Matches › 2020/21

Kilmarnock 4–0 Dundee United

Saturday 29 August 2020, 15:00 · Rugby Park · Round 6 · Half-time 2–0

Kilmarnock Kabamba 30', 78', Brophy 45', McKenzie 86'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Kilmarnock	Dundee United
Goals	4	0
xG	1.15	1.04
Expected Points	1.44	1.24

Kilmarnock 37%Draw 32%Dundee United 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 4–0, <1%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

KilmarnockDundee United

1.15 +0.39xG1.04 0.00

2.99 +2.19xG on target0.17 −0.64

15 +6.4Shots19 +7.6

9 +6.6Shots on target1 −1.6

2 +1.4Big chances0 −1.2

33% −8Possession67% +19

256 −80Passes511 +141

69% +1Pass accuracy82% +11

43% +5Field tilt57% +13

29 −8Final-third entries37 +2

14 +5.2Box entries17 +7.8

16.2 0Passes per defensive action8.4 −6

2 −2.2Corners10 +3.8

17 +5Tackles14 −4

14 +1.8Interceptions7 −2.8

31 +16Clearances15 −7

1 −2.0Saves5 +1.2

13 +2Fouls12 −2

5 +3.8Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Kilmarnock

Dundee United

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

KilmarnockDundee United

0.94 11 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.52 11 shots, 0 goals

0.07 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.13 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.53 8 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–03–0

Level: 30 min (33%) · Kilmarnock 0.15, Dundee United 0.14 xG
Kilmarnock ahead: 61 min (67%) · Kilmarnock 1.00, Dundee United 0.90 xG

Line-ups

Kilmarnock substitutes

29' Dikamona for Findlay
77' McKenzie for Brophy · goal 86'
84' Haunstrup for Waters
84' Pinnock for Burke
84' Mulumbu for Tshibola

Dundee United substitutes

46' Appere for Pawlett
73' McMullan for Neilson

Players

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Rogers	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
Rossi	RB	90			0.00	0.04	1	0.08	3	3
Broadfoot	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	13
Findlay	CB	29			0.04	0.00	0	0.00	0	5
Waters	LB	84		1	0.00	0.14	1	0.19	3	10
Burke	RM	84			0.13	0.24	2	0.21	7	2
Tshibola	CM	84			0.02	0.01	0	0.01	2	6
Dicker	CM	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.03	3	11
Kiltie	LM	90		2	0.05	0.08	5	0.17	9	6
Brophy	ST	77	1		0.41	0.01	1	0.07	3	1
Kabamba	ST	90	2		0.38	0.01	1	0.10	5	4
Dikamona	DF	61			0.05	0.00	0	0.00	0	8
McKenzie	MF	13	1		0.07	0.00	0	0.03	1	0
Haunstrup	DF	6			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	0
Pinnock	MF	6			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	0
Mulumbu	MF	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Siegrist	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Neilson	RB	73	0.00	0.08	2	0.02	5	6
Connolly	CB	90	0.41	0.01	0	0.10	5	5
Reynolds	CB	90	0.00	0.27	1	0.17	11	4
Robson	LB	90	0.00	0.10	1	0.14	9	10
Butcher	DM	90	0.10	0.22	1	0.25	6	4
Bolton	RM	90	0.00	0.12	2	0.35	10	3
Harkes	CM	90	0.09	0.04	1	0.04	5	2
Pawlett	CM	46	0.00	0.13	1	0.07	1	0
Chalmers	LM	90	0.24	0.23	2	0.02	3	2
Clark	ST	90	0.21	0.02	1	0.00	1	0
Appere	FW	44	0.00	0.09	2	0.22	3	0
McMullan	FW	17	0.00	0.03	0	0.10	6	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Kilmarnock

Dundee United

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Kiltie	Waters	8
Dicker	Kiltie	8
Waters	Kiltie	6
Kiltie	Brophy	6
Rossi	Kabamba	5

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Reynolds	Robson	25
Robson	Reynolds	21
Connolly	Reynolds	18
Neilson	Connolly	16
Butcher	Reynolds	16

