Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v Kilmarnock

Wednesday 3 February 2027, 19:45 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 26

Forecast

RangersKilmarnock
Expected goals2.620.76
Win77%8%
Expected Points2.450.40
Clean sheet47%7%

Rangers 77%Draw 15%Kilmarnock 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Kilmarnock goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%2%1%7%3%3%8%3%7%5%2%4%3%1%2%2%9%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

Kilmarnock

  1. L1–310 OctRangers (A)xG 1.15–1.42
  2. D1–119 SepHearts (H)xG 0.39–1.92
  3. W1–015 SepHibernian (A)xG 2.21–1.45
  4. D0–05 SepAberdeen (A)xG 1.11–1.08
  5. L0–12 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.41–0.85
  6. L0–429 AugDundee United (H)xG 1.13–3.42

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersKilmarnock
Position2nd12th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠1–⁠11–⁠2–⁠5
Points19 (2.38 per game)5 (0.62 per game)
Expected Points per game2.060.81
Goals11–⁠57–⁠18
xG per game2.17–⁠1.021.04–⁠2.21
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.200.25, 0.73–⁠2.92
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 1.73–⁠0.841.00, 1.35–⁠1.49
ManagerDerek McInnes (8)Neil McCann (24)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackRangers1.92, 2ndKilmarnock1.17, 8thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.97, 2ndKilmarnock1.58, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.92Kilmarnock attack: 1.171.921.17KilmarnockRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 0.97Kilmarnock defence: 1.581.580.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersKilmarnock
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+42%−46%−20%+41%
Counter-attacks+20%+14%−77%+88%
Set pieces+42%−33%−15%+48%
Penalties+20%−40%−100%−40%
Headers+40%−50%−36%+137%
Left side+17%−14%−39%+57%
Centre+66%−31%−23%+80%
Right side+20%−59%−20%−5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+17%−5%Centre+66%+80%Right side+20%+57%Open play+42%+41%Counter-attacks+20%+88%Set pieces+42%+48%Headers+40%+137%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdRangers concededLeft side−39%−59%Centre−23%−31%Right side−20%−14%Open play−20%−46%Counter-attacks−77%+14%Set pieces−15%−33%Headers−36%−50%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersKilmarnock

2.17xG1.04
1.02xG against2.21
55%Possession42%
20.1Shots10.2
9.5Shots against18.5
6.2Shots on target4.0
2.9Big chances1.6
38.1Touches in the opposition box20.1
449Passes378
80%Pass accuracy77%
7.4Corners4.6
60%Field tilt39%
47.5Final-third entries36.9
18.6Box entries10.5
11.4Passes per defensive action16.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

Kilmarnock

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level280.821.77
Ahead171.462.19
Behind451.012.49

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

Kilmarnock

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.300–4
16–300.100.371–2
31–450.170.422–5
46–600.230.323–2
61–750.170.280–2
76–900.200.521–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Kilmarnock

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTStryjek 6Ferrie 2Ring 3Brandon 3Kamara 1McCarthy 5Schilte-Brown 1Stanger 7Yfeko 2Deas 1Schjønning-L… 8Schjønning-LarsenKiltie 2Ring 2McCarthy 1Tshibola 2Ring 2O'Hara 2Lowery 7Rice 2Kiltie 5Tshibola 2Cleșcenco 1John-Jules 7Daniëls 1Hugill 84-4-2 in 2 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 October 2026Rangers3–1KilmarnockxG 1.42–1.15
4 February 2026Rangers5–1KilmarnockxG 3.14–1.39
6 December 2025Kilmarnock0–3RangersxG 0.66–0.75
26 October 2025Rangers3–1KilmarnockxG 1.36–1.04
26 February 2025Kilmarnock2–4RangersxG 1.38–1.95
4 December 2024Rangers6–0KilmarnockxG 4.60–0.09

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 15, Kilmarnock won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 45–13 and xG 2.21–0.75 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

Kilmarnock

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kiltie8699100.290.18
John-Jules7483000.220.10
Hugill8720110.250.04
Ring7533000.050.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.