Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Ross County 2–2 Hearts

Saturday 18 September 2021, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 2–1 · Attendance 3,802

Ross County Spittal 11', 45'

Hearts Boyce 9', Kingsley 66'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyHearts
Goals22
xG1.441.21
Expected Points1.561.14

Ross County 42%Draw 30%Hearts 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 2–2, 8%.

Hearts goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+4%5%3%1%11%10%4%8%11%8%3%3%4%2%1%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTRobertson on for Spittal, 56'Watson on for Callachan, 83'Hungbo on for Charles-Cook, 89'Devlin on for Mackay-Steven, 56'Walker on for Woodburn, 65'Spittal 11'Spittal 45'Boyce 9'Kingsley 66'Ross County 1.44Hearts 1.2100.511.50153045607590HTRobertson on for Spittal, 56'Watson on for Callachan, 83'Hungbo on for Charles-Cook, 89'Devlin on for Mackay-Steven, 56'Walker on for Woodburn, 65'Spittal 11'Spittal 45'Boyce 9'Kingsley 66'1.441.21Ross CountyHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyHearts

1.44 +0.67xG1.21 −0.09
0.94 +0.34xG on target0.87 −0.55
9 +2.2Shots17 +5.8
5 +2.6Shots on target5 +1.6
2 +0.6Big chances0 −1.6
20Touches in the opposition box32 +9
37% +4Possession63% +15
266 −6Passes453 +65
62% −4Pass accuracy80% +6
46% +22Field tilt54% +5
21 −2Final-third entries53 +10
10 +3.4Box entries17 +4.8
16.6 −6Passes per defensive action9.7 −4
3 +0.4Corners9 +4.2
13 −5Tackles8 −11
11 +0.2Interceptions11 +1.2
31 +1Clearances13 −8
3 −1.2Saves2 −2.8
16 +3Fouls10 −1
0 −3.0Offsides3 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Callachan 38', 0.67 xGWhite 90+3', 0.20 xGBurroughs 88', 0.11 xGHungbo 90+3', 0.07 xGCallachan 48', 0.06 xGCallachan 6', 0.02 xGWatson 87', 0.01 xGSpittal 45', 0.23 xG, goalSpittal 11', 0.06 xG, goal47%0.67 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.67 xG, 0 goals39%0.56 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.56 xG, 1 goal10%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals5%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

McKay 16', 0.18 xGMackay-Steven 39', 0.16 xGBoyce 67', 0.12 xGMoore 20', 0.09 xGHalkett 82', 0.07 xGGnanduillet 23', 0.05 xGGnanduillet 58', 0.05 xGSouttar 55', 0.04 xGBoyce 75', 0.04 xGWalker 79', 0.04 xGMcKay 15', 0.03 xGMoore 45', 0.03 xGWoodburn 61', 0.03 xGGnanduillet 18', 0.02 xGSouttar 88', 0.02 xGKingsley 66', 0.12 xG, goalBoyce 9', 0.10 xG, goal10%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals61%0.75 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.75 xG, 1 goal7%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals20%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.25 xG, 1 goal2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyHearts

1.43 8 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.74 11 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.12 1 shot, 0 goals
0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.35 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
70 min (75%) · Ross County 1.31, Hearts 0.96 xG
Ross County ahead
21 min (23%) · Ross County 0.06, Hearts 0.25 xG
Hearts ahead
2 min (2%) · Ross County 0.06, Hearts 0.00 xG

Line-ups

315166187222482617Maynard-BrewerBaldwinIacovittiH. PatonBurroughsSpittalTillsonB. PatonCallachanWhiteCharles-CookYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card56'83'89'Ross County 3-4-1-2Malky Mackay11519418963111021GordonMooreHalkettSouttarMcKayWoodburnBaningimeKingsleyMackay-StevenBoyceGnanduilletYellow cardGoalGoal65'56'Hearts 3-4-1-2Robbie Neilson

Ross County substitutes

  • 56' Robertson for Spittal
  • 83' Watson for Callachan
  • 89' Hungbo for Charles-Cook

Hearts substitutes

  • 56' Devlin for Mackay-Steven
  • 65' Walker for Woodburn

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Maynard-BrewerGK900.000.0000.0113
Baldwin CB900.000.0100.05511
IacovittiCB900.000.1010.0008
H. PatonCB900.000.0100.0555
BurroughsRWB900.110.0200.0239
SpittalCM5620.290.0600.0845
TillsonCM900.000.0100.0115
B. Paton LWB900.000.0100.0225
CallachanAM830.740.1900.1630
WhiteST9010.200.0820.0212
Charles-CookST8910.000.5030.2555
RobertsonMF340.000.010−0.0300
WatsonDF70.010.1110.2250
HungboFW10.070.0000.0000