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 5 matches

Dundee United

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Kilmarnock

Dundee United

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Kilmarnock
Top six	20%	30%	+10
11th	15%	11%	−4
Bottom	14%	9%	−5
Dundee United
Top six	58%	46%	−12
11th	4%	6%	+2
Bottom	2%	3%	+1

From the forecast before the match (29 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Kilmarnock	Dundee United
Expected goals	0.91	1.09
Win	29%	39%
Expected Points	1.20	1.48
Clean sheet	34%	40%

Kilmarnock 29%Draw 32%Dundee United 39%

Most likely score 0–0, 14%. Both sides score 40%.

From the forecast as it stood on 29 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Kilmarnock win	Draw	Dundee United win
Kilmarnock
Top six	20%	30%	18%	12%
11th	15%	11%	15%	18%
Bottom	14%	9%	14%	19%
Dundee United
Top six	58%	46%	56%	70%
11th	4%	6%	4%	2%
Bottom	2%	3%	2%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Kilmarnock

Dundee United

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Kilmarnock	Dundee United
Position	11th	5th
Played	5	5
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠2–⁠3	2–⁠1–⁠2
Points	2 (0.40 per game)	7 (1.40 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.82	1.25
Goals	5–⁠9	4–⁠4
xG per game	0.76–⁠1.70	1.04–⁠1.37
Home: points, xG per game	0.50, 0.96–⁠1.19	0.33, 0.99–⁠1.43
Away: points, xG per game	0.33, 0.62–⁠2.04	3.00, 1.11–⁠1.27
Manager	Alex Dyer (5)	Micky Mellon (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Kilmarnock		Dundee United
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−39%	+36%	−24%	+20%
Counter-attacks	−83%	−54%	+63%	+377%
Set pieces	−38%	+21%	−19%	−37%
Penalties	+7%	+7%	+7%	−83%
Headers	−32%	+2%	−41%	−15%
Left side	−53%	+58%	+45%	−4%
Centre	−39%	+5%	−49%	+15%
Right side	−29%	+41%	−23%	+40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdDundee United concededLeft side−53%+40%Centre−39%+15%Right side−29%−4%Open play−39%+20%Counter-attacks−83%+377%Set pieces−38%−37%Headers−32%−15%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+45%+41%Centre−49%+5%Right side−23%+58%Open play−24%+36%Counter-attacks+63%−54%Set pieces−19%+21%Headers−41%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

KilmarnockDundee United

0.76xG1.04

1.70xG against1.37

41%Possession48%

8.6Shots11.4

17.0Shots against14.0

2.4Shots on target2.6

0.6Big chances1.2

336Passes370

68%Pass accuracy70%

4.2Corners6.2

38%Field tilt44%

36.8Final-third entries35.2

8.8Box entries9.2

15.9Passes per defensive action14.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	46	0.69	1.63
Ahead	8	0.21	4.55
Behind	36	0.96	1.20

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	62	0.99	1.50
Ahead	20	0.66	0.71
Behind	9	2.26	1.84

xG by period

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.06	0.25	0–3
16–30	0.18	0.06	1–0
31–45	0.11	0.21	1–1
46–60	0.14	0.22	1–1
61–75	0.12	0.34	2–0
76–90	0.15	0.63	0–4

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.08	1–0
16–30	0.08	0.08	0–1
31–45	0.17	0.43	1–0
46–60	0.19	0.20	1–1
61–75	0.06	0.32	0–1
76–90	0.30	0.24	1–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Kilmarnock

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Dundee United

Formations: 3-5-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Kilmarnock

Player	Starts	Min	xG per 90	xA per 90
Broadfoot	5	450	0.05	0.03
Findlay	5	450	0.03	0.04
Waters	5	450	0.00	0.03

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	xG per 90	xA per 90
Reynolds	5	450	1	0.09	0.02
Connolly	5	450	0	0.06	0.01
Siegrist	5	450	0	0.00	0.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.