Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 1–2 Rangers

Sunday 13 December 2020, 12:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 17 · Half-time 1–2

Dundee United L. Smith 33'

Rangers Tavernier 26', Goldson 44'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedRangers
Goals12
xG0.431.34
Expected Points0.632.07

Dundee United 11%Draw 30%Rangers 59%

Most likely score 0–1, 23%. Final score 1–2, 7%.

Rangers goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+16%6%2%7%12%7%3%1%2%2%17%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTWatson on for Sporle, 86'Itten on for Morelos, 73'Zungu on for Kamara, 81'Aribo on for Kent, 86'L. Smith 33'Tavernier 26'Goldson 44'Rangers 1.34Dundee United 0.4300.511.50153045607590HTWatson on for Sporle, 86'Itten on for Morelos, 73'Zungu on for Kamara, 81'Aribo on for Kent, 86'L. Smith 33'Tavernier 26'Goldson 44'1.340.43Dundee UnitedRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedRangers

0.43 −0.48xG1.34 −1.18
0.83 +0.05xG on target1.38 −0.98
7 −2.2Shots18 −0.9
2 −0.4Shots on target5 −1.8
0 −1.1Big chances1 −2.3
7 −1.8Touches in the opposition box37 +3.9
26% −22Possession74% +7
230 −136Passes654 +29
56% −10Pass accuracy85% 0
9% −30Field tilt91% +11
8 −22Final-third entries72 +12
3 −4.1Box entries15 −4.6
38.6 +24Passes per defensive action7.1 −4
3 −1.4Corners11 +3.8
12 −2Tackles6 −8
21 +10.6Interceptions12 +3.1
26 0Clearances9 −1
2 −1.1Saves1 −0.3
13 0Fouls11 0
1 −0.5Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Edwards 9', 0.13 xGConnolly 9', 0.08 xGConnolly 9', 0.05 xGReynolds 9', 0.05 xGEdwards 90+3', 0.03 xGL. Smith 25', 0.02 xGL. Smith 33', 0.06 xG, goal50%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals19%0.08 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals26%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals5%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Arfield 75', 0.22 xGMorelos 42', 0.15 xGRoofe 32', 0.11 xGGoldson 64', 0.11 xGTavernier 41', 0.09 xGTavernier 66', 0.09 xGBalogun 64', 0.06 xGBarisic 70', 0.06 xGArfield 72', 0.06 xGArfield 80', 0.06 xGTavernier 6', 0.04 xGKamara 69', 0.04 xGArfield 71', 0.04 xGMorelos 11', 0.03 xGMorelos 52', 0.03 xGBarisic 67', 0.03 xGGoldson 44', 0.06 xG, goalTavernier 26', 0.05 xG, goal24%0.32 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals31%0.42 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.42 xG, 1 goal23%0.31 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals18%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 1 goal

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedRangers

0.08 2 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.78 10 shots, 0 goals
0.35 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.56 8 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
37 min (40%) · Dundee United 0.34, Rangers 0.43 xG
Rangers ahead
56 min (60%) · Dundee United 0.09, Rangers 0.90 xG

Line-ups

1256121739236624SiegristL. SmithConnollyReynoldsEdwardsRobsonSporleMcNultyHarkesFuchsShanklandGoalYellow card86'Dundee United 5-4-1Micky Mellon1262631371018252014McGregorTavernierGoldsonBalogunBarisicArfieldDavisKamaraRoofeMorelosKentGoalGoalYellow card81'73'86'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Gerrard

Dundee United substitutes

  • 86' Watson for Sporle

Rangers substitutes

  • 73' Itten for Morelos
  • 81' Zungu for Kamara
  • 86' Aribo for Kent

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0002
L. SmithRWB9010.080.0410.1135
ConnollyCB900.140.0000.02212
ReynoldsCB900.050.0000.03311
EdwardsCB900.160.0000.03113
RobsonLWB9010.000.0310.0425
SporleRM860.000.2510.0005
McNultyCM900.000.0000.0111
HarkesCM900.000.0000.0027
Fuchs LM900.000.000−0.0103
ShanklandST900.000.000−0.0101
WatsonFW40.000.0000.0000

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0211
TavernierRB90110.280.2510.21102
GoldsonCB9010.170.0200.15102
BalogunCB900.060.010−0.0116
BarisicLB900.090.3830.0633
ArfieldCM900.370.0800.1563
DavisCM900.000.0710.16136
KamaraCM810.040.0510.1261
RoofeRW900.110.0800.0712
Morelos ST730.220.031−0.0321
KentLW860.000.6330.46142
IttenFW170.000.0110.0010
ZunguMF90.000.0000.0001
AriboMF40.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

