Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Rangers 3–0 St. Mirren

Saturday 6 March 2021, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 31 · Half-time 2–0

Rangers Kent 14', Morelos 16', Hagi 46'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersSt. Mirren
Goals30
xG1.500.21
Expected Points2.480.31

Rangers 76%Draw 21%St. Mirren 3%

Most likely score 1–0, 30%. Final score 3–0, 10%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+13%3%7%6%10%2%2%30%26%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTBalogun on for Helander, 58'Arfield on for Davis, 59'Defoe on for Morelos, 73'Wright on for Hagi, 74'Stewart on for Kent, 81'McAllister on for Durmus and Obika on for Quaner, 55'MacPherson on for Connolly and Flynn on for McGrath, 71'Reid on for Erhahon, 88'Kent 14'Morelos 16'Hagi 46'Rangers 1.50St. Mirren 0.2100.511.520153045607590HTBalogun on for Helander, 58'Arfield on for Davis, 59'Defoe on for Morelos, 73'Wright on for Hagi, 74'Stewart on for Kent, 81'McAllister on for Durmus and Obika on for Quaner, 55'MacPherson on for Connolly and Flynn on for McGrath, 71'Reid on for Erhahon, 88'Kent 14'Morelos 16'Hagi 46'1.500.21RangersSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersSt. Mirren

1.50 −0.68xG0.21 −0.84
2.66 +0.66xG on target0.25 −0.67
10 −7Shots5 −7
7 +1.0Shots on target1 −2.4
2 −0.9Big chances0 −1.0
21 −11Touches in the opposition box6 −12
68% +1Possession32% −15
693 +85Passes314 −44
91% +6Pass accuracy72% +6
79% +1Field tilt21% −23
58 −1Final-third entries17 −16
8 −10.0Box entries1 −7.0
16.6 +6Passes per defensive action35.5 +21
7 +0.2Corners6 +1.1
8 −6Tackles8 −5
11 +1.6Interceptions9 −2.4
13 +1Clearances11 −9
1 −0.6Saves4 +0.9
12 +1Fouls10 −2
5 +3.2Offsides2 +0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Defoe 86', 0.52 xGBalogun 87', 0.22 xGGoldson 39', 0.09 xGHelander 45', 0.04 xGArfield 85', 0.04 xGAribo 7', 0.03 xGKent 56', 0.03 xGHagi 46', 0.45 xG, goalMorelos 16', 0.07 xG, goalKent 14', 0.03 xG, goal14%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.21 xG, 0 goals75%1.13 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.13 xG, 1 goal5%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 1 goal2%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 1 goal4%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Obika 68', 0.07 xGConnolly 34', 0.04 xGTait 77', 0.04 xGObika 66', 0.03 xGDoyle-Hayes 68', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals33%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals19%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals14%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals33%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersSt. Mirren

1.12 6 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.11 3 shots, 0 goals
0.38 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
14 min (16%) · Rangers 0.06, St. Mirren 0.00 xG
Rangers ahead
76 min (84%) · Rangers 1.44, St. Mirren 0.21 xG

Line-ups

116653118101772014McGregorPattersonGoldsonHelanderBarisicKamaraDavisAriboHagiMorelosKentGoalYellow cardGoalGoal58'59'74'73'81'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Gerrard12254272521171145AlnwickFraserMcCarthyShaughnessyTaitDoyle-HayesErhahonConnollyMcGrathDurmusQuanerYellow cardYellow card88'71'71'55'55'St. Mirren 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin

Rangers substitutes

  • 58' Balogun for Helander
  • 59' Arfield for Davis
  • 73' Defoe for Morelos
  • 74' Wright for Hagi
  • 81' Stewart for Kent

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 55' Obika for Quaner
  • 55' McAllister for Durmus
  • 71' MacPherson for Connolly
  • 71' Flynn for McGrath
  • 88' Reid for Erhahon

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0211
PattersonRB900.000.010−0.0116
GoldsonCB9010.090.0110.0548
HelanderCB580.040.0100.0742
BarisicLB900.000.6430.0241
KamaraCM9010.000.0720.15112
DavisCM590.000.0810.0950
AriboCM900.030.0510.15136
Hagi RW7410.450.0600.0640
MorelosST7310.070.010−0.0503
KentLW81110.060.1510.1233
BalogunDF320.220.0000.0631
ArfieldMF310.040.010−0.1211
DefoeFW170.520.000−0.0200
WrightFW160.000.0000.0110
StewartMF90.000.3910.2030

