Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v St. Mirren

Saturday 20 February 2027, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 28

Forecast

RangersSt. Mirren
Expected goals2.390.72
Win74%9%
Expected Points2.390.44
Clean sheet49%9%

Rangers 74%Draw 17%St. Mirren 9%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%8%3%3%7%3%6%4%2%3%2%2%1%10%13%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

St. Mirren

  1. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  2. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  3. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  4. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  5. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41
  6. D3–330 AugMotherwell (H)xG 2.92–2.45

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersSt. Mirren
Position2nd7th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠1–⁠13–⁠1–⁠4
Points19 (2.38 per game)10 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game2.061.19
Goals11–⁠58–⁠14
xG per game2.17–⁠1.021.47–⁠1.91
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.201.00, 1.86–⁠2.10
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 1.73–⁠0.841.50, 1.09–⁠1.72
ManagerDerek McInnes (8)Craig McLeish (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackRangers1.92, 2ndSt. Mirren1.10, 11thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.97, 2ndSt. Mirren1.44, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.92St. Mirren attack: 1.101.921.10St. MirrenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 0.97St. Mirren defence: 1.441.440.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+42%−46%−21%+1%
Counter-attacks+20%+14%+85%+43%
Set pieces+42%−33%−33%+1%
Penalties+20%−40%+20%+140%
Headers+40%−50%−50%−14%
Left side+17%−14%−13%+3%
Centre+66%−31%−7%−34%
Right side+20%−59%−11%+73%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+17%+73%Centre+66%−34%Right side+20%+3%Open play+42%+1%Counter-attacks+20%+43%Set pieces+42%+1%Headers+40%−14%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRangers concededLeft side−13%−59%Centre−7%−31%Right side−11%−14%Open play−21%−46%Counter-attacks+85%+14%Set pieces−33%−33%Headers−50%−50%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersSt. Mirren

2.17xG1.47
1.02xG against1.91
55%Possession48%
20.1Shots13.5
9.5Shots against15.2
6.2Shots on target3.5
2.9Big chances2.2
38.1Touches in the opposition box26.0
449Passes436
80%Pass accuracy80%
7.4Corners4.2
60%Field tilt47%
47.5Final-third entries39.2
18.6Box entries14.2
11.4Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level311.702.25
Ahead321.401.23
Behind271.312.33

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.412–3
16–300.200.231–2
31–450.250.333–2
46–600.170.460–3
61–750.380.201–1
76–900.380.291–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 8Ramsay 6Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 7Jackson 1Fraser 1Fieldson 7John 7Sule 1Carr 8Nsio 5Taylor 2Phillips 1Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Mochrie 1Taylor 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Mochrie 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 September 2026Rangers1–0St. MirrenxG 2.49–1.26
15 March 2026St. Mirren0–1RangersxG 0.19–2.08
30 December 2025Rangers2–1St. MirrenxG 1.89–1.71
24 August 2025St. Mirren1–1RangersxG 1.01–1.56
26 April 2025St. Mirren2–2RangersxG 1.90–1.27
22 February 2025Rangers0–2St. MirrenxG 0.81–1.49

22 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 17, St. Mirren won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 47–14 and xG 1.95–0.68 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kabia6460000.100.15
Ramsay6475000.140.11
Mochrie7474000.070.11
John7630100.070.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.