Saturday 29 August 2020, 17:30 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 0–2
Hamilton Academical McMann sent off 76'
Rangers Hagi 15', Tavernier 20'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Hamilton Academical
Rangers
Goals
0
2
xG
0.17
4.14
Expected Points
0.01
2.98
Hamilton Academical <1%Draw 1%Rangers 99%
Most likely score 0–4, 21%. Final score 0–2, 9%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Hamilton AcademicalRangers
0.17 −0.82xG4.14 +2.21
0.15 −0.72xG on target2.52 +0.83
5 −4.0Shots24 +2.6
2 −1.0Shots on target6 −0.8
0 −0.8Big chances6 +3.8
30% −6Possession70% −2
289 +40Passes687 0
65% +9Pass accuracy86% −1
21% −9Field tilt79% −7
26 +2Final-third entries65 −6
5 −2.8Box entries33 +15.6
25.0 +9.2Passes per defensive action8.7 +0.1
6 0.0Corners3 −5.8
14 −8Tackles18 +3
8 −1.2Interceptions4 −3.8
22 −1.2Clearances10 +1.6
4 −2.0Saves2 +1.0
11 +1Fouls12 0
2 +0.5Offsides2 +1.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hamilton Academical
Rangers
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
15'20'
0–00–2
0'HTFT
Level
15 min (17%) · Hamilton Academical 0.00, Rangers 0.94 xG
Rangers ahead
75 min (83%) · Hamilton Academical 0.17, Rangers 3.20 xG
Line-ups
Hamilton Academical substitutes
46'Hamilton for Trafford
77'Munro for Mimnaugh
83'Smith for Winter
83'Moyo for Ogboe
Rangers substitutes
83'Arfield for Hagi
90'Stewart for Roofe
Players
Hamilton Academical
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Fulton
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
0
Hodson
RB
90
0.03
0.03
0
0.05
5
5
Odoffin
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
14
Want
CB
90
0.06
0.00
0
0.02
2
15
McMann
LB
76
0.00
0.02
1
0.07
6
2
Martin
RM
90
0.06
0.02
0
0.03
5
1
Trafford
CM
46
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Mimnaugh
CM
77
0.00
0.06
2
0.05
4
1
Winter
LM
83
0.00
0.02
0
−0.01
0
5
Callachan
ST
90
0.00
0.09
0
−0.01
0
2
Ogboe
ST
83
0.03
0.02
0
0.01
2
1
Hamilton
DF
44
0.00
0.00
1
0.02
1
4
Munro
MF
13
0.00
0.01
1
0.05
5
0
Smith
FW
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Moyo
FW
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McLaughlin
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
1
1
Tavernier
RB
90
1
0.77
0.18
1
0.17
6
3
Goldson
CB
90
0.11
0.06
1
0.23
12
3
Helander
CB
90
0.07
0.02
0
0.14
10
7
Barisic
LB
90
0.06
0.56
4
0.35
11
3
Jack
DM
90
0.06
0.23
3
0.27
7
4
Davis
DM
90
0.00
0.22
2
0.27
11
4
Kent
RW
90
0.30
0.52
5
0.39
17
1
Barker
AM
90
0.43
0.48
2
0.45
8
2
Hagi
LW
83
1
1.39
0.13
1
0.13
3
1
Roofe
ST
90
0.95
0.01
0
0.04
1
4
Arfield
MF
7
0.00
0.07
0
0.03
1
0
Stewart
MF
0
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hamilton Academical
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hamilton Academical
From
To
Passes
Callachan
Hodson
9
Hodson
Callachan
7
Fulton
Odoffin
6
Mimnaugh
McMann
5
McMann
Ogboe
5
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Jack
Davis
23
Helander
Goldson
18
Tavernier
Jack
18
Jack
Barker
18
Goldson
Helander
17
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hamilton Academical
Against its average of 4 matches
Rangers
Against its average of 5 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hamilton Academical
Rangers
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hamilton Academical
Top six
8%
7%
−1
11th
19%
20%
+1
Bottom
34%
36%
+2
Rangers
Title
36%
38%
+2
Celtic
Title
63%
61%
−2
St. Johnstone
Top six
24%
24%
0
11th
12%
12%
0
Bottom
10%
10%
0
From the forecast before the match (29 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hamilton Academical
Rangers
Expected goals
0.29
2.04
Win
4%
79%
Expected Points
0.29
2.54
Clean sheet
13%
75%
Hamilton Academical 4%Draw 17%Rangers 79%
Most likely score 0–2, 20%. Both sides score 22%.
From the forecast as it stood on 29 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hamilton Academical win
Draw
Rangers win
Hamilton Academical
Top six
8%
18%
12%
7%
11th
19%
17%
18%
20%
Bottom
34%
18%
28%
36%
Rangers
Title
36%
23%
30%
38%
Celtic
Title
63%
75%
69%
61%
St. Johnstone
Top six
24%
22%
24%
24%
11th
12%
11%
12%
12%
Bottom
10%
16%
11%
10%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hamilton Academical
Rangers
Position
11th
1st
Played
4
5
Won, drawn, lost
1–0–3
4–1–0
Points
3 (0.75 per game)
13 (2.60 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.89
2.53
Goals
2–7
9–0
xG per game
0.99–2.18
1.93–0.24
Home: points, xG per game
0.00, 0.64–1.73
3.00, 2.44–0.32
Away: points, xG per game
1.50, 1.35–2.62
2.00, 1.18–0.11
Manager
Brian Rice (4)
Steven Gerrard (5)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hamilton Academical
Rangers
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−40%
+78%
+70%
−68%
Counter-attacks
−67%
+55%
−52%
−20%
Set pieces
+67%
+18%
+38%
−67%
Penalties
−67%
−67%
−83%
−83%
Headers
+12%
−35%
+38%
−54%
Left side
−7%
+114%
+12%
−61%
Centre
+13%
+63%
+56%
−64%
Right side
−51%
−4%
+101%
−75%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
Hamilton Academical attacking
Hamilton Academical createdRangers concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−7%−75%Centre+13%−64%Right side−51%−61%Open play−40%−68%Counter-attacks−67%−20%Set pieces+67%−67%Headers+12%−54%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Hamilton AcademicalRangers
0.99xG1.93
2.18xG against0.24
36%Possession72%
9.0Shots21.4
17.8Shots against3.2
3.0Shots on target6.8
0.8Big chances2.2
250Passes687
56%Pass accuracy88%
6.0Corners8.8
30%Field tilt85%
24.3Final-third entries70.6
7.8Box entries17.4
15.8Passes per defensive action8.6
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hamilton Academical
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
50
1.36
1.95
Ahead
1
0.00
0.00
Behind
39
0.55
2.53
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
41
1.65
0.14
Ahead
49
2.17
0.32
Behind
0
–
–
xG by period
Hamilton Academical
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.25
0–0
16–30
0.05
0.57
0–2
31–45
0.05
0.31
1–1
46–60
0.11
0.40
0–2
61–75
0.23
0.38
0–0
76–90
0.43
0.27
1–2
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.17
0.03
0–0
16–30
0.21
0.01
3–0
31–45
0.22
0.01
1–0
46–60
0.48
0.07
2–0
61–75
0.38
0.01
2–0
76–90
0.46
0.10
1–0
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Hamilton Academical
Rangers
Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Key players
Rangers
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Goldson
5
450
0
0
0.04
0.04
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.