Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 0–1 Ross County

Saturday 19 September 2020, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 8 · Half-time 0–1

Ross County Vigurs 42'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Goals01
xG0.850.23
Expected Points1.870.69

St. Johnstone 48%Draw 43%Ross County 9%

Most likely score 0–0, 35%. Final score 0–1, 7%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+7%8%12%3%3%35%29%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTKane on for Hendry, 59'Conway on for Craig, 69'Davidson on for Wotherspoon and O'Halloran on for McNamara, 78'Watson on for Randall, 19'Charles-Cook on for Gardyne, 82'Kelly on for Paton, 86'Vigurs 42'St. Johnstone 0.85Ross County 0.2300.250.50.7510153045607590HTKane on for Hendry, 59'Conway on for Craig, 69'Davidson on for Wotherspoon and O'Halloran on for McNamara, 78'Watson on for Randall, 19'Charles-Cook on for Gardyne, 82'Kelly on for Paton, 86'Vigurs 42'0.850.23St. JohnstoneRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.85 −0.19xG0.23 −1.15
0.06 −0.71xG on target0.53 −0.35
11 −1Shots5 −6
1 −2.0Shots on target2 −1.4
0 −1.4Big chances0 −1.9
55% +10Possession45% −5
427 +62Passes376 −26
69% +1Pass accuracy67% −5
56% +2Field tilt44% −6
38 +1Final-third entries36 −1
14 +5.0Box entries2 −5.4
8.3 −8Passes per defensive action14.7 +2
9 +4.7Corners3 −0.9
16 −1Tackles7 −6
12 +2.1Interceptions10 0.0
14 −5Clearances43 +17
1 −1.1Saves1 −2.0
15 +4Fouls18 +2
2 +0.1Offsides0 −1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Kerr 34', 0.15 xGMcCann 31', 0.11 xGDavidson 90', 0.11 xGTanser 57', 0.10 xGHendry 13', 0.09 xGTanser 7', 0.06 xGHendry 9', 0.06 xGMay 44', 0.06 xGKerr 77', 0.05 xGMcCart 83', 0.03 xGTanser 89', 0.03 xG29%0.25 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals56%0.48 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.48 xG, 0 goals7%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Stewart 65', 0.07 xGTillson 58', 0.05 xGStewart 38', 0.03 xGGardyne 73', 0.03 xGVigurs 42', 0.05 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals55%0.12 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals14%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals32%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 1 goal

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.74 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.18 4 shots, 0 goals
0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
42 min (47%) · St. Johnstone 0.46, Ross County 0.07 xG
Ross County ahead
48 min (53%) · St. Johnstone 0.38, Ross County 0.15 xG

Line-ups

121556432618102214ParishMcNamaraKerrGordonMcCartTanserCraigMcCannWotherspoonHendryMayYellow cardYellow card78'69'78'59'St. Johnstone 5-3-2Callum Davidson122516431127227248LaidlawRandallDonaldsonIacovittiReidVigursStewartTillsonGardynePatonShawYellow cardGoalYellow card19'82'86'Ross County 4-1-4-1Stuart Kettlewell

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 59' Kane for Hendry
  • 69' Conway for Craig
  • 78' O'Halloran for McNamara
  • 78' Davidson for Wotherspoon

Ross County substitutes

  • 19' Watson for Randall · yellow card 29'
  • 82' Charles-Cook for Gardyne
  • 86' Kelly for Paton