L. Smith and McNulty: 3 passesL. Smith and Harkes: 3 passesConnolly and Edwards: 3 passesConnolly and McNulty: 3 passesConnolly and Harkes: 3 passesEdwards and Shankland: 3 passesReynolds and Harkes: 3 passesRobson and Shankland: 3 passesMcNulty and Fuchs: 3 passesMcNulty and Shankland: 3 passesEdwards and Reynolds: 4 passesEdwards and Robson: 4 passesRobson and Fuchs: 4 passesRobson and Sporle: 4 passesL. Smith and Fuchs: 5 passesEdwards and Fuchs: 5 passesReynolds and Fuchs: 5 passesConnolly and Fuchs: 6 passesEdwards and Harkes: 6 passesSporle and Shankland: 6 passesRobson and Harkes: 7 passesHarkes and Shankland: 7 passesReynolds and Robson: 10 passesSiegrist: 5 completed passesL. Smith: 8 completed passesConnolly: 15 completed passesEdwards: 14 completed passesReynolds: 12 completed passesRobson: 17 completed passesMcNulty: 6 completed passesFuchs: 14 completed passesHarkes: 15 completed passesSporle: 12 completed passesShankland: 14 completed passes1251261796623324SiegristL. SmithConnollyEdwardsReynoldsRobsonMcNultyFuchsHarkesSporleShanklandStarters until 86' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Tavernier and Kent: 8 passesKamara and Morelos: 8 passesDavis and Roofe: 8 passesMorelos and Kent: 8 passesGoldson and Arfield: 9 passesBarisic and Kent: 10 passesKamara and Kent: 10 passesArfield and Morelos: 11 passesDavis and Morelos: 11 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 12 passesBalogun and Davis: 12 passesTavernier and Morelos: 13 passesBalogun and Kamara: 13 passesGoldson and Kamara: 13 passesBalogun and Barisic: 14 passesBarisic and Davis: 14 passesBalogun and Goldson: 18 passesDavis and Kent: 18 passesArfield and Davis: 22 passesTavernier and Arfield: 25 passesGoldson and Davis: 31 passesTavernier and Goldson: 33 passesBarisic and Kamara: 33 passesTavernier and Davis: 34 passesKamara and Davis: 37 passesMcGregor: 15 completed passesTavernier: 65 completed passesBalogun: 40 completed passesGoldson: 62 completed passesBarisic: 44 completed passesArfield: 44 completed passesKamara: 67 completed passesDavis: 93 completed passesRoofe: 12 completed passesMorelos: 26 completed passesKent: 33 completed passes1226631371810252014McGregorTavernierBalogunGoldsonBarisicArfieldKamaraDavisRoofeMorelosKentStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
ShanklandHarkes6
RobsonReynolds6
HarkesRobson4
SporleShankland4
ConnollyFuchs4

Rangers

FromToPasses
KamaraDavis24
GoldsonTavernier21
BarisicKamara19
TavernierGoldson18
DavisKamara18

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

4−1.68+0.622+6.213+6.46−1.46−1.08+0.28+1.616+9.412+1.71−4.88+3.22−1.812+7.86+0.53−1.45+2.20−2.30−2.40−4.20−2.20−1.50−0.90−1.64+2.20−0.90−0.10−0.30−0.20−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Rangers

2−2.11−2.17+1.15+0.11−3.32−3.65+1.75−0.77+0.84−0.94+0.55+0.49+3.16+0.84−0.24+1.74+0.23−1.96+2.75+2.81−0.12+0.17+4.710.00−0.210.00−0.70−1.23−4.53−4.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.030.010.010.020.020.01−0.01−0.010.010.030.020.08LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.040.020.020.030.070.060.070.020.050.140.040.100.020.01−0.030.110.020.110.15−0.05−0.020.070.27LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackDundee United0.91 → 0.92Rangers2.24 → 2.18Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.32 → 1.28Rangers0.60 → 0.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six25%23%−2
11th8%9%+1
Bottom2%2%0
Rangers
Title92%93%+1
Celtic
Title8%7%−1
Motherwell
Top six35%36%+1
11th6%6%0
Bottom2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (13 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedRangers
Expected goals0.482.40
Win5%80%
Expected Points0.312.54
Clean sheet9%62%

Dundee United 5%Draw 15%Rangers 80%

Most likely score 0–2, 16%. Both sides score 35%.

