Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee United 0–2 Hearts

Saturday 28 August 2021, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 4 · Half-time 0–1 · Attendance 9,234

Hearts Boyce 45+1', Gnanduillet 90'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedHearts
Goals02
xG0.402.25
Non-penalty xG0.401.46
Expected Points0.132.78

Dundee United 2%Draw 9%Hearts 90%

Most likely score 0–2, 31%. Final score 0–2, 31%.

Hearts goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+1%10%18%4%5%13%8%2%3%1%31%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTButcher on for Levitt and Harkes on for Clark, 53'Watson on for Spörle, 69'Ginnelly on for Woodburn, 62'Gnanduillet on for Mackay-Steven, 68'Moore on for Halliday, 82'Boyce 45+1'Gnanduillet 90'Hearts 2.25Dundee United 0.4001230153045607590HTButcher on for Levitt and Harkes on for Clark, 53'Watson on for Spörle, 69'Ginnelly on for Woodburn, 62'Gnanduillet on for Mackay-Steven, 68'Moore on for Halliday, 82'Boyce 45+1'Gnanduillet 90'2.250.40Dundee UnitedHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedHearts

0.40 −0.37xG2.25 +1.24
0.40Non-penalty xG1.46
1.61 +0.72xG on target1.93 +0.91
8 +0.3Shots11 +1.3
7 +4.3Shots on target3 −0.3
0 −1.3Big chances3 +2.0
9 −2Touches in the opposition box30 +12
39% −2Possession61% +20
352 +23Passes537 +204
67% +1Pass accuracy80% +9
33% −5Field tilt67% +27
26 0Final-third entries56 +20
3 −0.7Box entries20 +10.3
13.3 −1Passes per defensive action12.3 −2
5 +0.7Corners4 +1.0
11 −5Tackles14 −6
17 +8.7Interceptions9 −1.7
15 −8Clearances15 −10
1 −0.7Saves7 +3.3
15 −1Fouls11 +1
3 +0.7Offsides1 −3.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Spörle 39', 0.09 xGRobson 39', 0.07 xGHarkes 71', 0.06 xGMulgrew 84', 0.05 xGEdwards 70', 0.04 xGButcher 79', 0.04 xGWatson 84', 0.04 xGLevitt 51', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals32%0.13 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals18%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals45%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals5%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Haring 43', 0.22 xGGinnelly 76', 0.05 xGSouttar 19', 0.04 xGSmith 27', 0.04 xGHaring 31', 0.03 xGGinnelly 87', 0.03 xGWoodburn 23', 0.02 xGHalliday 33', 0.02 xGBoyce 45+1', 0.88 xG, goalGnanduillet 90', 0.12 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals87%1.27 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 1.27 xG, 2 goals8%0.11 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals5%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedHearts

0.27 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.53 8 shots, 1 goal
0.13 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.92 2 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
46 min (50%) · Dundee United 0.16, Hearts 2.05 xG
Hearts ahead
46 min (50%) · Dundee United 0.24, Hearts 0.20 xG

Line-ups

162124172619663910CarsonSmithEdwardsMulgrewRobsonMochrieLevittFuchsSpörleMcNultyClarkYellow cardYellow card53'69'53'Dundee United 4-4-2Tam Courts1419172651691110GordonSouttarHalkettCochraneSmithBaningimeHaringHallidayWoodburnMackay-StevenBoyceYellow cardYellow cardGoal82'62'68'Hearts 3-4-2-1Robbie Neilson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 53' Butcher for Levitt
  • 53' Harkes for Clark
  • 69' Watson for Spörle

Hearts substitutes

  • 62' Ginnelly for Woodburn · 1 assist
  • 68' Gnanduillet for Mackay-Steven · goal 90'
  • 82' Moore for Halliday

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0221
SmithRB900.000.0100.0353
EdwardsCB900.040.0200.0858
MulgrewCB900.050.0100.0646
Robson LB900.070.0100.02013
MochrieRM900.000.0300.0721
Levitt CM530.020.000−0.0113
FuchsCM900.000.0100.0424
SpörleLM690.090.0000.0111
McNultyST900.000.011−0.0301
ClarkST530.000.0310.0100
ButcherDF370.040.0000.0534
HarkesMF370.060.092−0.0202
WatsonFW210.040.0200.0230

