Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Motherwell v St. Mirren

Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 12

Forecast

MotherwellSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.620.97
Win52%22%
Expected Points1.820.92
Clean sheet38%20%

Motherwell 52%Draw 26%St. Mirren 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

St. Mirren goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%2%2%2%1%12%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  2. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  3. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  4. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  5. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16
  6. D3–330 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.45–2.92

St. Mirren

  1. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  2. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  3. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  4. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  5. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41
  6. D3–330 AugMotherwell (H)xG 2.92–2.45

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellSt. Mirren
Position9th7th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠43–⁠1–⁠4
Points8 (1.00 per game)10 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game1.271.19
Goals9–⁠138–⁠14
xG per game1.51–⁠1.871.47–⁠1.91
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.40–⁠1.111.00, 1.86–⁠2.10
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.61–⁠2.631.50, 1.09–⁠1.72
ManagerAlfred Johansson (8)Craig McLeish (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackMotherwell1.30, 5thSt. Mirren1.10, 11thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.32, 5thSt. Mirren1.44, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctMotherwell attack: 1.30St. Mirren attack: 1.101.301.10St. MirrenMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctMotherwell defence: 1.32St. Mirren defence: 1.441.441.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+6%+1%−21%+1%
Counter-attacks−12%+81%+85%+43%
Set pieces−42%average−33%+1%
Penalties+20%+80%+20%+140%
Headers−43%−1%−50%−14%
Left side−32%−13%−13%+3%
Centre−31%+19%−7%−34%
Right side+58%+22%−11%+73%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−32%+73%Centre−31%−34%Right side+58%+3%Open play+6%+1%Counter-attacks−12%+43%Set pieces−42%+1%Headers−43%−14%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededLeft side−13%+22%Centre−7%+19%Right side−11%−13%Open play−21%+1%Counter-attacks+85%+81%Set pieces−33%averageHeaders−50%−1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellSt. Mirren

1.51xG1.47
1.87xG against1.91
58%Possession48%
14.0Shots13.5
16.4Shots against15.2
4.4Shots on target3.5
2.1Big chances2.2
24.6Touches in the opposition box26.0
571Passes436
88%Pass accuracy80%
5.1Corners4.2
59%Field tilt47%
50.8Final-third entries39.2
14.1Box entries14.2
14.8Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.601.37
Ahead172.361.40
Behind401.082.49

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level311.702.25
Ahead321.401.23
Behind271.312.33

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.181–2
16–300.280.342–1
31–450.270.242–5
46–600.140.460–3
61–750.280.262–0
76–900.220.392–2

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.412–3
16–300.200.231–2
31–450.250.333–2
46–600.170.460–3
61–750.380.201–1
76–900.380.291–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 8Sparrow 8Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 1Moormann 8Longelo 7Williams 1Fadinger 8Priestman 2Hodge 5Levitt 1Maswanhise 4Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 4Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 4Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 2Maswanhise 2Lowry 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 8Ramsay 6Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 7Jackson 1Fraser 1Fieldson 7John 7Sule 1Carr 8Nsio 5Taylor 2Phillips 1Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Mochrie 1Taylor 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Mochrie 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 August 2026St. Mirren3–3MotherwellxG 2.92–2.45
21 February 2026St. Mirren0–5MotherwellxG 1.00–2.20
3 January 2026Motherwell2–0St. MirrenxG 1.88–0.30
9 August 2025St. Mirren0–0MotherwellxG 1.31–0.53
15 March 2025Motherwell2–2St. MirrenxG 0.67–1.24
7 December 2024St. Mirren0–1MotherwellxG 0.55–1.74

20 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 8, St. Mirren won 3, and 9 were drawn. Goals 28–17 and xG 1.42–1.25 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise6491120.600.05
Lowry6534210.260.23
Longelo8656000.080.24
Fadinger8689100.180.06

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kabia6460000.100.15
Ramsay6475000.140.11
Mochrie7474000.070.11
John7630100.070.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.