Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v Motherwell

Saturday 13 March 2027, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 30

Forecast

RangersMotherwell
Expected goals2.180.85
Win67%13%
Expected Points2.220.58
Clean sheet43%11%

Rangers 67%Draw 20%Motherwell 13%

Most likely score 2–0, 11%. Both sides score 51%.

Motherwell goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%4%2%4%1%4%1%7%3%5%4%2%2%2%1%10%9%11%10%8%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

Motherwell

  1. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  2. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  3. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  4. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  5. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16
  6. D3–330 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.45–2.92

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersMotherwell
Position2nd9th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠1–⁠12–⁠2–⁠4
Points19 (2.38 per game)8 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.061.27
Goals11–⁠59–⁠13
xG per game2.17–⁠1.021.51–⁠1.87
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.201.00, 1.40–⁠1.11
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 1.73–⁠0.841.00, 1.61–⁠2.63
ManagerDerek McInnes (8)Alfred Johansson (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackRangers1.92, 2ndMotherwell1.30, 5thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.97, 2ndMotherwell1.32, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.92Motherwell attack: 1.301.921.30MotherwellRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 0.97Motherwell defence: 1.321.320.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+42%−46%+6%+1%
Counter-attacks+20%+14%−12%+81%
Set pieces+42%−33%−42%average
Penalties+20%−40%+20%+80%
Headers+40%−50%−43%−1%
Left side+17%−14%−32%−13%
Centre+66%−31%−31%+19%
Right side+20%−59%+58%+22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdMotherwell concededLeft side+17%+22%Centre+66%+19%Right side+20%−13%Open play+42%+1%Counter-attacks+20%+81%Set pieces+42%averageHeaders+40%−1%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRangers concededLeft side−32%−59%Centre−31%−31%Right side+58%−14%Open play+6%−46%Counter-attacks−12%+14%Set pieces−42%−33%Headers−43%−50%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersMotherwell

2.17xG1.51
1.02xG against1.87
55%Possession58%
20.1Shots14.0
9.5Shots against16.4
6.2Shots on target4.4
2.9Big chances2.1
38.1Touches in the opposition box24.6
449Passes571
80%Pass accuracy88%
7.4Corners5.1
60%Field tilt59%
47.5Final-third entries50.8
18.6Box entries14.1
11.4Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.601.37
Ahead172.361.40
Behind401.082.49

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.181–2
16–300.280.342–1
31–450.270.242–5
46–600.140.460–3
61–750.280.262–0
76–900.220.392–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 8Sparrow 8Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 1Moormann 8Longelo 7Williams 1Fadinger 8Priestman 2Hodge 5Levitt 1Maswanhise 4Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 4Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 4Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 2Maswanhise 2Lowry 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 September 2026Rangers1–0MotherwellxG 4.29–0.70
26 April 2026Rangers2–3MotherwellxG 2.70–0.76
11 February 2026Motherwell1–1RangersxG 1.57–1.65
27 December 2025Rangers1–0MotherwellxG 4.14–1.07
2 August 2025Motherwell1–1RangersxG 2.15–0.83
1 March 2025Rangers1–2MotherwellxG 1.35–0.78

21 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 12, Motherwell won 3, and 6 were drawn. Goals 45–23 and xG 2.49–0.79 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise6491120.600.05
Lowry6534210.260.23
Longelo8656000.080.24
Fadinger8689100.180.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.