Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v Dundee FC

Wednesday 30 December 2026, 19:45 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 21

Forecast

RangersDundee FC
Expected goals2.540.73
Win76%8%
Expected Points2.440.40
Clean sheet48%8%

Rangers 76%Draw 16%Dundee FC 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

Dundee FC goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%2%1%7%3%3%8%3%7%5%2%3%2%2%2%9%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersDundee FC
Position2nd4th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠1–⁠14–⁠1–⁠3
Points19 (2.38 per game)13 (1.62 per game)
Expected Points per game2.061.19
Goals11–⁠511–⁠8
xG per game2.17–⁠1.021.26–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.201.75, 1.58–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 1.73–⁠0.841.50, 0.94–⁠1.84
ManagerDerek McInnes (8)Steven Pressley (46)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackRangers1.92, 2ndDundee FC1.12, 9thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.97, 2ndDundee FC1.54, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.92Dundee FC attack: 1.121.921.12Dundee FCRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 0.97Dundee FC defence: 1.541.540.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+42%−46%−32%+13%
Counter-attacks+20%+14%−17%−59%
Set pieces+42%−33%+19%−13%
Penalties+20%−40%−40%+20%
Headers+40%−50%+25%+14%
Left side+17%−14%+3%+20%
Centre+66%−31%−24%−32%
Right side+20%−59%−31%+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdDundee FC concededLeft side+17%+18%Centre+66%−32%Right side+20%+20%Open play+42%+13%Counter-attacks+20%−59%Set pieces+42%−13%Headers+40%+14%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdRangers concededLeft side+3%−59%Centre−24%−31%Right side−31%−14%Open play−32%−46%Counter-attacks−17%+14%Set pieces+19%−33%Headers+25%−50%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersDundee FC

2.17xG1.26
1.02xG against1.57
55%Possession38%
20.1Shots12.6
9.5Shots against18.9
6.2Shots on target4.5
2.9Big chances2.5
38.1Touches in the opposition box19.1
449Passes336
80%Pass accuracy73%
7.4Corners5.1
60%Field tilt25%
47.5Final-third entries26.9
18.6Box entries9.5
11.4Passes per defensive action19.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 January 2026Rangers3–0Dundee FCxG 2.51–0.24
9 November 2025Dundee FC0–3RangersxG 0.43–0.85
9 August 2025Rangers1–1Dundee FCxG 1.97–0.34
29 March 2025Dundee FC3–4RangersxG 2.97–2.70
9 January 2025Dundee FC1–1RangersxG 1.02–0.65
21 December 2024Rangers1–0Dundee FCxG 3.47–0.11

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 10, Dundee FC won 0, and 3 were drawn. Goals 32–9 and xG 2.46–0.88 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.