Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee United v Hibernian

Wednesday 3 February 2027, 19:45 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 26

Forecast

Dundee UnitedHibernian
Expected goals1.381.26
Win39%34%
Expected Points1.441.29
Clean sheet28%25%

Dundee United 39%Draw 27%Hibernian 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Hibernian goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%8%6%2%9%8%3%1%7%9%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  2. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  3. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  4. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  5. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13
  6. L0–222 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.19–1.43

Hibernian

  1. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  2. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  3. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  4. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  5. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86
  6. W2–130 AugDundee FC (A)xG 2.33–1.03

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedHibernian
Position6th10th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠32–⁠1–⁠5
Points11 (1.38 per game)7 (0.88 per game)
Expected Points per game1.491.33
Goals10–⁠118–⁠12
xG per game1.62–⁠1.461.58–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.79–⁠1.230.25, 1.56–⁠1.49
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.44–⁠1.681.50, 1.60–⁠1.81
ManagerJim Goodwin (96)Marink Reedijk (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.25, 6thHibernian1.32, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.43, 6thHibernian1.27, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United attack: 1.25Hibernian attack: 1.321.321.25HibernianDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United defence: 1.43Hibernian defence: 1.271.431.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+17%−15%+6%
Counter-attacks+57%−71%−13%−1%
Set pieces+64%−23%+8%−6%
Penalties−40%−40%+80%+20%
Headers+1%−39%−35%+7%
Left side−18%+12%−11%−2%
Centre+3%−2%−25%+24%
Right side+43%−21%+20%−26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHibernian concededLeft side−18%−26%Centre+3%+24%Right side+43%−2%Open play−24%+6%Counter-attacks+57%−1%Set pieces+64%−6%Headers+1%+7%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee United concededLeft side−11%−21%Centre−25%−2%Right side+20%+12%Open play−15%+17%Counter-attacks−13%−71%Set pieces+8%−23%Headers−35%−39%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedHibernian

1.62xG1.58
1.46xG against1.65
50%Possession51%
16.1Shots16.4
15.4Shots against13.4
5.4Shots on target4.4
2.4Big chances2.0
30.0Touches in the opposition box31.6
398Passes443
78%Pass accuracy81%
6.2Corners6.9
46%Field tilt55%
39.0Final-third entries44.7
14.0Box entries15.0
12.2Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level241.931.19
Ahead291.741.14
Behind361.301.89

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.101.77
Ahead171.552.02
Behind392.031.38

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.383–3
16–300.160.160–1
31–450.490.235–1
46–600.210.300–3
61–750.250.220–3
76–900.280.172–0

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.091–1
16–300.180.232–2
31–450.270.430–5
46–600.300.312–0
61–750.310.182–1
76–900.360.411–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 8Rawlins 7Yoro 1Esselink 8Forbes 8Ferry 5Ciubotaru 3Camará 4Sevelj 3Iqbal 2Tait 6Agyei 4Cameron 3Yoro 2Randall 4Merghem 4Metsoko 3Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 1Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 8Kerr 8Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Iredale 2Obita 4Ivezić 1Megwa 1Passlack 5Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 8Chaiwa 5Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 5Wright 1Iredale 1Boyle 3Elding 2Šuto 1Lowe 4Šuto 2Boyle 1Klidje 3McGrath 2Wright 13-4-3 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 October 2026Dundee United1–0HibernianxG 1.68–0.77
4 February 2026Hibernian3–2Dundee UnitedxG 2.57–1.73
20 December 2025Dundee United1–1HibernianxG 0.82–1.26
13 September 2025Hibernian3–3Dundee UnitedxG 3.05–1.87
3 May 2025Hibernian3–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.73–1.35
26 February 2025Dundee United1–3HibernianxG 0.71–1.53

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 5, Hibernian won 6, and 6 were drawn. Goals 24–27 and xG 1.10–1.43 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall5506220.360.35
Bennie6457110.450.09
Tait6610000.090.15
Forbes8720100.120.04

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Passlack7644010.060.24
Mulligan8705010.140.09
Mayor5463100.060.17
Kerr8720000.130.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.