Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 0–2 Rangers

Saturday 29 August 2020, 17:30 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 0–2

Hamilton Academical McMann sent off 76'

Rangers Hagi 15', Tavernier 20'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Hamilton AcademicalRangers
Goals02
xG0.174.14
Expected Points0.012.98

Hamilton Academical <1%Draw 1%Rangers 99%

Most likely score 0–4, 21%. Final score 0–2, 9%.

Rangers goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+3%9%2%3%4%3%3%18%21%17%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

02460153045607590HTMcMann (Hamilton Academical), second yellow card 76'Hamilton on for Trafford, 46'Munro on for Mimnaugh, 77'Moyo on for Ogboe and Smith on for Winter, 83'Arfield on for Hagi, 83'Stewart on for Roofe, 90'Hagi 15'Tavernier 20'Rangers 4.14Hamilton Academical 0.1702460153045607590HTMcMann (Hamilton Academical), second yellow card 76'Hamilton on for Trafford, 46'Munro on for Mimnaugh, 77'Moyo on for Ogboe and Smith on for Winter, 83'Arfield on for Hagi, 83'Stewart on for Roofe, 90'Hagi 15'Tavernier 20'4.140.17Hamilton AcademicalRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalRangers

0.17 −0.82xG4.14 +2.21
0.15 −0.72xG on target2.52 +0.83
5 −4.0Shots24 +2.6
2 −1.0Shots on target6 −0.8
0 −0.8Big chances6 +3.8
30% −6Possession70% −2
289 +40Passes687 0
65% +9Pass accuracy86% −1
21% −9Field tilt79% −7
26 +2Final-third entries65 −6
5 −2.8Box entries33 +15.6
25.0 +9.2Passes per defensive action8.7 +0.1
6 0.0Corners3 −5.8
14 −8Tackles18 +3
8 −1.2Interceptions4 −3.8
22 −1.2Clearances10 +1.6
4 −2.0Saves2 +1.0
11 +1Fouls12 0
2 +0.5Offsides2 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hamilton Academical

Want 73', 0.06 xGMartin 31', 0.03 xGOgboe 66', 0.03 xGMartin 73', 0.03 xGHodson 89', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals33%0.06 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals17%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals50%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Roofe 52', 0.44 xGHagi 23', 0.42 xGBarker 49', 0.40 xGRoofe 79', 0.37 xGGoldson 37', 0.11 xGKent 61', 0.10 xGTavernier 4', 0.09 xGRoofe 15', 0.08 xGHagi 71', 0.08 xGHagi 53', 0.07 xGHelander 72', 0.07 xGRoofe 29', 0.06 xGBarisic 36', 0.06 xGJack 50', 0.06 xGHagi 69', 0.06 xGKent 88', 0.06 xGHagi 3', 0.04 xGKent 20', 0.04 xGKent 27', 0.04 xGBarker 32', 0.03 xGKent 43', 0.03 xGKent 54', 0.03 xGHagi 15', 0.72 xG, goalTavernier 20', 0.67 xG, goal59%2.45 xGSix-yard box: 6 shots, 2.45 xG, 2 goals27%1.11 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.11 xG, 0 goals11%0.47 xGWide in the box: 8 shots, 0.47 xG, 0 goals2%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalRangers

0.12 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play3.86 21 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.10 1 shot, 0 goals
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.18 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
15 min (17%) · Hamilton Academical 0.00, Rangers 0.94 xG
Rangers ahead
75 min (83%) · Hamilton Academical 0.17, Rangers 3.20 xG

Line-ups

232721238141819349FultonHodsonOdoffinWantMcMannMartinTraffordMimnaughWinterCallachanOgboeYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card46'77'83'83'Hamilton Academical 4-4-2Brian Rice33265318101421725McLaughlinTavernierGoldsonHelanderBarisicJackDavisKentBarkerHagiRoofeGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal83'90'Rangers 4-2-3-1Steven Gerrard

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 46' Hamilton for Trafford
  • 77' Munro for Mimnaugh
  • 83' Smith for Winter
  • 83' Moyo for Ogboe

Rangers substitutes

  • 83' Arfield for Hagi
  • 90' Stewart for Roofe

Players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FultonGK900.000.0000.0220
HodsonRB900.030.0300.0555
OdoffinCB900.000.0000.02114
WantCB900.060.0000.02215
McMann LB760.000.0210.0762
MartinRM900.060.0200.0351
TraffordCM460.000.000−0.0101
MimnaughCM770.000.0620.0541
WinterLM830.000.020−0.0105
Callachan ST900.000.090−0.0102
OgboeST830.030.0200.0121
HamiltonDF440.000.0010.0214
MunroMF130.000.0110.0550
SmithFW70.000.0000.0000
MoyoFW70.000.0000.0000

