Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee United v Motherwell

Saturday 7 November 2026, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 13

Forecast

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Expected goals1.421.25
Win40%32%
Expected Points1.491.24
Clean sheet29%24%

Dundee United 40%Draw 27%Motherwell 32%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 55%.

Motherwell goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%9%8%3%1%7%9%5%2%3%4%3%1%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  2. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  3. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  4. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  5. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13
  6. L0–222 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.19–1.43

Motherwell

  1. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  2. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  3. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  4. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  5. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16
  6. D3–330 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.45–2.92

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Position6th9th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠32–⁠2–⁠4
Points11 (1.38 per game)8 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.491.27
Goals10–⁠119–⁠13
xG per game1.62–⁠1.461.51–⁠1.87
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.79–⁠1.231.00, 1.40–⁠1.11
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.44–⁠1.681.00, 1.61–⁠2.63
ManagerJim Goodwin (96)Alfred Johansson (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.25, 6thMotherwell1.30, 5thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.43, 6thMotherwell1.32, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United attack: 1.25Motherwell attack: 1.301.301.25MotherwellDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United defence: 1.43Motherwell defence: 1.321.431.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+17%+6%+1%
Counter-attacks+57%−71%−12%+81%
Set pieces+64%−23%−42%average
Penalties−40%−40%+20%+80%
Headers+1%−39%−43%−1%
Left side−18%+12%−32%−13%
Centre+3%−2%−31%+19%
Right side+43%−21%+58%+22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdMotherwell concededLeft side−18%+22%Centre+3%+19%Right side+43%−13%Open play−24%+1%Counter-attacks+57%+81%Set pieces+64%averageHeaders+1%−1%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee United concededLeft side−32%−21%Centre−31%−2%Right side+58%+12%Open play+6%+17%Counter-attacks−12%−71%Set pieces−42%−23%Headers−43%−39%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedMotherwell

1.62xG1.51
1.46xG against1.87
50%Possession58%
16.1Shots14.0
15.4Shots against16.4
5.4Shots on target4.4
2.4Big chances2.1
30.0Touches in the opposition box24.6
398Passes571
78%Pass accuracy88%
6.2Corners5.1
46%Field tilt59%
39.0Final-third entries50.8
14.0Box entries14.1
12.2Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level241.931.19
Ahead291.741.14
Behind361.301.89

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.601.37
Ahead172.361.40
Behind401.082.49

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.383–3
16–300.160.160–1
31–450.490.235–1
46–600.210.300–3
61–750.250.220–3
76–900.280.172–0

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.181–2
16–300.280.342–1
31–450.270.242–5
46–600.140.460–3
61–750.280.262–0
76–900.220.392–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 8Rawlins 7Yoro 1Esselink 8Forbes 8Ferry 5Ciubotaru 3Camará 4Sevelj 3Iqbal 2Tait 6Agyei 4Cameron 3Yoro 2Randall 4Merghem 4Metsoko 3Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 1Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 8Sparrow 8Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 1Moormann 8Longelo 7Williams 1Fadinger 8Priestman 2Hodge 5Levitt 1Maswanhise 4Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 4Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 4Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 2Maswanhise 2Lowry 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 September 2026Motherwell3–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.39–0.16
28 February 2026Motherwell2–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.12–0.31
13 December 2025Dundee United0–0MotherwellxG 0.49–0.68
29 October 2025Motherwell2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.08–0.48
22 February 2025Dundee United1–0MotherwellxG 1.25–1.09
14 December 2024Motherwell4–3Dundee UnitedxG 2.09–2.02

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 6, Motherwell won 9, and 4 were drawn. Goals 19–25 and xG 0.99–1.58 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall5506220.360.35
Bennie6457110.450.09
Tait6610000.090.15
Forbes8720100.120.04

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise6491120.600.05
Lowry6534210.260.23
Longelo8656000.080.24
Fadinger8689100.180.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.