Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC v Hibernian

Saturday 30 January 2027, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 25

Forecast

Dundee FCHibernian
Expected goals1.231.36
Win33%39%
Expected Points1.271.45
Clean sheet26%29%

Dundee FC 33%Draw 28%Hibernian 39%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Hibernian goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%9%9%4%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

Hibernian

  1. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  2. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  3. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  4. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  5. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86
  6. W2–130 AugDundee FC (A)xG 2.33–1.03

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCHibernian
Position4th10th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠1–⁠32–⁠1–⁠5
Points13 (1.62 per game)7 (0.88 per game)
Expected Points per game1.191.33
Goals11–⁠88–⁠12
xG per game1.26–⁠1.571.58–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.58–⁠1.310.25, 1.56–⁠1.49
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.94–⁠1.841.50, 1.60–⁠1.81
ManagerSteven Pressley (46)Marink Reedijk (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.12, 9thHibernian1.32, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.54, 10thHibernian1.27, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 1.12Hibernian attack: 1.321.321.12HibernianDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.54Hibernian defence: 1.271.541.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−32%+13%−15%+6%
Counter-attacks−17%−59%−13%−1%
Set pieces+19%−13%+8%−6%
Penalties−40%+20%+80%+20%
Headers+25%+14%−35%+7%
Left side+3%+20%−11%−2%
Centre−24%−32%−25%+24%
Right side−31%+18%+20%−26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side+3%−26%Centre−24%+24%Right side−31%−2%Open play−32%+6%Counter-attacks−17%−1%Set pieces+19%−6%Headers+25%+7%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side−11%+18%Centre−25%−32%Right side+20%+20%Open play−15%+13%Counter-attacks−13%−59%Set pieces+8%−13%Headers−35%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCHibernian

1.26xG1.58
1.57xG against1.65
38%Possession51%
12.6Shots16.4
18.9Shots against13.4
4.5Shots on target4.4
2.5Big chances2.0
19.1Touches in the opposition box31.6
336Passes443
73%Pass accuracy81%
5.1Corners6.9
25%Field tilt55%
26.9Final-third entries44.7
9.5Box entries15.0
19.6Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.101.77
Ahead171.552.02
Behind392.031.38

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.091–1
16–300.180.232–2
31–450.270.430–5
46–600.300.312–0
61–750.310.182–1
76–900.360.411–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 8Kerr 8Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Iredale 2Obita 4Ivezić 1Megwa 1Passlack 5Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 8Chaiwa 5Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 5Wright 1Iredale 1Boyle 3Elding 2Šuto 1Lowe 4Šuto 2Boyle 1Klidje 3McGrath 2Wright 13-4-3 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 August 2026Dundee FC1–2HibernianxG 1.03–2.33
28 February 2026Dundee FC3–3HibernianxG 0.92–1.74
22 November 2025Hibernian2–0Dundee FCxG 2.26–0.56
3 August 2025Dundee FC1–2HibernianxG 0.13–1.42
13 April 2025Hibernian4–0Dundee FCxG 2.00–0.14
23 November 2024Dundee FC4–1HibernianxG 2.22–0.76

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 2, Hibernian won 7, and 5 were drawn. Goals 18–24 and xG 0.80–1.57 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Passlack7644010.060.24
Mulligan8705010.140.09
Mayor5463100.060.17
Kerr8720000.130.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.