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0331
SouttarCB900.040.0910.24165
HalkettCB900.000.0910.0628
CochraneCB900.000.0100.0783
SmithRWB900.040.2120.34167
Baningime CM900.000.0100.0123
HaringCM900.250.0600.1751
Halliday LWB820.020.0510.10123
WoodburnAM620.020.0100.0122
Mackay-StevenAM680.000.0500.1923
BoyceST9011.670.032−0.0121
GinnellyFW2810.080.0810.1480
GnanduilletFW2210.120.0010.0321
MooreDF80.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Mulgrew and Clark: 3 passesRobson and Spörle: 3 passesMochrie and Levitt: 3 passesMochrie and Clark: 3 passesFuchs and Clark: 3 passesLevitt and Clark: 3 passesSpörle and Clark: 3 passesSmith and Clark: 4 passesCarson and Edwards: 5 passesCarson and Mulgrew: 5 passesSmith and Mochrie: 6 passesSmith and Levitt: 6 passesEdwards and Levitt: 6 passesCarson: 10 completed passesSmith: 12 completed passesEdwards: 11 completed passesMulgrew: 10 completed passesRobson: 6 completed passesMochrie: 9 completed passesFuchs: 8 completed passesLevitt: 12 completed passesSpörle: 6 completed passesClark: 10 completed passesMcNulty: 4 completed passes162124172666193109CarsonSmithEdwardsMulgrewRobsonMochrieFuchsLevittSpörleClarkMcNultyStarters until 53' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hearts

Cochrane and Mackay-Steven: 5 passesSmith and Mackay-Steven: 5 passesSmith and Boyce: 5 passesSouttar and Woodburn: 6 passesSmith and Haring: 6 passesGordon and Halkett: 7 passesHalliday and Haring: 7 passesHaring and Baningime: 7 passesHaring and Woodburn: 7 passesHalkett and Smith: 8 passesSmith and Baningime: 8 passesHalkett and Haring: 9 passesGordon and Cochrane: 11 passesSouttar and Baningime: 11 passesSmith and Woodburn: 11 passesHalliday and Mackay-Steven: 12 passesSouttar and Haring: 13 passesCochrane and Haring: 15 passesSouttar and Smith: 23 passesCochrane and Halliday: 30 passesHalkett and Souttar: 40 passesHalkett and Cochrane: 41 passesGordon: 22 completed passesHalkett: 62 completed passesSouttar: 55 completed passesCochrane: 58 completed passesSmith: 40 completed passesHalliday: 30 completed passesHaring: 30 completed passesBaningime: 22 completed passesMackay-Steven: 16 completed passesWoodburn: 13 completed passesBoyce: 7 completed passes1194172165611910GordonHalkettSouttarCochraneSmithHallidayHaringBaningimeMackay-StevenWoodburnBoyceStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
MulgrewCarson11
CarsonMulgrew8
SmithFuchs7
CarsonEdwards7
EdwardsCarson6

Hearts

FromToPasses
HalkettSouttar26
CochraneHalkett23
CochraneHalliday22
HalkettCochrane22
SouttarHalkett20

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

1−5.74+0.79−1.08+2.35+1.050.06−0.770.03−3.76+2.03+0.37−0.79+4.05+0.75+1.06+1.33−1.340.02−0.71−0.710.02+1.03−0.72+2.01+0.72+2.00−0.33+2.312−7.33−6.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Hearts

4−0.75−0.78−2.35−2.05−2.75−2.35−1.711+0.36−1.75−1.05−1.74−1.79+1.36+2.34−0.73−1.03−2.33−2.01−2.70−2.03+2.020.04+0.700.00−0.72+2.000.01+0.74−4.01−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.020.020.010.020.030.040.020.030.03−0.010.020.010.01−0.010.030.020.06LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.020.060.010.020.040.030.07−0.010.030.140.010.140.020.090.030.100.160.28LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackDundee United0.93 → 0.90Hearts1.11 → 1.16Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.32 → 1.34Hearts1.16 → 1.10

