Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Ross County 0–4 Rangers

Sunday 6 December 2020, 12:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 16 · Half-time 0–1

Rangers Roofe 28', Tavernier 56', Morris 72' (og), Defoe 90'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyRangers
Goals04
xG0.743.28
Expected Points0.112.82

Ross County 2%Draw 7%Rangers 92%

Most likely score 1–3, 14%. Final score 0–4, 10%.

Rangers goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+3%8%10%5%2%3%10%6%2%2%3%3%1%12%14%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTRandall on for Watson, 46'Charles-Cook on for Reid, 74'Hylton on for Gardyne, 81'Wright on for Tillson, 88'Arfield on for Aribo, 66'Defoe on for Morelos and Zungu on for Kamara, 74'Hagi on for Kent and Itten on for Roofe, 75'Roofe 28'Tavernier 56'Morris 72' (og)Defoe 90'Rangers 3.28Ross County 0.74012340153045607590HTRandall on for Watson, 46'Charles-Cook on for Reid, 74'Hylton on for Gardyne, 81'Wright on for Tillson, 88'Arfield on for Aribo, 66'Defoe on for Morelos and Zungu on for Kamara, 74'Hagi on for Kent and Itten on for Roofe, 75'Roofe 28'Tavernier 56'Morris 72' (og)Defoe 90'3.280.74Ross CountyRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyRangers

0.74 −0.35xG3.28 +0.81
0.08 −0.54xG on target3.07 +0.76
4 −6Shots16 −3
1 −1.7Shots on target5 −1.9
1 −0.3Big chances4 +0.7
6 −11Touches in the opposition box25 −9
30% −20Possession70% +3
318 −86Passes722 +104
75% +3Pass accuracy86% +1
38% −13Field tilt62% −19
28 −14Final-third entries53 −7
6 −2.3Box entries12 −8.1
29.1 +15Passes per defensive action17.8 +7
0 −4.3Corners5 −2.3
13 0Tackles9 −5
20 +10.2Interceptions9 +0.1
34 +11Clearances4 −7
2 −0.7Saves1 −0.3
11 −4Fouls8 −3
4 +2.4Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Randall 67', 0.48 xGStewart 67', 0.11 xGPaton 26', 0.10 xGCharles-Cook 76', 0.05 xG65%0.48 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.48 xG, 0 goals28%0.21 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals7%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Roofe 49', 0.34 xGRoofe 56', 0.24 xGMorelos 50', 0.17 xGMorelos 44', 0.11 xGTavernier 48', 0.08 xGBassey 22', 0.07 xGMorelos 56', 0.06 xGRoofe 30', 0.05 xGHagi 80', 0.05 xGKent 39', 0.03 xGRoofe 52', 0.03 xGTavernier 69', 0.03 xGTavernier 62', 0.02 xGRoofe 28', 0.74 xG, goalTavernier 56', 0.66 xG, goalDefoe 90', 0.59 xG, goal50%1.64 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.64 xG, 2 goals43%1.43 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.43 xG, 1 goal3%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals2%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyRangers

0.64 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play3.14 13 shots, 3 goals
0.10 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.14 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
28 min (31%) · Ross County 0.10, Rangers 0.81 xG
Rangers ahead
63 min (69%) · Ross County 0.64, Rangers 2.47 xG

Line-ups

1152551643222411727LaidlawWatsonDonaldsonMorrisIacovittiReidTillsonPatonVigursGardyneStewartOwn goalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card46'74'88'81'Ross County 5-4-1Stuart Kettlewell126263171018252014McGregorTavernierGoldsonBalogunBasseyAriboDavisKamaraRoofeMorelosKentGoalGoal66'74'75'74'75'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Gerrard

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Randall for Watson
  • 74' Charles-Cook for Reid
  • 81' Hylton for Gardyne
  • 88' Wright for Tillson

Rangers substitutes

  • 66' Arfield for Aribo
  • 74' Zungu for Kamara
  • 74' Defoe for Morelos · goal 90'
  • 75' Itten for Roofe · 1 assist
  • 75' Hagi for Kent

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0003
WatsonRWB460.000.0000.0233
DonaldsonCB900.000.0100.08711
MorrisCB900.000.0000.01115
Iacovitti CB900.000.0100.02213
ReidLWB740.000.1410.2024
TillsonRM880.000.0100.0337
Paton CM900.100.0100.0226
Vigurs CM900.000.0210.0263
Gardyne LM810.000.2700.2041
StewartST900.110.011−0.0233
RandallMF440.480.010−0.0133
Charles-CookFW160.050.000−0.1611
HyltonFW90.000.0000.0000
WrightFW20.000.0000.0000

