Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC v Falkirk

Saturday 5 December 2026, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 17

Forecast

Dundee FCFalkirk
Expected goals1.391.22
Win40%32%
Expected Points1.491.24
Clean sheet30%25%

Dundee FC 40%Draw 27%Falkirk 32%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Falkirk goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%8%3%7%9%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

Falkirk

  1. L1–210 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–1.41
  2. D1–119 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.29–0.94
  3. W2–115 SepHearts (H)xG 2.14–1.79
  4. D1–15 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.27–2.66
  5. L1–22 SepRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.57
  6. L1–229 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.57–3.45

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCFalkirk
Position4th11th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠1–⁠31–⁠3–⁠4
Points13 (1.62 per game)6 (0.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.190.99
Goals11–⁠87–⁠11
xG per game1.26–⁠1.571.17–⁠1.83
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.58–⁠1.310.75, 1.42–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.94–⁠1.840.75, 0.92–⁠2.08
ManagerSteven Pressley (46)John McGlynn (46)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.12, 9thFalkirk1.18, 7thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.54, 10thFalkirk1.44, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 1.12Falkirk attack: 1.181.181.12FalkirkDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.54Falkirk defence: 1.441.541.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCFalkirk
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−32%+13%−2%+36%
Counter-attacks−17%−59%−86%−20%
Set pieces+19%−13%−50%+40%
Penalties−40%+20%−40%−100%
Headers+25%+14%−64%−37%
Left side+3%+20%−49%+14%
Centre−24%−32%−24%+24%
Right side−31%+18%+1%+51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdFalkirk concededLeft side+3%+51%Centre−24%+24%Right side−31%+14%Open play−32%+36%Counter-attacks−17%−20%Set pieces+19%+40%Headers+25%−37%

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdDundee FC concededLeft side−49%+18%Centre−24%−32%Right side+1%+20%Open play−2%+13%Counter-attacks−86%−59%Set pieces−50%−13%Headers−64%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCFalkirk

1.26xG1.17
1.57xG against1.83
38%Possession48%
12.6Shots11.6
18.9Shots against15.9
4.5Shots on target3.1
2.5Big chances1.5
19.1Touches in the opposition box24.1
336Passes415
73%Pass accuracy77%
5.1Corners4.5
25%Field tilt49%
26.9Final-third entries38.5
9.5Box entries9.8
19.6Passes per defensive action12.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.451.49
Ahead221.252.13
Behind260.652.12

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.152–3
16–300.090.430–2
31–450.260.362–0
46–600.130.211–1
61–750.230.342–0
76–900.280.330–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 8Strain 8Neilson 6Meļņiks 2Henderson 8McCann 7Tanser 1Barbrook 7McMillan 1Spencer 6Krauhaus 1Sibbald 1Ross 5Fodrey 1Doherty 1Krauhaus 6Yeats 2Eames 4Ross 2Fodrey 1Murrell 5Parkinson 2MacIver 14-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 October 2026Falkirk1–2Dundee FCxG 1.97–1.41
11 February 2026Falkirk1–0Dundee FCxG 0.98–1.58
27 December 2025Dundee FC1–0FalkirkxG 1.24–1.33
25 October 2025Falkirk2–1Dundee FCxG 1.08–1.21

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 2, Falkirk won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 4–4 and xG 1.36–1.34 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Strain8720030.070.17
Barbrook7591000.110.10
Ross7570100.110.10
Spencer6528000.070.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.