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six29%22%−7
11th10%13%+3
Bottom4%5%+1
Hearts
Title2%3%+1
Top six78%86%+8
11th2%1%−1
Bottom1%<1%−1
Ross County
11th28%27%−1
Bottom22%22%0

From the forecast before the match (28 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedHearts
Expected goals0.941.22
Win28%42%
Expected Points1.131.56
Clean sheet29%39%

Dundee United 28%Draw 30%Hearts 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Hearts goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%8%3%1%5%6%4%2%2%2%1%12%13%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 28 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawHearts win
Dundee United
Top six29%41%29%22%
11th10%6%10%13%
Bottom4%2%4%5%
Hearts
Title2%1%1%3%
Top six78%69%77%86%
11th2%3%2%1%
Bottom1%1%1%<1%
Ross County
11th28%30%27%27%
Bottom22%23%22%22%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W1–022 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.36–0.85
  2. W1–07 AugRangers (H)xG 0.53–0.82
  3. L0–21 AugAberdeen (A)xG 0.43–0.67
  4. D0–016 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 1.22–0.62
  5. D2–212 MayMotherwell (H)xG 1.56–0.90
  6. L0–21 MayRoss County (H)xG 0.16–2.18

Hearts

  1. D1–122 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.17–0.54
  2. W2–17 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.47–0.73
  3. W2–131 JulCeltic (H)xG 1.40–1.49

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedHearts
Position6th3rd
Played33
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠0–⁠12–⁠1–⁠0
Points6 (2.00 per game)7 (2.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.281.44
Goals2–⁠25–⁠3
xG per game0.77–⁠0.781.01–⁠0.92
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 0.53–⁠0.822.00, 1.28–⁠1.02
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.90–⁠0.763.00, 0.47–⁠0.73
ManagerTam Courts (3)Robbie Neilson (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackDundee United0.93, 12thHearts1.11, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.32, 8thHearts1.16, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugDundee United attack: 0.93Hearts attack: 1.111.110.93HeartsDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugDundee United defence: 1.32Hearts defence: 1.161.321.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−29%−10%−14%−15%
Counter-attacks−17%+5%−50%+7%
Set pieces−27%+17%−31%−5%
Penalties−76%−61%+36%−50%
Headers−34%+23%−26%−9%
Left side−29%+47%−19%+1%
Centre−22%−16%−13%−31%
Right side−51%−25%−33%+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHearts concededLeft side−29%+17%Centre−22%−31%Right side−51%+1%Open play−29%−15%Counter-attacks−17%+7%Set pieces−27%−5%Headers−34%−9%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee United concededLeft side−19%−25%Centre−13%−16%Right side−33%+47%Open play−14%−10%Counter-attacks−50%+5%Set pieces−31%+17%Headers−26%+23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedHearts

0.77xG1.01
0.78xG against0.92
41%Possession41%
7.7Shots9.7
12.0Shots against11.7
2.7Shots on target3.3
1.3Big chances1.0
11.3Touches in the opposition box18.3
329Passes333
66%Pass accuracy71%
4.3Corners3.0
38%Field tilt40%
26.0Final-third entries36.1
3.7Box entries9.7
14.2Passes per defensive action14.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.120.86
Ahead190.020.88
Behind210.610.49

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.710.41
Ahead450.331.42
Behind0––

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.220–0
16–300.130.160–1
31–450.170.030–0
46–600.270.181–1
61–750.080.041–0
76–900.030.150–0

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.151–0
16–300.060.091–0
31–450.070.120–0
46–600.380.121–1
61–750.030.111–1
76–900.120.341–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 2Carson 1Smith 3Edwards 2Mulgrew 3Reynolds 1Robson 3Edwards 1Pawlett 1Chalmers 1Fuchs 2Levitt 1Harkes 2Clark 1Pawlett 1Sporle 1Butcher 1Clark 2Shankland 1McNulty 1Pawlett 1Butcher 14-4-2 in 1 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 3Souttar 3Halkett 3Cochrane 2Kingsley 1M. Smith 3Baningime 3Haring 2Halliday 1Halliday 2Cochrane 1Ginnelly 3Boyce 3Mackay-Steven 33-4-3 in 2 of 3 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland312,788830.310.11
Clark272,265820.240.12
Sporle161,427420.180.11
Chalmers10887020.200.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.