Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee United v Dundee FC

Saturday 13 March 2027, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 30

Forecast

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Expected goals1.661.08
Win50%24%
Expected Points1.770.98
Clean sheet34%19%

Dundee United 50%Draw 26%Dundee FC 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 54%.

Dundee FC goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%6%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  2. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  3. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  4. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  5. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13
  6. L0–222 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.19–1.43

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Position6th4th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠34–⁠1–⁠3
Points11 (1.38 per game)13 (1.62 per game)
Expected Points per game1.491.19
Goals10–⁠1111–⁠8
xG per game1.62–⁠1.461.26–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.79–⁠1.231.75, 1.58–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.44–⁠1.681.50, 0.94–⁠1.84
ManagerJim Goodwin (96)Steven Pressley (46)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.25, 6thDundee FC1.12, 9thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.43, 6thDundee FC1.54, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United attack: 1.25Dundee FC attack: 1.121.251.12Dundee FCDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United defence: 1.43Dundee FC defence: 1.541.541.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+17%−32%+13%
Counter-attacks+57%−71%−17%−59%
Set pieces+64%−23%+19%−13%
Penalties−40%−40%−40%+20%
Headers+1%−39%+25%+14%
Left side−18%+12%+3%+20%
Centre+3%−2%−24%−32%
Right side+43%−21%−31%+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdDundee FC concededLeft side−18%+18%Centre+3%−32%Right side+43%+20%Open play−24%+13%Counter-attacks+57%−59%Set pieces+64%−13%Headers+1%+14%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdDundee United concededLeft side+3%−21%Centre−24%−2%Right side−31%+12%Open play−32%+17%Counter-attacks−17%−71%Set pieces+19%−23%Headers+25%−39%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedDundee FC

1.62xG1.26
1.46xG against1.57
50%Possession38%
16.1Shots12.6
15.4Shots against18.9
5.4Shots on target4.5
2.4Big chances2.5
30.0Touches in the opposition box19.1
398Passes336
78%Pass accuracy73%
6.2Corners5.1
46%Field tilt25%
39.0Final-third entries26.9
14.0Box entries9.5
12.2Passes per defensive action19.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level241.931.19
Ahead291.741.14
Behind361.301.89

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.383–3
16–300.160.160–1
31–450.490.235–1
46–600.210.300–3
61–750.250.220–3
76–900.280.172–0

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 8Rawlins 7Yoro 1Esselink 8Forbes 8Ferry 5Ciubotaru 3Camará 4Sevelj 3Iqbal 2Tait 6Agyei 4Cameron 3Yoro 2Randall 4Merghem 4Metsoko 3Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 1Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
22 August 2026Dundee United0–2Dundee FCxG 1.19–1.43
26 April 2026Dundee United3–0Dundee FCxG 2.14–0.76
15 March 2026Dundee FC2–2Dundee UnitedxG 1.28–2.85
3 January 2026Dundee United0–1Dundee FCxG 1.50–1.83
31 August 2025Dundee FC0–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.12–0.91
16 March 2025Dundee United2–4Dundee FCxG 1.20–2.27

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 4, Dundee FC won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 16–14 and xG 1.72–1.40 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall5506220.360.35
Bennie6457110.450.09
Tait6610000.090.15
Forbes8720100.120.04

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.