Rangers goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+6%8%4%2%2%7%8%6%4%2%1%2%2%2%13%16%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 13 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawRangers win
Dundee United
Top six25%43%32%23%
11th8%4%6%9%
Bottom2%1%1%2%
Rangers
Title92%85%89%93%
Celtic
Title8%15%11%7%
Motherwell
Top six35%29%33%36%
11th6%7%5%6%
Bottom2%3%3%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–25 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.42–1.20
  2. W2–121 NovHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.73–1.44
  3. D0–06 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.20–1.38
  4. W2–131 OctRoss County (H)xG 1.79–0.88
  5. D0–024 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.10–0.96
  6. D0–017 OctAberdeen (H)xG 0.48–1.21

Rangers

  1. W4–06 DecRoss County (A)xG 3.28–0.74
  2. W4–022 NovAberdeen (H)xG 2.04–0.57
  3. W8–08 NovHamilton Academical (H)xG 4.94–0.00
  4. W1–01 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 2.80–0.50
  5. W2–025 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.39–0.87
  6. W2–017 OctCeltic (A)xG 1.50–0.55

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedRangers
Position5th1st
Played1616
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠5–⁠614–⁠2–⁠0
Points20 (1.25 per game)44 (2.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.022.58
Goals12–⁠2045–⁠3
xG per game0.91–⁠1.472.52–⁠0.43
Home: points, xG per game1.38, 0.98–⁠1.513.00, 2.59–⁠0.47
Away: points, xG per game1.12, 0.84–⁠1.432.50, 2.46–⁠0.40
ManagerMicky Mellon (16)Steven Gerrard (16)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackDundee United0.91, 12thRangers2.24, 1stDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.32, 9thRangers0.60, 1st

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecDundee United attack: 0.91Rangers attack: 2.242.240.91RangersDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecDundee United defence: 1.32Rangers defence: 0.601.320.60

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+21%+121%−64%
Counter-attacks+35%+114%+90%−7%
Set pieces−40%+11%+17%−68%
Penalties−42%−71%+74%−100%
Headers−60%+25%+44%−51%
Left side−8%+4%+50%−60%
Centre−53%+13%+96%−63%
Right side−13%+55%+116%−66%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRangers concededLeft side−8%−66%Centre−53%−63%Right side−13%−60%Open play−30%−64%Counter-attacks+35%−7%Set pieces−40%−68%Headers−60%−51%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdDundee United concededLeft side+50%+55%Centre+96%+13%Right side+116%+4%Open play+121%+21%Counter-attacks+90%+114%Set pieces+17%+11%Headers+44%+25%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedRangers

0.91xG2.52
1.47xG against0.43
48%Possession67%
9.2Shots18.9
14.6Shots against4.6
2.4Shots on target6.8
1.1Big chances3.3
8.8Touches in the opposition box33.1
366Passes625
67%Pass accuracy85%
4.4Corners7.2
39%Field tilt80%
30.5Final-third entries59.7
7.1Box entries19.6
14.7Passes per defensive action10.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level550.701.26
Ahead211.131.51
Behind141.412.21

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level262.830.20
Ahead632.400.54
Behind12.350.00

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.132–1
16–300.150.152–2
31–450.140.292–2
46–600.210.213–3
61–750.040.350–6
76–900.240.343–6

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.380.046–0
16–300.460.1013–1
31–450.260.065–0
46–600.580.048–0
61–750.410.098–1
76–900.420.115–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 15Mehmet 1Smith 4Bolton 4Neilson 4Edwards 10Connolly 8Reynolds 14Robson 9Butcher 3Sporle 2Bolton 8Chalmers 3Smith 2Pawlett 8Butcher 7Powers 2Harkes 13Sporle 4Robson 4Chalmers 3Clark 12McNulty 3Chalmers 1Shankland 9Butcher 3Appere 34-4-2 in 6 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 3-5-2 (5), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcLaughlin 9McGregor 7Tavernier 16Goldson 16Helander 9Balogun 7Barisic 13Bassey 3Davis 8Arfield 8Jack 12Hagi 2Barker 2Kamara 9Aribo 7Hagi 4Kent 3Roofe 3Morelos 11Roofe 3Defoe 2Kent 13Hagi 2Itten 14-3-3 in 10 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (10), 4-2-3-1 (6)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 September 2020Rangers4–0Dundee UnitedxG 3.02–0.91

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Dundee United won 0, Rangers won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–4 and xG 0.91–3.02 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark131,078700.390.03
Pawlett10828100.170.17
Shankland9878200.190.12
Sporle6603110.130.14

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe6585610.750.12
Tavernier161,4361070.540.28
Morelos11900310.480.16
Kent161,281530.320.29

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.