Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee United v Aberdeen

Saturday 20 February 2027, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 28

Forecast

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Expected goals1.581.06
Win49%25%
Expected Points1.731.01
Clean sheet35%21%

Dundee United 49%Draw 26%Aberdeen 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%9%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  2. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  3. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  4. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  5. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13
  6. L0–222 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.19–1.43

Aberdeen

  1. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  2. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  3. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  4. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  5. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67
  6. L0–130 AugRangers (H)xG 0.35–2.10

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Position6th8th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠32–⁠2–⁠4
Points11 (1.38 per game)8 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.490.98
Goals10–⁠117–⁠9
xG per game1.62–⁠1.461.04–⁠1.61
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.79–⁠1.231.00, 1.33–⁠1.54
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.44–⁠1.681.00, 0.75–⁠1.69
ManagerJim Goodwin (96)Stephen Robinson (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.25, 6thAberdeen1.11, 10thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.43, 6thAberdeen1.47, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United attack: 1.25Aberdeen attack: 1.111.251.11AberdeenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United defence: 1.43Aberdeen defence: 1.471.471.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+17%−50%−14%
Counter-attacks+57%−71%−64%+24%
Set pieces+64%−23%+30%−7%
Penalties−40%−40%−40%+80%
Headers+1%−39%+56%−23%
Left side−18%+12%−61%+11%
Centre+3%−2%−32%−41%
Right side+43%−21%−7%+28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side−18%+28%Centre+3%−41%Right side+43%+11%Open play−24%−14%Counter-attacks+57%+24%Set pieces+64%−7%Headers+1%−23%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side−61%−21%Centre−32%−2%Right side−7%+12%Open play−50%+17%Counter-attacks−64%−71%Set pieces+30%−23%Headers+56%−39%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

1.62xG1.04
1.46xG against1.61
50%Possession48%
16.1Shots11.5
15.4Shots against15.9
5.4Shots on target2.9
2.4Big chances1.5
30.0Touches in the opposition box22.0
398Passes399
78%Pass accuracy78%
6.2Corners6.1
46%Field tilt42%
39.0Final-third entries38.6
14.0Box entries12.5
12.2Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level241.931.19
Ahead291.741.14
Behind361.301.89

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.971.61
Ahead120.841.56
Behind391.171.64

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.383–3
16–300.160.160–1
31–450.490.235–1
46–600.210.300–3
61–750.250.220–3
76–900.280.172–0

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.220–3
16–300.120.221–0
31–450.120.401–3
46–600.120.161–1
61–750.160.350–2
76–900.490.264–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 8Rawlins 7Yoro 1Esselink 8Forbes 8Ferry 5Ciubotaru 3Camará 4Sevelj 3Iqbal 2Tait 6Agyei 4Cameron 3Yoro 2Randall 4Merghem 4Metsoko 3Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 1Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 8Cadden 7Lyons 1Mayo 6Milne 2Knoester 4Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 7Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Armstrong 2Aremu 7Briedl 2Marshall 3Yogane 1Yogane 3Mouloua 2Olusanya 2Nisbet 85-3-2 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 May 2026Aberdeen2–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.17–0.79
24 February 2026Dundee United0–0AberdeenxG 1.02–1.45
27 December 2025Aberdeen1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.10–0.80
23 September 2025Dundee United2–0AberdeenxG 1.33–1.33
17 May 2025Dundee United2–1AberdeenxG 1.93–1.70
2 March 2025Aberdeen2–2Dundee UnitedxG 1.98–0.53

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 6, Aberdeen won 5, and 6 were drawn. Goals 16–14 and xG 1.00–1.16 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall5506220.360.35
Bennie6457110.450.09
Tait6610000.090.15
Forbes8720100.120.04

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet8632410.340.04
Mayo6471010.240.01
Olusanya5501000.110.05
Guinness-Walker8675000.010.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.