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0330
MooreCB900.120.1740.35126
HalkettCB900.070.0100.0675
SouttarCB900.070.0100.0778
McKayRWB900.210.1310.20174
Woodburn CM650.030.0410.0462
BaningimeCM900.000.0000.0133
KingsleyLWB9010.120.2010.2682
Mackay-StevenAM5610.160.1110.1850
BoyceST9010.260.2030.2550
GnanduilletST900.130.123−0.0630
DevlinMF340.000.0300.0312
WalkerMF250.040.0410.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

H. Paton and Spittal: 3 passesSpittal and B. Paton: 3 passesCallachan and White: 3 passesMaynard-Brewer and Iacovitti: 4 passesH. Paton and Callachan: 4 passesBurroughs and Spittal: 4 passesBurroughs and Callachan: 4 passesMaynard-Brewer and Baldwin: 5 passesTillson and B. Paton: 5 passesSpittal and Charles-Cook: 5 passesCallachan and Charles-Cook: 6 passesBaldwin and Burroughs: 7 passesIacovitti and B. Paton: 7 passesSpittal and Callachan: 7 passesSpittal and White: 7 passesMaynard-Brewer: 11 completed passesH. Paton: 7 completed passesBaldwin: 11 completed passesIacovitti: 8 completed passesBurroughs: 13 completed passesTillson: 9 completed passesSpittal: 14 completed passesB. Paton: 12 completed passesCallachan: 12 completed passesCharles-Cook: 11 completed passesWhite: 7 completed passes316516182272481726Maynard-BrewerH. PatonBaldwinIacovittiBurroughsTillsonSpittalB. PatonCallachanCharles-CookWhiteStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hearts

Gordon and Souttar: 4 passesMoore and Baningime: 4 passesSouttar and Baningime: 4 passesSouttar and Mackay-Steven: 4 passesHalkett and Kingsley: 4 passesBaningime and Woodburn: 4 passesWoodburn and Boyce: 4 passesWoodburn and Kingsley: 5 passesMoore and Gnanduillet: 6 passesGordon and Moore: 7 passesKingsley and Mackay-Steven: 7 passesGordon and Halkett: 9 passesMoore and Woodburn: 9 passesKingsley and Boyce: 9 passesMackay-Steven and Boyce: 9 passesMcKay and Woodburn: 13 passesSouttar and Kingsley: 16 passesMoore and Halkett: 22 passesMoore and McKay: 23 passesSouttar and Halkett: 26 passesGordon: 16 completed passesMoore: 45 completed passesSouttar: 35 completed passesHalkett: 37 completed passesMcKay: 24 completed passesBaningime: 12 completed passesWoodburn: 21 completed passesKingsley: 28 completed passesMackay-Steven: 14 completed passesGnanduillet: 6 completed passesBoyce: 13 completed passes11541918693112110GordonMooreSouttarHalkettMcKayBaningimeWoodburnKingsleyMackay-StevenGnanduilletBoyceStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
B. PatonIacovitti7
Maynard-BrewerBaldwin7
WhiteSpittal6
SpittalCallachan6
Charles-CookCallachan5

Hearts

FromToPasses
SouttarHalkett27
HalkettMoore24
MooreMcKay22
KingsleySouttar15
SouttarKingsley14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

6+0.65+0.416−2.88−1.610+1.48−0.411+4.810+4.26−0.84−0.45+3.05+0.66+1.05+1.23+0.45+3.01−1.04+0.64+1.21−0.80−0.84+3.43+1.43+2.000.00−0.20−0.21+0.44−7.44−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Hearts

4−1.25−0.84−5.45−1.08+1.25−1.03−2.84−3.89+1.83−3.25−0.66+0.45−3.07+2.83−1.85+1.62−2.42−2.42−2.05+2.41−0.21−1.02−0.40−3.21+1.00−0.80−0.41+0.83+2.62−8.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.030.010.050.080.02−0.01−0.02−0.020.060.02−0.010.20−0.010.38LessMore

Hearts

0.010.020.040.020.010.060.020.070.080.010.010.030.060.070.030.050.040.270.02−0.020.110.01−0.01−0.150.180.41LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRoss County0.91 → 0.94Hearts1.14 → 1.14Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.56 → 1.57Hearts1.00 → 1.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six4%4%0
11th26%25%−1
Bottom29%29%0
Hearts
Title2%1%−1
Top six91%89%−2
11th<1%<1%0