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0101
TavernierRB90110.790.4710.1981
GoldsonCB900.000.0300.18104
BalogunCB900.000.0100.0404
BasseyLB900.070.0900.0865
AriboCM660.000.0300.0550
DavisCM900.000.0910.1983
KamaraCM740.000.0710.2861
RoofeRW7511.400.020−0.0110
MorelosST740.340.040−0.0401
KentLW750.030.9860.5071
ArfieldMF240.000.0000.0000
ZunguMF160.000.0100.0012
DefoeFW1610.590.0000.1100
IttenFW1510.000.1510.0820
HagiFW150.050.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and Reid: 3 passesIacovitti and Stewart: 3 passesDonaldson and Stewart: 3 passesLaidlaw and Watson: 4 passesIacovitti and Vigurs: 4 passesDonaldson and Tillson: 4 passesWatson and Tillson: 5 passesWatson and Paton: 5 passesReid and Gardyne: 5 passesTillson and Paton: 5 passesVigurs and Stewart: 5 passesReid and Vigurs: 6 passesPaton and Vigurs: 6 passesWatson and Stewart: 7 passesVigurs and Gardyne: 7 passesWatson and Donaldson: 14 passesLaidlaw: 9 completed passesWatson: 18 completed passesIacovitti: 9 completed passesDonaldson: 15 completed passesMorris: 6 completed passesReid: 8 completed passesTillson: 9 completed passesPaton: 6 completed passesVigurs: 16 completed passesGardyne: 12 completed passesStewart: 10 completed passes1151625543222411727LaidlawWatsonIacovittiDonaldsonMorrisReidTillsonPatonVigursGardyneStewartStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Davis and Morelos: 6 passesGoldson and Kent: 7 passesKamara and Morelos: 7 passesKamara and Kent: 7 passesDavis and Roofe: 7 passesBalogun and Kamara: 8 passesBalogun and Aribo: 8 passesGoldson and Aribo: 9 passesKamara and Roofe: 9 passesAribo and Kent: 10 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 11 passesDavis and Kent: 12 passesKamara and Aribo: 15 passesBassey and Kent: 16 passesBassey and Davis: 17 passesBalogun and Bassey: 18 passesGoldson and Davis: 18 passesTavernier and Davis: 19 passesBalogun and Davis: 19 passesKamara and Davis: 20 passesAribo and Davis: 20 passesGoldson and Kamara: 23 passesTavernier and Kamara: 24 passesBassey and Aribo: 26 passesTavernier and Goldson: 28 passesBalogun and Goldson: 31 passesMcGregor: 14 completed passesTavernier: 41 completed passesBalogun: 55 completed passesGoldson: 73 completed passesBassey: 47 completed passesKamara: 59 completed passesAribo: 46 completed passesDavis: 73 completed passesRoofe: 14 completed passesMorelos: 12 completed passesKent: 32 completed passes122663181710252014McGregorTavernierBalogunGoldsonBasseyKamaraAriboDavisRoofeMorelosKentStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
VigursGardyne9
PatonVigurs8
DonaldsonWatson8
GardyneReid7
ReidVigurs6

Rangers

FromToPasses
BalogunGoldson25
GoldsonBalogun22
GoldsonTavernier20
BasseyBalogun19
DavisBassey17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

5+0.36−0.421+6.53−2.713+6.19+3.110+2.715+5.411+2.95−0.37+2.32−1.75+0.72−4.04−0.52−1.31−2.21−3.01−3.72+0.26+5.11+0.11−0.52−0.13+2.40−0.30−0.50−0.52+1.32−7.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Rangers

3−1.11−2.36+0.12−3.18+3.92−3.92−1.45−0.79+2.05−1.34−1.02−1.65+0.57+1.19+4.12−2.40−2.57+2.31−2.52−0.30−1.22+0.13+0.70−1.10−0.310.00−0.72+0.93−4.80−4.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.020.010.010.030.050.040.020.010.010.010.01−0.030.06−0.01−0.02−0.15−0.020.200.17LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.020.020.030.010.020.010.040.090.020.040.030.080.170.020.030.020.010.01−0.020.020.010.180.160.050.330.26LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackRoss County0.94 → 0.95Rangers2.22 → 2.24Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.63 → 1.65Rangers0.59 → 0.60

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six3%3%0
11th29%29%0
Bottom28%30%+2
Rangers
Title88%89%+1
Celtic
Title12%11%−1

From the forecast before the match (6 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyRangers
Expected goals0.512.82
Win4%84%
Expected Points0.242.65
Clean sheet6%60%

Ross County 4%Draw 11%Rangers 84%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 38%.