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0462
FraserRB900.000.0100.0552
McCarthyCB900.000.0000.0125
Shaughnessy CB900.000.0010.0213
TaitLB900.040.0010.0142
Doyle-HayesDM900.030.0010.0133
ErhahonDM880.000.0100.0442
ConnollyRW710.040.0000.0420
McGrath AM710.000.0000.0014
DurmusLW550.000.0000.0002
QuanerST550.000.000−0.0300
ObikaFW350.100.0000.0101
McAllisterFW350.000.0300.0100
MacPhersonMF190.000.0000.0001
FlynnMF190.000.0000.0001
ReidMF20.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Goldson and Aribo: 7 passesAribo and Morelos: 7 passesMcGregor and Helander: 8 passesGoldson and Hagi: 8 passesKamara and Aribo: 8 passesKamara and Morelos: 8 passesDavis and Kent: 8 passesHelander and Barisic: 10 passesGoldson and Kamara: 10 passesDavis and Hagi: 10 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 11 passesBarisic and Kamara: 11 passesAribo and Hagi: 11 passesAribo and Kent: 11 passesHelander and Davis: 12 passesHelander and Kamara: 13 passesAribo and Davis: 14 passesDavis and Morelos: 15 passesGoldson and Davis: 18 passesKamara and Hagi: 18 passesBarisic and Aribo: 19 passesKamara and Davis: 20 passesHelander and Goldson: 34 passesHelander and Aribo: 39 passesMcGregor: 15 completed passesPatterson: 14 completed passesHelander: 62 completed passesGoldson: 50 completed passesBarisic: 35 completed passesKamara: 50 completed passesAribo: 57 completed passesDavis: 57 completed passesHagi: 28 completed passesMorelos: 20 completed passesKent: 20 completed passes116563118171072014McGregorPattersonHelanderGoldsonBarisicKamaraAriboDavisHagiMorelosKentStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

St. Mirren

Alnwick and Tait: 3 passesMcCarthy and Erhahon: 3 passesDoyle-Hayes and Erhahon: 3 passesErhahon and Durmus: 3 passesMcCarthy and Tait: 4 passesTait and Doyle-Hayes: 4 passesTait and Durmus: 4 passesShaughnessy and McCarthy: 5 passesTait and Quaner: 5 passesDoyle-Hayes and Quaner: 5 passesErhahon and Quaner: 5 passesDurmus and Quaner: 5 passesShaughnessy and Tait: 6 passesDoyle-Hayes and Connolly: 6 passesTait and Erhahon: 7 passesAlnwick and McCarthy: 8 passesFraser and McGrath: 10 passesMcCarthy and Doyle-Hayes: 10 passesDoyle-Hayes and McGrath: 10 passesFraser and McCarthy: 16 passesFraser and Doyle-Hayes: 23 passesAlnwick: 12 completed passesFraser: 29 completed passesShaughnessy: 9 completed passesMcCarthy: 24 completed passesTait: 17 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 32 completed passesErhahon: 13 completed passesConnolly: 5 completed passesMcGrath: 16 completed passesDurmus: 4 completed passesQuaner: 11 completed passes12245272521171145AlnwickFraserShaughnessyMcCarthyTaitDoyle-HayesErhahonConnollyMcGrathDurmusQuanerStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
HelanderAribo23
AriboBarisic19
KamaraAribo19
HelanderGoldson18
GoldsonHelander16

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
Doyle-HayesFraser17
FraserMcCarthy14
McCarthyFraser13
AlnwickMcCarthy9
McGrathDoyle-Hayes9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

4+0.42−1.25−1.94−0.87+2.68+0.312+5.94+0.36+0.45−2.58+1.65−0.30−3.53−1.55−0.74−0.93−1.51−1.54+0.45+0.11−2.11−1.30−1.23+1.04+1.50−1.02+1.51+0.10−0.62+0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

St. Mirren

10+5.04−1.410−3.95−1.53−2.510+2.46−2.13−5.32−4.93−2.28+1.81−3.25−0.360.01−3.45+1.63+0.42−1.53−1.53+1.00−1.50−1.21−0.82−0.20−1.10−0.20−0.80−0.42+1.40−7.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.040.030.020.040.040.070.060.030.04−0.010.040.090.01−0.030.01−0.020.01−0.010.11−0.110.010.24LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.020.020.020.020.010.010.010.020.020.010.02−0.01−0.010.01−0.010.01−0.01−0.010.03LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRangers1.88 → 1.88St. Mirren0.94 → 0.93Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.60 → 0.59St. Mirren1.15 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six92%90%−2
St. Johnstone
Top six7%8%+1

From the forecast before the match (6 March 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.960.51
Win72%8%
Expected Points2.350.45
Clean sheet60%14%