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McLaughlinGK900.000.0000.0311
TavernierRB9010.770.1810.1763
Goldson CB900.110.0610.23123
HelanderCB900.070.0200.14107
BarisicLB900.060.5640.35113
JackDM900.060.2330.2774
DavisDM900.000.2220.27114
KentRW900.300.5250.39171
Barker AM900.430.4820.4582
HagiLW8311.390.1310.1331
RoofeST900.950.0100.0414
ArfieldMF70.000.0700.0310
StewartMF00.000.000−0.0200

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Fulton and Want: 3 passesWant and Ogboe: 3 passesMartin and Trafford: 3 passesTrafford and Callachan: 3 passesMimnaugh and Callachan: 3 passesHodson and Martin: 4 passesHodson and Trafford: 4 passesMcMann and Ogboe: 4 passesTrafford and Mimnaugh: 4 passesCallachan and Ogboe: 4 passesFulton and Hodson: 5 passesMartin and Callachan: 5 passesHodson and Callachan: 6 passesMimnaugh and Winter: 6 passesHodson and Odoffin: 8 passesMcMann and Mimnaugh: 8 passesFulton and Odoffin: 9 passesFulton: 14 completed passesHodson: 13 completed passesOdoffin: 12 completed passesWant: 6 completed passesMcMann: 11 completed passesMartin: 5 completed passesTrafford: 13 completed passesMimnaugh: 13 completed passesWinter: 4 completed passesCallachan: 10 completed passesOgboe: 8 completed passes232721238141819349FultonHodsonOdoffinWantMcMannMartinTraffordMimnaughWinterCallachanOgboeStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Tavernier and Hagi: 9 passesJack and Hagi: 9 passesTavernier and Davis: 10 passesTavernier and Kent: 10 passesHelander and Barker: 10 passesBarisic and Barker: 10 passesBarisic and Hagi: 10 passesBarisic and Kent: 11 passesTavernier and Barker: 12 passesDavis and Barker: 13 passesHelander and Barisic: 15 passesGoldson and Jack: 16 passesKent and Hagi: 16 passesMcLaughlin and Helander: 17 passesHelander and Jack: 18 passesJack and Kent: 19 passesBarker and Kent: 19 passesGoldson and Davis: 20 passesHelander and Davis: 21 passesJack and Barker: 21 passesMcLaughlin and Goldson: 22 passesDavis and Kent: 22 passesTavernier and Jack: 23 passesBarisic and Davis: 23 passesHelander and Goldson: 30 passesJack and Davis: 33 passesMcLaughlin: 37 completed passesTavernier: 45 completed passesHelander: 68 completed passesGoldson: 60 completed passesBarisic: 48 completed passesJack: 81 completed passesDavis: 84 completed passesBarker: 42 completed passesKent: 51 completed passesHagi: 24 completed passesRoofe: 11 completed passes33256318102114725McLaughlinTavernierHelanderGoldsonBarisicJackDavisBarkerKentHagiRoofeStarters until 83' · lines join pairs with 9+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
CallachanHodson9
HodsonCallachan7
FultonOdoffin6
MimnaughMcMann5
McMannOgboe5

Rangers

FromToPasses
JackDavis23
HelanderGoldson18
TavernierJack18
JackBarker18
GoldsonHelander17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

2−4.27+3.517+3.014+7.05−0.28+1.28−2.816+6.50−5.84−0.81−2.89+5.57−1.24−1.22−1.85+2.20−3.88+3.56+3.81−1.01−0.21+0.22−0.80−0.21+0.80−0.20−0.50−1.80−7.51−7.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Rangers

1−5.02−1.87+3.03−1.67+4.44−4.66+0.84+2.012+5.813+6.68+1.27+1.85+3.02−2.87+1.46+0.29+4.01−1.81−2.42−4.21−2.66+3.81+0.20−2.20−2.20−1.80−0.61−0.42+1.00−1.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.040.010.04−0.02−0.01−0.010.050.050.05LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.040.060.050.050.030.010.070.060.070.060.040.140.020.100.090.020.080.250.220.020.040.070.440.40LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.00.51.01.52.0League average 0.95AttackHamilton Acad…0.73 → 0.68Rangers1.31 → 1.35Defence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.44 → 1.50Rangers0.35 → 0.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hamilton Academical
Top six8%7%−1
11th19%20%+1
Bottom34%36%+2
Rangers
Title36%38%+2
Celtic
Title63%61%−2
St. Johnstone
Top six24%24%0
11th12%12%0
Bottom10%10%0

From the forecast before the match (29 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Hamilton AcademicalRangers
Expected goals0.292.04
Win4%79%
Expected Points0.292.54
Clean sheet13%75%

Hamilton Academical 4%Draw 17%Rangers 79%

Most likely score 0–2, 20%. Both sides score 22%.

