Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Ross County 1–1 Hearts

Saturday 2 April 2022, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 32 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Gavin Duncan · Attendance 5,210

Ross County Iacovitti 31'

Hearts McKay 39'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyHearts
Goals11
xG2.621.80
Non-penalty xG2.621.01
Expected Points1.980.78

Ross County 58%Draw 25%Hearts 18%

Most likely score 2–2, 13%. Final score 1–1, 4%.

Hearts goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+4%4%2%3%6%2%2%6%2%1%5%5%2%1%1%12%13%11%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTSamuel on for H. Paton, 65'Hungbo on for Charles-Cook, 79'Woodburn on for McEneff and Ginnelly on for Simms, 63'Kirk on for Boyce, 90'Iacovitti 31'McKay 39'Ross County 2.62Hearts 1.8001230153045607590HTSamuel on for H. Paton, 65'Hungbo on for Charles-Cook, 79'Woodburn on for McEneff and Ginnelly on for Simms, 63'Kirk on for Boyce, 90'Iacovitti 31'McKay 39'2.621.80Ross CountyHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyHearts

2.62 +1.59xG1.80 +0.41
2.62Non-penalty xG1.01
2.58 +1.39xG on target1.17 −0.26
18 +8.5Shots19 +6.0
5 +1.2Shots on target4 −0.6
3 +1.7Big chances2 +0.1
20 +4Touches in the opposition box30 +6
34% −8Possession66% +11
239 −70Passes496 +52
63% −1Pass accuracy82% +7
38% −2Field tilt62% +7
27 −2Final-third entries50 +6
11 +3.0Box entries16 +3.5
14.1 −2Passes per defensive action11.6 −2
6 +1.9Corners4 −1.7
14 +1Tackles12 −3
8 −2.7Interceptions3 −5.2
18 −9Clearances27 +11
3 −0.6Saves4 +0.3
16 +3Fouls13 +2
1 −1.3Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Callachan 51', 0.82 xGCharles-Cook 33', 0.20 xGBaldwin 27', 0.14 xGSamuel 85', 0.14 xGH. Paton 58', 0.09 xGH. Paton 27', 0.08 xGCallachan 30', 0.08 xGCallachan 29', 0.05 xGSamuel 71', 0.05 xGCallachan 14', 0.04 xGVokins 52', 0.03 xGH. Paton 50', 0.02 xGTillson 51', 0.02 xGCallachan 55', 0.02 xGSamuel 74', 0.02 xGVokins 27', 0.01 xGCharles-Cook 72', 0.00 xGIacovitti 31', 0.82 xG, goal63%1.64 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.64 xG, 1 goal26%0.68 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.68 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals10%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Boyce 39', 0.18 xGHalliday 25', 0.15 xGWoodburn 82', 0.12 xGMcEneff 61', 0.11 xGBoyce 40', 0.07 xGMcKay 46', 0.05 xGKingsley 53', 0.04 xGGinnelly 69', 0.04 xGKingsley 84', 0.04 xGSimms 14', 0.03 xGSimms 50', 0.03 xGGinnelly 69', 0.03 xGHalkett 76', 0.03 xGMcEneff 23', 0.02 xGHalkett 24', 0.02 xGSimms 37', 0.02 xGHalliday 42', 0.01 xGMcKay 39', 0.04 xG, goal15%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals44%0.44 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.44 xG, 0 goals32%0.32 xGWide in the box: 7 shots, 0.32 xG, 1 goal9%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyHearts

1.39 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.89 14 shots, 1 goal
1.23 7 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.12 4 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
82 min (91%) · Ross County 2.42, Hearts 1.57 xG
Ross County ahead
8 min (9%) · Ross County 0.20, Hearts 0.23 xG

Line-ups

125163822761726LaidlawRandallBaldwinIacovittiVokinsCallachanTillsonSpittalH. PatonCharles-CookWhiteGoalYellow cardYellow card65'79'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay121193851617102018GordonSibbickHalkettKingsleyMcEneffHaringHallidayCochraneBoyceSimmsMcKayYellow cardGoal63'90'63'Hearts 3-4-3Robbie Neilson

Ross County substitutes

  • 65' Samuel for H. Paton · yellow card 82'
  • 79' Hungbo for Charles-Cook

Hearts substitutes

  • 63' Woodburn for McEneff
  • 63' Ginnelly for Simms
  • 90' Kirk for Boyce

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0440
RandallRB900.000.0000.0326
BaldwinCB900.140.0730.11613
IacovittiCB9010.820.0000.0336
VokinsLB900.040.0100.0447
Callachan DM901.020.0510.1024
Tillson DM900.020.0710.0814
SpittalRW9010.000.7740.2796
H. PatonAM650.180.0200.0320
Charles-CookLW790.200.0010.0331
WhiteST900.000.1230.0330
Samuel FW250.200.000−0.0100
HungboFW110.000.0000.0100