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ParishGK900.000.0000.0320
McNamaraRWB780.000.0700.1042
Kerr CB900.190.061−0.0162
GordonCB900.000.0200.0448
McCartCB900.030.0300.1176
TanserLWB900.190.5110.6576
CraigCM690.000.0400.0445
McCannCM900.110.0610.0004
Wotherspoon CM780.000.0200.0102
HendryST590.150.0100.0215
MayST900.060.6510.3340
KaneFW310.000.081−0.0100
ConwayMF210.000.1110.0102
O'HalloranMF120.000.0200.1941
DavidsonMF120.110.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.0532
RandallRB190.000.000−0.0100
DonaldsonCB900.000.0000.01317
IacovittiCB900.000.0000.04215
Reid LB900.000.0100.0132
Vigurs DM9010.050.0310.0765
StewartRM900.090.0210.1305
TillsonCM900.050.0100.0003
GardyneCM820.030.0300.0711
PatonLM860.000.0400.0386
ShawST900.000.010−0.0500
Watson DF710.000.0820.1837
Charles-CookFW80.000.0000.0000
KellyMF40.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

McNamara and Gordon: 3 passesKerr and Tanser: 3 passesTanser and May: 3 passesTanser and Hendry: 3 passesWotherspoon and Craig: 3 passesWotherspoon and Hendry: 3 passesParish and Gordon: 4 passesMcNamara and McCart: 4 passesKerr and Craig: 4 passesCraig and McCann: 4 passesMcCann and Hendry: 4 passesGordon and Craig: 5 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 5 passesCraig and May: 5 passesParish and McCart: 6 passesKerr and McCann: 6 passesTanser and McCann: 6 passesMcCann and May: 6 passesMcNamara and Craig: 8 passesTanser and Craig: 8 passesMcCart and Tanser: 9 passesMcNamara and Hendry: 10 passesMcNamara and McCann: 13 passesMcCart and Craig: 13 passesTanser and Wotherspoon: 18 passesMcNamara and Kerr: 20 passesParish: 9 completed passesMcNamara: 32 completed passesGordon: 15 completed passesMcCart: 23 completed passesKerr: 20 completed passesTanser: 23 completed passesWotherspoon: 17 completed passesCraig: 29 completed passesMcCann: 19 completed passesMay: 8 completed passesHendry: 11 completed passes121564531026181422ParishMcNamaraGordonMcCartKerrTanserWotherspoonCraigMcCannMayHendryStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
TanserWotherspoon13
McNamaraKerr12
McCannMcNamara10
WotherspoonTanser10
CraigTanser10

Ross County

FromToPasses
ReidGardyne15
ReidPaton10
ReidVigurs9
GardyneReid9
PatonReid9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

3−2.13−0.110−1.31−3.97+2.48−3.05−1.91−4.412+4.75−2.712+6.48+3.94−3.12−3.93−3.96+1.74−0.31−0.96+2.98+4.91−1.73+1.61−0.92+0.13+0.30−1.700.00−0.41+0.60−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Ross County

2−4.69+2.131+16.68−3.14−2.75−3.45−1.17+1.012+3.16−3.17+1.34−1.03−1.95+1.114+8.94−1.95+2.30−3.34+0.43−2.43+1.32+1.10−0.90−1.720.00−0.90−0.40−0.40−0.61+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.020.020.010.010.020.010.020.020.040.020.030.020.040.070.010.070.180.030.050.060.060.15−0.070.280.32LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.040.010.020.010.020.010.010.010.010.020.020.060.060.01−0.030.01−0.01−0.01−0.010.130.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.01AttackSt. Johnstone0.79 → 0.81Ross County0.86 → 0.88Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.04 → 1.04Ross County1.26 → 1.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six38%25%−13
11th8%11%+3
Bottom5%8%+3
Ross County
Top six27%40%+13
11th12%7%−5
Bottom8%4%−4

From the forecast before the match (19 September 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Expected goals1.130.88
Win41%28%
Expected Points1.541.14
Clean sheet42%32%

St. Johnstone 41%Draw 32%Ross County 28%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 40%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+5%2%6%2%9%8%3%1%3%3%1%14%11%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 September 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawRoss County win
St. Johnstone
Top six38%49%35%25%
11th8%5%8%11%
Bottom5%2%5%8%
Ross County
Top six27%19%27%40%
11th12%15%11%7%
Bottom8%11%8%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–112 SepMotherwell (A)xG 1.02–0.26
  2. W1–029 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.84–0.29
  3. L0–123 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.52–1.53
  4. L0–120 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.42–0.29
  5. W2–115 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.65–0.86
  6. L0–312 AugRangers (A)xG 0.44–1.73

