13%Counter-attacks−12%−59%Set pieces−42%−13%Headers−43%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCMotherwell

1.26xG1.51
1.57xG against1.87
38%Possession58%
12.6Shots14.0
18.9Shots against16.4
4.5Shots on target4.4
2.5Big chances2.1
19.1Touches in the opposition box24.6
336Passes571
73%Pass accuracy88%
5.1Corners5.1
25%Field tilt59%
26.9Final-third entries50.8
9.5Box entries14.1
19.6Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.601.37
Ahead172.361.40
Behind401.082.49

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.181–2
16–300.280.342–1
31–450.270.242–5
46–600.140.460–3
61–750.280.262–0
76–900.220.392–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 8Sparrow 8Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 1Moormann 8Longelo 7Williams 1Fadinger 8Priestman 2Hodge 5Levitt 1Maswanhise 4Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 4Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 4Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 2Maswanhise 2Lowry 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2026Dundee FC2–1MotherwellxG 1.38–1.10
7 March 2026Dundee FC2–1MotherwellxG 1.47–1.85
20 December 2025Motherwell1–0Dundee FCxG 1.23–0.23
13 September 2025Dundee FC1–1MotherwellxG 0.82–2.28
3 May 2025Dundee FC1–2MotherwellxG 0.78–3.15
26 February 2025Motherwell2–1Dundee FCxG 1.10–1.42

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 5, Motherwell won 5, and 4 were drawn. Goals 22–18 and xG 1.06–1.37 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise6491120.600.05
Lowry6534210.260.23
Longelo8656000.080.24
Fadinger8689100.180.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.