Rangers 72%Draw 20%St. Mirren 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Both sides score 35%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%9%2%8%2%11%5%1%5%3%2%1%16%16%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 March 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawSt. Mirren win
St. Mirren
Top six92%90%95%>99%
St. Johnstone
Top six7%8%4%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W1–03 MarLivingston (A)xG 2.73–0.35
  2. W4–121 FebDundee United (H)xG 3.26–1.04
  3. W1–013 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.47–0.08
  4. D1–17 FebHamilton Academical (A)xG 0.74–1.37
  5. W1–03 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.33–0.27
  6. W1–027 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.72–0.80

St. Mirren

  1. W1–027 FebRoss County (H)xG 1.41–1.91
  2. D0–024 FebMotherwell (H)xG 0.30–1.39
  3. D1–120 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.71–0.29
  4. D1–117 FebHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.74–1.52
  5. D0–013 FebAberdeen (A)xG 0.66–0.51
  6. L0–410 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.57–2.57

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersSt. Mirren
Position1st6th
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost27–⁠4–⁠010–⁠9–⁠12
Points85 (2.74 per game)39 (1.26 per game)
Expected Points per game2.351.21
Goals74–⁠929–⁠34
xG per game2.18–⁠0.561.05–⁠1.25
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.38–⁠0.541.12, 1.08–⁠1.21
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 1.99–⁠0.581.43, 1.01–⁠1.29
ManagerSteven Gerrard (31)Jim Goodwin (31)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRangers1.88, 1stSt. Mirren0.94, 8thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.60, 1stSt. Mirren1.15, 7th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarRangers attack: 1.88St. Mirren attack: 0.941.880.94St. MirrenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarRangers defence: 0.60St. Mirren defence: 1.151.150.60

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+91%−49%−24%+9%
Counter-attacks+64%−31%−21%−62%
Set pieces+28%−58%−4%−8%
Penalties+70%−100%−6%−25%
Headers+51%−53%−28%+9%
Left side+37%−39%−7%average
Centre+86%−53%−19%−7%
Right side+82%−58%−27%+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+37%+17%Centre+86%−7%Right side+82%averageOpen play+91%+9%Counter-attacks+64%−62%Set pieces+28%−8%Headers+51%+9%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRangers concededLeft side−7%−58%Centre−19%−53%Right side−27%−39%Open play−24%−49%Counter-attacks−21%−31%Set pieces−4%−58%Headers−28%−53%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersSt. Mirren

2.18xG1.05
0.56xG against1.25
67%Possession47%
17.0Shots11.7
5.8Shots against12.4
6.0Shots on target3.4
2.9Big chances1.0
31.8Touches in the opposition box17.7
608Passes358
84%Pass accuracy66%
6.8Corners4.9
79%Field tilt44%
58.7Final-third entries33.5
18.0Box entries8.0
10.3Passes per defensive action14.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level342.180.69
Ahead522.170.52
Behind42.270.11

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.001.15
Ahead181.361.29
Behind270.931.38

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.137–1
16–300.390.1217–2
31–450.340.0614–1
46–600.430.0713–0
61–750.340.0913–2
76–900.410.1010–3

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.153–3
16–300.150.214–9
31–450.240.167–6
46–600.090.263–5
61–750.120.233–7
76–900.300.249–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 22McLaughlin 9Tavernier 29Patterson 1Balogun 1Goldson 31Helander 18Balogun 13Barisic 28Bassey 3Aribo 18Arfield 11Davis 22Jack 16Hagi 2Kamara 21Hagi 14Roofe 6Kent 3Morelos 20Roofe 5Defoe 3Kent 26Hagi 2Roofe 24-3-3 in 24 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (24), 4-2-3-1 (7)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTAlnwick 27Zlamal 3Lyness 1Fraser 22Tait 5Connolly 3McCarthy 30Shaughnessy 28Foley 3Tait 1Tait 19Durmus 7Fraser 2McAllister 8Connolly 7McGrath 4McGrath 19MacPhers… 9MacPhersonSheron 6Doyle-Ha… 15Doyle-HayesFraser 3Erwin 1Erhahon 23Foley 7Connolly 1Durmus 9Mason 5McGrath 4Obika 13Erwin 9Dennis 34-5-1 in 8 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (8), 4-4-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 December 2020St. Mirren0–2RangersxG 0.71–0.71
9 August 2020Rangers3–0St. MirrenxG 2.65–0.42

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 2, St. Mirren won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 5–0 and xG 1.68–0.56 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe131,1381020.660.11
Morelos201,639930.600.11
Tavernier292,5851190.400.27
Itten4660410.370.20

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGrath282,290610.240.15
Obika191,838510.300.05
Morias7664000.250.09
Erwin121,155200.220.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.