Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Mirren v Celtic

Sunday 24 January 2027, 15:00 · The Marbill Coaches Stadium · Round 24

Forecast

St. MirrenCeltic
Expected goals0.832.04
Win14%65%
Expected Points0.632.16
Clean sheet13%44%

St. Mirren 14%Draw 21%Celtic 65%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Celtic goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+6%8%4%2%4%7%3%1%2%4%4%3%1%1%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  2. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  3. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  4. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  5. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41
  6. D3–330 AugMotherwell (H)xG 2.92–2.45

Celtic

  1. W2–011 OctMotherwell (A)xG 2.85–1.10
  2. L0–120 SepRangers (H)xG 0.39–1.81
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.80–0.69
  4. W2–15 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.19–1.95
  5. W3–02 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.67–0.68
  6. W2–129 AugFalkirk (H)xG 3.45–0.57

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenCeltic
Position7th1st
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠1–⁠47–⁠0–⁠1
Points10 (1.25 per game)21 (2.62 per game)
Expected Points per game1.192.25
Goals8–⁠1416–⁠4
xG per game1.47–⁠1.912.76–⁠1.03
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.86–⁠2.102.25, 2.19–⁠0.89
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.09–⁠1.723.00, 3.33–⁠1.18
ManagerCraig McLeish (17)Martin O'Neill (26)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.10, 11thCeltic2.11, 1stDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.44, 7thCeltic0.88, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctSt. Mirren attack: 1.10Celtic attack: 2.112.111.10CelticSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctSt. Mirren defence: 1.44Celtic defence: 0.881.440.88

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+1%+121%−47%
Counter-attacks+85%+43%+175%−28%
Set pieces−33%+1%−21%−4%
Penalties+20%+140%−100%−40%
Headers−50%−14%+132%−24%
Left side−13%+3%+164%−64%
Centre−7%−34%+93%−6%
Right side−11%+73%+25%−48%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdCeltic concededLeft side−13%−48%Centre−7%−6%Right side−11%−64%Open play−21%−47%Counter-attacks+85%−28%Set pieces−33%−4%Headers−50%−24%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+164%+73%Centre+93%−34%Right side+25%+3%Open play+121%+1%Counter-attacks+175%+43%Set pieces−21%+1%Headers+132%−14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenCeltic

1.47xG2.76
1.91xG against1.03
48%Possession62%
13.5Shots20.6
15.2Shots against10.9
3.5Shots on target9.1
2.2Big chances5.0
26.0Touches in the opposition box39.5
436Passes620
80%Pass accuracy88%
4.2Corners9.4
47%Field tilt68%
39.2Final-third entries62.3
14.2Box entries24.5
14.0Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level311.702.25
Ahead321.401.23
Behind271.312.33

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level262.061.25
Ahead543.220.93
Behind112.161.05

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.412–3
16–300.200.231–2
31–450.250.333–2
46–600.170.460–3
61–750.380.201–1
76–900.380.291–3

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.134–0
16–300.420.241–1
31–450.550.234–1
46–600.590.075–1
61–750.340.212–1
76–900.540.150–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 8Ramsay 6Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 7Jackson 1Fraser 1Fieldson 7John 7Sule 1Carr 8Nsio 5Taylor 2Phillips 1Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Mochrie 1Taylor 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Mochrie 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSinisalo 7Johnstone 1Donovan 5Johnston 2Carter-Vickers 1Carter-Vickers 5Murray 2Trusty 6Scales 3Tierney 5Scales 3McGregor 7Baur 5Oxlade-Chamberlain 2Engels 2Hassan 4Durán 3McCowan 1Nygren 6Donovan 1Sørensen 1Yang 5Tounekti 2Nygren 1Høgh 4Durán 44-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-4-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 September 2026St. Mirren1–2CelticxG 1.95–3.19
11 April 2026Celtic1–0St. MirrenxG 0.94–0.25
22 November 2025St. Mirren0–1CelticxG 1.53–0.88
3 August 2025Celtic1–0St. MirrenxG 1.41–0.23
17 May 2025Celtic1–1St. MirrenxG 2.55–0.20
1 March 2025St. Mirren2–5CelticxG 1.63–3.37

22 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 2, Celtic won 17, and 3 were drawn. Goals 15–54 and xG 0.74–2.40 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kabia6460000.100.15
Ramsay6475000.140.11
Mochrie7474000.070.11
John7630100.070.10

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nygren7564430.660.23
Durán7531430.490.32
Baur5460100.300.14
Scales6536100.100.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.