Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Johnstone v Celtic

Saturday 13 March 2027, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 30

Forecast

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Expected goals0.812.17
Win12%68%
Expected Points0.572.24
Clean sheet11%44%

St. Johnstone 12%Draw 20%Celtic 68%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%5%2%1%4%7%4%2%2%4%4%3%2%1%1%11%12%9%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  2. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  3. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  4. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  5. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  6. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20

Celtic

  1. W2–011 OctMotherwell (A)xG 2.85–1.10
  2. L0–120 SepRangers (H)xG 0.39–1.81
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.80–0.69
  4. W2–15 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.19–1.95
  5. W3–02 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.67–0.68
  6. W2–129 AugFalkirk (H)xG 3.45–0.57

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Position5th1st
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠37–⁠0–⁠1
Points11 (1.38 per game)21 (2.62 per game)
Expected Points per game1.172.25
Goals10–⁠1016–⁠4
xG per game1.33–⁠1.592.76–⁠1.03
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.49–⁠1.412.25, 2.19–⁠0.89
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.16–⁠1.773.00, 3.33–⁠1.18
ManagerSimo Valakari (39)Martin O'Neill (26)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone1.07, 12thCeltic2.11, 1stDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.56, 11thCeltic0.88, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 1.07Celtic attack: 2.112.111.07CelticSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.56Celtic defence: 0.881.560.88

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+11%+121%−47%
Counter-attacks−55%−18%+175%−28%
Set pieces−29%+3%−21%−4%
Penalties+80%−40%−100%−40%
Headers−18%+40%+132%−24%
Left side−6%+13%+164%−64%
Centre−20%−7%+93%−6%
Right side−63%+16%+25%−48%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−6%−48%Centre−20%−6%Right side−63%−64%Open play−21%−47%Counter-attacks−55%−28%Set pieces−29%−4%Headers−18%−24%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+164%+16%Centre+93%−7%Right side+25%+13%Open play+121%+11%Counter-attacks+175%−18%Set pieces−21%+3%Headers+132%+40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneCeltic

1.33xG2.76
1.59xG against1.03
48%Possession62%
9.9Shots20.6
14.0Shots against10.9
3.4Shots on target9.1
2.4Big chances5.0
18.4Touches in the opposition box39.5
441Passes620
80%Pass accuracy88%
3.2Corners9.4
49%Field tilt68%
39.7Final-third entries62.3
10.9Box entries24.5
18.3Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.591.52
Ahead210.831.90
Behind231.251.44

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level262.061.25
Ahead543.220.93
Behind112.161.05

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.121–1
16–300.200.202–1
31–450.290.321–2
46–600.330.312–4
61–750.130.211–1
76–900.200.423–1

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.134–0
16–300.420.241–1
31–450.550.234–1
46–600.590.075–1
61–750.340.212–1
76–900.540.150–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 8Smith 5Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 2Diabate 7Foulds 1Alić 6Foulds 2McAlear 7Stanton 1Holt 8Stanton 4Campbell 2Smith 1Paton 2Cotterill 2Gullan 2Paton 3Steven 3Gullan 2Fowler 7Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSinisalo 7Johnstone 1Donovan 5Johnston 2Carter-Vickers 1Carter-Vickers 5Murray 2Trusty 6Scales 3Tierney 5Scales 3McGregor 7Baur 5Oxlade-Chamberlain 2Engels 2Hassan 4Durán 3McCowan 1Nygren 6Donovan 1Sørensen 1Yang 5Tounekti 2Nygren 1Høgh 4Durán 44-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-4-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 September 2026St. Johnstone0–1CelticxG 0.69–1.80
6 April 2025St. Johnstone1–0CelticxG 0.52–2.32
29 December 2024Celtic4–0St. JohnstonexG 4.68–0.06
28 September 2024St. Johnstone0–6CelticxG 0.32–3.38
16 March 2024Celtic3–1St. JohnstonexG 4.02–0.73
3 December 2023St. Johnstone1–3CelticxG 1.36–2.53

17 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 1, Celtic won 14, and 2 were drawn. Goals 9–48 and xG 0.58–2.61 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler7557510.560.05
Alić6540100.030.16
Stanton6545010.090.05
Diabate7593100.070.02

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nygren7564430.660.23
Durán7531430.490.32
Baur5460100.300.14
Scales6536100.100.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.