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0241
SibbickCB900.000.0200.0855
HalkettCB900.040.0320.211412
KingsleyCB900.080.1000.2376
McEneffRWB630.130.6400.1740
HaringCM900.000.031−0.0155
Halliday CM900.160.0710.0550
CochraneLWB900.000.0210.0457
BoyceRW900.250.2330.1096
SimmsST630.080.0500.1220
McKayLW9010.880.7250.32122
WoodburnMF270.120.0000.0710
GinnellyFW270.070.0000.0012
KirkFW00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Randall and Baldwin: 3 passesRandall and H. Paton: 3 passesRandall and White: 3 passesBaldwin and Callachan: 3 passesBaldwin and H. Paton: 3 passesBaldwin and White: 3 passesIacovitti and Tillson: 3 passesVokins and Callachan: 3 passesVokins and Charles-Cook: 3 passesTillson and Callachan: 3 passesTillson and Spittal: 3 passesTillson and H. Paton: 3 passesTillson and Charles-Cook: 3 passesSpittal and H. Paton: 3 passesSpittal and Charles-Cook: 3 passesRandall and Callachan: 4 passesH. Paton and White: 4 passesSpittal and White: 5 passesH. Paton and Charles-Cook: 5 passesVokins and Spittal: 6 passesCallachan and H. Paton: 6 passesLaidlaw: 7 completed passesRandall: 11 completed passesBaldwin: 13 completed passesIacovitti: 7 completed passesVokins: 10 completed passesTillson: 10 completed passesCallachan: 11 completed passesSpittal: 14 completed passesH. Paton: 11 completed passesCharles-Cook: 8 completed passesWhite: 12 completed passes125163228761726LaidlawRandallBaldwinIacovittiVokinsTillsonCallachanSpittalH. PatonCharles-CookWhiteStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hearts

Halkett and Halliday: 5 passesHalkett and McKay: 5 passesHaring and Halliday: 5 passesHaring and McKay: 5 passesBoyce and Simms: 5 passesHalkett and Boyce: 6 passesGordon and Kingsley: 7 passesSibbick and Halliday: 7 passesHalkett and Cochrane: 7 passesKingsley and Haring: 8 passesGordon and Halkett: 9 passesMcEneff and Boyce: 9 passesKingsley and Halliday: 10 passesKingsley and McKay: 10 passesCochrane and McKay: 10 passesSibbick and Haring: 11 passesHalkett and McEneff: 13 passesCochrane and Halliday: 15 passesHalkett and Haring: 16 passesCochrane and Haring: 16 passesKingsley and Cochrane: 20 passesSibbick and McEneff: 26 passesHalkett and Kingsley: 26 passesSibbick and Halkett: 39 passesGordon: 17 completed passesSibbick: 47 completed passesHalkett: 66 completed passesKingsley: 47 completed passesMcEneff: 31 completed passesCochrane: 43 completed passesHaring: 39 completed passesHalliday: 23 completed passesBoyce: 14 completed passesSimms: 8 completed passesMcKay: 17 completed passes121193817516102018GordonSibbickHalkettKingsleyMcEneffCochraneHaringHallidayBoyceSimmsMcKayStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
LaidlawWhite5
TillsonSpittal4
BaldwinWhite4
RandallCallachan4
CallachanH. Paton4

Hearts

FromToPasses
KingsleyHalkett25
HalkettSibbick24
SibbickHalkett21
CochraneKingsley19
HalkettHaring17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

3−2.37+0.517+1.44−2.06−2.26−0.58−0.74−1.35+0.42−1.27+1.95−0.95+0.77+3.93+0.33−0.16+2.21−1.35+2.91+0.33+1.45+2.80−0.91+0.80−0.60−0.31+0.44−4.04−3.65−3.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Hearts

2−2.56+1.014+2.910+4.83−1.37+0.73−3.77+0.79+3.13−2.81−3.811+4.86+0.74−0.44+0.21−2.55+1.51−3.02−0.50−2.00−1.42+0.51−1.31+0.60−0.50−0.61+0.70−0.92−4.92−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.020.010.020.030.020.010.030.010.030.010.03−0.010.010.010.030.030.19−0.01−0.050.090.27LessMore

Hearts

0.010.020.010.020.030.020.050.010.030.040.050.050.020.010.090.070.110.060.03−0.02−0.010.060.160.080.190.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRoss County1.02 → 1.05Hearts1.26 → 1.26Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.41 → 1.42Hearts1.13 → 1.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six21%16%−5
11th2%1%−1
Motherwell
Top six26%26%0
11th2%2%0
Dundee United
Top six85%86%+1

From the forecast before the match (2 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyHearts
Expected goals1.151.47
Win29%44%
Expected Points1.141.58
Clean sheet23%32%