Rangers goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+10%14%7%3%1%3%6%6%4%2%20%20%

From the forecast as it stood on 29 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHamilton Academical winDrawRangers win
Hamilton Academical
Top six8%18%12%7%
11th19%17%18%20%
Bottom34%18%28%36%
Rangers
Title36%23%30%38%
Celtic
Title63%75%69%61%
St. Johnstone
Top six24%22%24%24%
11th12%11%12%12%
Bottom10%16%11%10%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

  1. W1–022 AugMotherwell (A)xG 2.22–0.73
  2. L0–115 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.83–1.97
  3. L0–18 AugRoss County (H)xG 0.45–1.50
  4. L1–52 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.47–4.51

Rangers

  1. W2–022 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 2.93–0.10
  2. D0–016 AugLivingston (A)xG 1.11–0.07
  3. W3–012 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.73–0.44
  4. W3–09 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.65–0.42
  5. W1–01 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.25–0.15

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Hamilton AcademicalRangers
Position11th1st
Played45
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠34–⁠1–⁠0
Points3 (0.75 per game)13 (2.60 per game)
Expected Points per game0.892.53
Goals2–⁠79–⁠0
xG per game0.99–⁠2.181.93–⁠0.24
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.64–⁠1.733.00, 2.44–⁠0.32
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.35–⁠2.622.00, 1.18–⁠0.11
ManagerBrian Rice (4)Steven Gerrard (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.00.51.01.52.0League average 0.95AttackHamilton Acad…0.73, 12thRangers1.31, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.44, 12thRangers0.35, 2nd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.51 Aug23 AugHamilton Academical attack: 0.73Rangers attack: 1.311.310.73RangersHamilton AcademicalDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.51 Aug23 AugHamilton Academical defence: 1.44Rangers defence: 0.351.440.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Hamilton AcademicalRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−40%+78%+70%−68%
Counter-attacks−67%+55%−52%−20%
Set pieces+67%+18%+38%−67%
Penalties−67%−67%−83%−83%
Headers+12%−35%+38%−54%
Left side−7%+114%+12%−61%
Centre+13%+63%+56%−64%
Right side−51%−4%+101%−75%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdRangers concededLeft side−7%−75%Centre+13%−64%Right side−51%−61%Open play−40%−68%Counter-attacks−67%−20%Set pieces+67%−67%Headers+12%−54%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+12%−4%Centre+56%+63%Right side+101%+114%Open play+70%+78%Counter-attacks−52%+55%Set pieces+38%+18%Headers+38%−35%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalRangers

0.99xG1.93
2.18xG against0.24
36%Possession72%
9.0Shots21.4
17.8Shots against3.2
3.0Shots on target6.8
0.8Big chances2.2
250Passes687
56%Pass accuracy88%
6.0Corners8.8
30%Field tilt85%
24.3Final-third entries70.6
7.8Box entries17.4
15.8Passes per defensive action8.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.361.95
Ahead10.000.00
Behind390.552.53

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.650.14
Ahead492.170.32
Behind0––

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.250–0
16–300.050.570–2
31–450.050.311–1
46–600.110.400–2
61–750.230.380–0
76–900.430.271–2

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.030–0
16–300.210.013–0
31–450.220.011–0
46–600.480.072–0
61–750.380.012–0
76–900.460.101–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTFulton 4Odoffin 2Hodson 2Odoffin 2Fjørtoft 1Hamilton 1Want 4McMann 4L. Smith 3Johnson 1Callachan 4Martin 4Templeton 1Moyo 1C. Smith 1Moyo 3Ogboe 1Winter 3Templeton 14-4-2 in every start

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcLaughlin 4McGregor 1Tavernier 5Goldson 5Balogun 3Helander 2Barisic 5Kamara 4Jack 5Barker 1Aribo 3Davis 1Arfield 1Hagi 4Kent 1Morelos 4Roofe 1Kent 4Itten 14-3-3 in 3 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Goldson5450000.040.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.