Rangers goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+4%10%9%5%4%2%5%7%7%5%3%2%1%2%2%1%14%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawRangers win
Ross County
Top six3%7%5%3%
11th29%27%27%29%
Bottom28%16%23%30%
Rangers
Title88%76%82%89%
Celtic
Title12%24%18%11%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L1–321 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 1.87–2.12
  2. D1–16 NovLivingston (H)xG 0.62–1.07
  3. L1–231 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.88–1.79
  4. L0–424 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.47–3.11
  5. D0–017 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.63–2.70
  6. L0–24 OctRangers (A)xG 0.46–2.00

Rangers

  1. W4–022 NovAberdeen (H)xG 2.04–0.57
  2. W8–08 NovHamilton Academical (H)xG 4.94–0.00
  3. W1–01 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 2.80–0.50
  4. W2–025 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.39–0.87
  5. W2–017 OctCeltic (A)xG 1.50–0.55
  6. W2–04 OctRoss County (H)xG 2.00–0.46

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyRangers
Position10th1st
Played1515
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠4–⁠813–⁠2–⁠0
Points13 (0.87 per game)41 (2.73 per game)
Expected Points per game0.912.57
Goals10–⁠2641–⁠3
xG per game1.09–⁠1.842.47–⁠0.41
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 1.04–⁠2.103.00, 2.59–⁠0.47
Away: points, xG per game0.88, 1.12–⁠1.622.43, 2.34–⁠0.35
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (15)Steven Gerrard (15)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackRoss County0.94, 10thRangers2.22, 1stDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.63, 11thRangers0.59, 1st

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecRoss County attack: 0.94Rangers attack: 2.222.220.94RangersRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecRoss County defence: 1.63Rangers defence: 0.591.630.59

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−16%+22%+114%−66%
Counter-attacks−100%−44%+93%−24%
Set pieces−6%+31%+21%−66%
Penalties−41%+137%+78%−100%
Headers+28%+20%+45%−48%
Left side−10%+23%+55%−70%
Centre−23%+31%+84%−61%
Right side−7%+7%+119%−65%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdRangers concededLeft side−10%−65%Centre−23%−61%Right side−7%−70%Open play−16%−66%Counter-attacks−100%−24%Set pieces−6%−66%Headers+28%−48%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdRoss County concededLeft side+55%+7%Centre+84%+31%Right side+119%+23%Open play+114%+22%Counter-attacks+93%−44%Set pieces+21%+31%Headers+45%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyRangers

1.09xG2.47
1.84xG against0.41
50%Possession67%
10.5Shots19.1
13.3Shots against4.7
2.7Shots on target6.9
1.3Big chances3.3
17.1Touches in the opposition box34.3
404Passes618
72%Pass accuracy85%
4.3Corners7.3
50%Field tilt82%
41.5Final-third entries60.3
8.3Box entries20.1
13.8Passes per defensive action10.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level430.971.82
Ahead140.391.65
Behind321.541.96

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level262.850.19
Ahead632.330.51
Behind22.350.00

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.331–3
16–300.140.253–3
31–450.200.222–3
46–600.150.320–6
61–750.210.471–7
76–900.240.273–4

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.410.046–0
16–300.430.0912–1
31–450.270.065–0
46–600.520.057–0
61–750.430.067–1
76–900.410.114–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 10Doohan 5Randall 9Charles-Cook 2Grivosti 2Donaldson 14Watson 1Iacovitti 13Grivosti 1Morris 1Reid 13Stewart 1Watson 1Vigurs 4Draper 4Iacovitti 2Gardyne 4Charles-Cook 3Stewart 2Vigurs 7Tillson 6Lakin 2Paton 9Kelly 2Gardyne 2Stewart 6Gardyne 5Paton 1Stewart 6McKay 6Shaw 34-1-4-1 in 5 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcLaughlin 9McGregor 6Tavernier 15Goldson 15Helander 9Balogun 6Barisic 13Bassey 2Arfield 8Davis 7Jack 12Hagi 2Barker 2Kamara 8Aribo 6Hagi 4Kent 3Roofe 2Morelos 10Roofe 3Defoe 2Kent 12Hagi 2Itten 14-3-3 in 9 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (9), 4-2-3-1 (6)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 October 2020Rangers2–0Ross CountyxG 2.00–0.46

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Ross County won 0, Rangers won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–2 and xG 0.46–2.00 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart151,346210.380.07
McKay7636100.280.13
Charles-Cook6660000.210.10
Gardyne11917000.070.20

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Tavernier151,346960.530.26
Roofe5510510.610.13
Morelos10826310.480.17
Aribo7510400.390.25

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.