Ross County 29%Draw 27%Hearts 44%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Hearts goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%1%8%9%4%2%5%7%5%3%2%3%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawHearts win
Ross County
Top six21%46%16%7%
11th2%<1%1%4%
Motherwell
Top six26%21%26%29%
11th2%3%2%2%
Dundee United
Top six85%80%86%88%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–419 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.14–3.36
  2. W1–05 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.23–0.31
  3. W1–02 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.05–1.17
  4. W3–126 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.28–0.57
  5. L0–219 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.19–1.00
  6. D1–19 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.48–1.75

Hearts

  1. W2–019 MarLivingston (H)xG 1.20–0.61
  2. D2–25 MarDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.28
  3. W2–02 MarAberdeen (H)xG 1.15–0.92
  4. W2–026 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.13–0.11
  5. L1–219 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.56–0.69
  6. L1–29 FebDundee FC (H)xG 1.76–0.86

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyHearts
Position7th3rd
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠9–⁠1315–⁠8–⁠8
Points36 (1.16 per game)53 (1.71 per game)
Expected Points per game1.141.56
Goals43–⁠5144–⁠31
xG per game1.03–⁠1.461.39–⁠1.23
Home: points, xG per game1.40, 1.14–⁠1.302.06, 1.60–⁠0.98
Away: points, xG per game0.94, 0.93–⁠1.601.33, 1.17–⁠1.50
ManagerMalky Mackay (31)Robbie Neilson (31)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRoss County1.02, 7thHearts1.26, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.41, 12thHearts1.13, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarRoss County attack: 1.02Hearts attack: 1.261.261.02HeartsRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarRoss County defence: 1.41Hearts defence: 1.131.411.13

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−23%+18%+13%+13%
Counter-attacks−56%+57%+115%−39%
Set pieces−24%+34%−10%+2%
Penalties+85%−8%+62%−54%
Headers−44%+57%−10%−21%
Left side−18%+42%+38%+8%
Centre−29%+18%−19%−1%
Right side−20%+15%+43%+29%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHearts concededLeft side−18%+29%Centre−29%−1%Right side−20%+8%Open play−23%+13%Counter-attacks−56%−39%Set pieces−24%+2%Headers−44%−21%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRoss County concededLeft side+38%+15%Centre−19%+18%Right side+43%+42%Open play+13%+18%Counter-attacks+115%+57%Set pieces−10%+34%Headers−10%+57%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyHearts

1.03xG1.39
1.46xG against1.23
42%Possession55%
9.5Shots13.0
15.9Shots against12.7
3.8Shots on target4.6
1.3Big chances1.9
16.2Touches in the opposition box23.7
310Passes444
64%Pass accuracy75%
4.1Corners5.7
40%Field tilt55%
28.5Final-third entries43.6
8.0Box entries12.5
16.4Passes per defensive action13.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.921.29
Ahead171.151.38
Behind281.131.77

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.521.11
Ahead311.450.91
Behind180.982.10

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.174–8
16–300.190.226–11
31–450.150.2111–8
46–600.130.215–9
61–750.180.319–6
76–900.280.348–9

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.197–6
16–300.130.156–2
31–450.270.188–5
46–600.320.177–6
61–750.280.2610–8
76–900.180.286–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 17Laidlaw 14Randall 11Clarke 10Ramsay 5Baldwin 20Watson 7Clarke 5Iacovitti 25H. Paton 1Burroughs 1Vokins 12Randall 9B. Paton 5Tillson 19H. Paton 11Spittal 10Callachan 12Cancola 9Charles-Cook 1Hungbo 14Charles-Cook 8Spittal 3Callachan 14H. Paton 7Tillson 4Charles-Cook 19Hungbo 5Spittal 5White 23Samuel 4A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 18 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (18), 4-4-2 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 30Stewart 1Souttar 26Moore 8Atkinson 3Halkett 25Sibbick 4Kingsley 22Cochrane 4Smith 16Atkinson 5Moore 4Devlin 22McEneff 1Woodburn 1Baningime 23Haring 13Halliday 1Cochrane 14Halliday 11Kingsley 5McKay 13Ginnelly 8Woodburn 4Boyce 15Simms 7Ginnelly 4Mackay-Steven 12McKay 8Woodburn 73-4-3 in 18 of 31 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (18), 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-4-1-2 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 December 2021Hearts2–1Ross CountyxG 1.73–1.00
18 September 2021Ross County2–2HeartsxG 1.44–1.21

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 0, Hearts won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–4 and xG 1.22–1.47 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hungbo191,554630.220.14
Samuel8884100.290.05
Charles-Cook302,4741320.210.09
Spittal201,854420.120.16

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Simms7753300.630.05
Boyce221,930920.530.10
Gnanduillet3459100.340.10
McKay242,107180.130.30

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.