Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Falkirk v Dundee FC

Saturday 20 February 2027, 15:00 · The Falkirk Stadium · Round 28

Forecast

FalkirkDundee FC
Expected goals1.561.09
Win48%26%
Expected Points1.691.04
Clean sheet34%21%

Falkirk 48%Draw 26%Dundee FC 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsFalkirk goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%2%7%2%9%5%2%4%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Falkirk

  1. L1–210 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–1.41
  2. D1–119 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.29–0.94
  3. W2–115 SepHearts (H)xG 2.14–1.79
  4. D1–15 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.27–2.66
  5. L1–22 SepRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.57
  6. L1–229 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.57–3.45

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

FalkirkDundee FC
Position11th4th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠3–⁠44–⁠1–⁠3
Points6 (0.75 per game)13 (1.62 per game)
Expected Points per game0.991.19
Goals7–⁠1111–⁠8
xG per game1.17–⁠1.831.26–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.42–⁠1.581.75, 1.58–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game0.75, 0.92–⁠2.081.50, 0.94–⁠1.84
ManagerJohn McGlynn (46)Steven Pressley (46)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackFalkirk1.18, 7thDundee FC1.12, 9thDefence (lower is better)Falkirk1.44, 8thDundee FC1.54, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctFalkirk attack: 1.18Dundee FC attack: 1.121.181.12Dundee FCFalkirkDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctFalkirk defence: 1.44Dundee FC defence: 1.541.541.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

FalkirkDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−2%+36%−32%+13%
Counter-attacks−86%−20%−17%−59%
Set pieces−50%+40%+19%−13%
Penalties−40%−100%−40%+20%
Headers−64%−37%+25%+14%
Left side−49%+14%+3%+20%
Centre−24%+24%−24%−32%
Right side+1%+51%−31%+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdDundee FC concededLeft side−49%+18%Centre−24%−32%Right side+1%+20%Open play−2%+13%Counter-attacks−86%−59%Set pieces−50%−13%Headers−64%+14%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdFalkirk concededLeft side+3%+51%Centre−24%+24%Right side−31%+14%Open play−32%+36%Counter-attacks−17%−20%Set pieces+19%+40%Headers+25%−37%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

FalkirkDundee FC

1.17xG1.26
1.83xG against1.57
48%Possession38%
11.6Shots12.6
15.9Shots against18.9
3.1Shots on target4.5
1.5Big chances2.5
24.1Touches in the opposition box19.1
415Passes336
77%Pass accuracy73%
4.5Corners5.1
49%Field tilt25%
38.5Final-third entries26.9
9.8Box entries9.5
12.6Passes per defensive action19.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.451.49
Ahead221.252.13
Behind260.652.12

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

xG by period

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.152–3
16–300.090.430–2
31–450.260.362–0
46–600.130.211–1
61–750.230.342–0
76–900.280.330–5

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 8Strain 8Neilson 6Meļņiks 2Henderson 8McCann 7Tanser 1Barbrook 7McMillan 1Spencer 6Krauhaus 1Sibbald 1Ross 5Fodrey 1Doherty 1Krauhaus 6Yeats 2Eames 4Ross 2Fodrey 1Murrell 5Parkinson 2MacIver 14-2-3-1 in every start

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 October 2026Falkirk1–2Dundee FCxG 1.97–1.41
11 February 2026Falkirk1–0Dundee FCxG 0.98–1.58
27 December 2025Dundee FC1–0FalkirkxG 1.24–1.33
25 October 2025Falkirk2–1Dundee FCxG 1.08–1.21

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Falkirk won 2, Dundee FC won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 4–4 and xG 1.34–1.36 per game.

Key players

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Strain8720030.070.17
Barbrook7591000.110.10
Ross7570100.110.10
Spencer6528000.070.10

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.