From the forecast before the match (18 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyHearts
Expected goals0.891.49
Win22%51%
Expected Points0.931.79
Clean sheet23%41%

Ross County 22%Draw 28%Hearts 51%

Most likely score 0–1, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

Hearts goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+5%2%8%9%5%2%4%5%4%2%1%2%1%10%13%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawHearts win
Ross County
Top six4%8%4%3%
11th26%23%25%27%
Bottom29%20%29%33%
Hearts
Title2%1%1%3%
Top six91%84%89%94%
11th<1%1%<1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–311 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.45–2.71
  2. D1–129 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.15–2.94
  3. L2–422 AugRangers (H)xG 1.44–2.40
  4. L0–38 AugHibernian (A)xG 0.48–1.62
  5. D0–031 JulSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.31–1.68
  6. W2–116 MayMotherwell (A)xG 1.23–0.67

Hearts

  1. D0–012 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.23–1.09
  2. W2–028 AugDundee United (A)xG 2.25–0.40
  3. D1–122 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.17–0.54
  4. W2–17 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.47–0.73
  5. W2–131 JulCeltic (H)xG 1.40–1.49

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyHearts
Position11th3rd
Played55
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠2–⁠33–⁠2–⁠0
Points2 (0.40 per game)11 (2.20 per game)
Expected Points per game0.401.71
Goals3–⁠117–⁠3
xG per game0.77–⁠2.271.30–⁠0.85
Home: points, xG per game0.50, 0.88–⁠2.041.67, 1.27–⁠1.04
Away: points, xG per game0.33, 0.69–⁠2.423.00, 1.36–⁠0.56
ManagerMalky Mackay (5)Robbie Neilson (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRoss County0.91, 10thHearts1.14, 4thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.56, 12thHearts1.00, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepRoss County attack: 0.91Hearts attack: 1.141.140.91HeartsRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepRoss County defence: 1.56Hearts defence: 1.001.561.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%+80%−15%−22%
Counter-attacks−79%−22%−83%−5%
Set pieces−58%+70%+11%−29%
Penalties+16%+48%+139%−83%
Headers−29%+123%−33%−31%
Left side−48%+82%−36%−4%
Centre−58%+75%average−53%
Right side+1%+57%−17%+28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHearts concededLeft side−48%+28%Centre−58%−53%Right side+1%−4%Open play−34%−22%Counter-attacks−79%−5%Set pieces−58%−29%Headers−29%−31%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRoss County concededLeft side−36%+57%Centreaverage+75%Right side−17%+82%Open play−15%+80%Counter-attacks−83%−22%Set pieces+11%+70%Headers−33%+123%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyHearts

0.77xG1.30
2.27xG against0.85
33%Possession48%
6.8Shots11.2
18.8Shots against11.4
2.4Shots on target3.4
1.4Big chances1.6
272Passes388
66%Pass accuracy74%
2.6Corners4.8
25%Field tilt49%
23.0Final-third entries42.6
6.6Box entries12.2
23.0Passes per defensive action13.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.511.72
Ahead110.752.90
Behind341.122.81

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level541.950.62
Ahead360.351.19
Behind0––

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.250–1
16–300.000.360–3
31–450.160.202–1
46–600.030.190–1
61–750.190.540–2
76–900.240.721–3

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.101–0
16–300.140.061–0
31–450.450.121–0
46–600.330.121–1
61–750.050.081–1
76–900.120.362–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 5Randall 3Burroughs 1Donaldson 1Clarke 3Donaldson 1Iacovitti 4Baldwin 1Watson 1B. Paton 3Charles-Cook 1D. Samuel 1Tillson 4Callachan 1Spittal 3Charles-Cook 1Cancola 1Charles-Cook 1A. Samuel 1Randall 1Callachan 3Tillson 1Watson 1Charles-Cook 2Spittal 2Callachan 1White 54-2-3-1 in 2 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 5Souttar 5Halkett 5Cochrane 3Kingsley 2Smith 5Baningime 5Haring 4Halliday 1Halliday 3Cochrane 2Ginnelly 3Woodburn 2Boyce 5Mackay-Steven 53-4-3 in 3 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shaw121,284610.290.06
White161,441550.290.05
Charles-Cook141,461100.150.08
Spittal12976110.080.13

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Souttar5450100.050.04
Cochrane5450000.010.06
Baningime5450000.000.05
Halkett5450000.020.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.