Ross County

  1. L0–512 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.81–3.32
  2. L0–129 AugLivingston (A)xG 0.38–1.31
  3. D1–122 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.21–1.31
  4. L1–215 AugDundee United (H)xG 1.42–1.34
  5. D2–212 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 2.02–1.06
  6. W1–08 AugHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.50–0.45

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Position6th5th
Played77
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠42–⁠2–⁠3
Points7 (1.00 per game)8 (1.14 per game)
Expected Points per game1.331.32
Goals4–⁠86–⁠11
xG per game1.04–⁠0.971.38–⁠1.54
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.26–⁠0.701.00, 1.40–⁠1.92
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.87–⁠1.171.33, 1.36–⁠1.02
ManagerCallum Davidson (7)Stuart Kettlewell (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.01AttackSt. Johnstone0.79, 9thRoss County0.86, 6thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.04, 5thRoss County1.26, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepSt. Johnstone attack: 0.79Ross County attack: 0.860.860.79Ross CountySt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepSt. Johnstone defence: 1.04Ross County defence: 1.261.261.04

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−10%−39%−6%+9%
Counter-attacks−41%−57%−100%−21%
Set pieces−18%−31%+11%+12%
Penalties−100%+76%+76%+76%
Headers+26%−26%+36%−7%
Left side+20%−28%+1%+4%
Centre−27%−38%−26%+18%
Right side−21%−45%+34%−3%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side+20%−3%Centre−27%+18%Right side−21%+4%Open play−10%+9%Counter-attacks−41%−21%Set pieces−18%+12%Headers+26%−7%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+1%−45%Centre−26%−38%Right side+34%−28%Open play−6%−39%Counter-attacks−100%−57%Set pieces+11%−31%Headers+36%−26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneRoss County

1.04xG1.38
0.97xG against1.54
45%Possession50%
12.0Shots10.9
9.9Shots against12.6
3.0Shots on target3.4
1.4Big chances1.9
365Passes402
68%Pass accuracy73%
4.3Corners3.9
53%Field tilt51%
37.2Final-third entries36.6
9.0Box entries7.4
16.7Passes per defensive action13.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level541.111.00
Ahead30.651.60
Behind340.960.88

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.571.11
Ahead190.402.01
Behind281.771.87

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.170–2
16–300.040.080–1
31–450.200.090–1
46–600.190.241–1
61–750.220.111–1
76–900.250.282–2

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.250.281–2
16–300.230.122–1
31–450.180.210–1
46–600.190.210–2
61–750.210.491–4
76–900.310.222–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTParish 7Kerr 6McCann 1Craig 1Gordon 7McCart 6McNamara 5Kerr 1Rooney 1McCann 4McNamara 2Craig 4Wotherspoon 2Conway 2Tanser 5Booth 2Conway 3McCann 2O'Halloran 5Wotherspoon 3Hendry 1Hendry 6O'Halloran 13-4-2-1 in 3 of 7 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 7Randall 6Donaldson 1Donaldson 6Watson 1Iacovitti 7Reid 6Stewart 1Draper 3Paton 2Gardyne 1Vigurs 6Tillson 2Gardyne 3Erwin 2Randall 1Paton 3Vigurs 1Tillson 1Stewart 5Gardyne 1Tremarco 1McKay 6Stewart 14-2-3-1 in 3 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hendry7500000.280.03
Wotherspoon5464100.170.09
McNamara7625000.050.17
Tanser5460000.100.03

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart7626210.560.07
McKay6450100.390.15
Vigurs7586000.020.09
Reid6518000.010.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.